February 1, 2007

JUST IN CASE YOU WERE THINKING OF SELLING PENCILS ON STREET CORNERS:

2006 personal savings drop to 74-yr. low (MARTIN CRUTSINGER, 2/01/07, AP)

People once again spent everything they made and then some last year, pushing the personal savings rate to the lowest level since the Great Depression more than seven decades ago. [...]

The savings rate has been negative for an entire year only four times in history -- in 2005 and 2006 and in 1933 and 1932. However, the reasons for the decline in the savings rate were vastly different during the two periods.

During the Great Depression when one-fourth of the labor force was without a job, people dipped into savings in an effort to meet the basic necessities of shelter and clothing.

Economists have put forward various reasons to explain the current lack of savings. These range from a feeling on the part of some people that they do not need to save because of the run-up in their investments such as homes and stock portfolios to an effort by many middle-class wage earners to maintain their current lifestyles even though their wage gains have been depressed by the effects of global competition.

Whatever the reason for the low savings, economists warn that it the phenomenon exists at a particularly bad time with 78 million baby boomers approaching retirement age. Instead of building up savings to use during retirement, baby boomers are continuing to spend all their earnings.

The savings rate is computed by taking the amount of personal income left after taxes are paid, an amount known as disposable income and subtracting the amount of spending. Since the figure has dipped into negative territory, it means consumers are spending all of disposable income and then some.


As Business Week rather more sensibly explains:
Wealth gains have been a key reason why consumers have allowed their savings to dwindle to record lows in relation to income. Increased wealth has been a substitute for traditional savings. That trend was clearly in evidence through the third quarter of 2006, as the Federal Reserve reported a $776 billion rise in household net worth--comprising all assets minus liabilities--from the second quarter, to a record $54.1 trillion.

Ans, as their Michael Mandel noted last year:
In 2005, real net worth per capita was $155.1 thousand, compared to $148.9 thousand in 2004 and $153.4 thousand in 1999 (all in 2005 dollars).

Real net worth per capita is household net worth, minus credit market liabilities of federal state and local governments, adjusted for inflation and population growth.


Perhaps folks who are worth $155k a head can be forgiven for not dropping pennies into their passbook savings accounts?

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 1, 2007 8:43 PM
Comments

minus credit market liabilities of federal state and local governments, adjusted for inflation and population growth

Go out and do a FOIA (freedom of information act) inquiry into your municipality's fire, police and employee pension plan(s).

You'll find that they many are under 60% funded (85% is considered healthy)

I'll bet the figure mentioned in the article doesn't take this into account. All over America, a class of KELO sucking kleptocrats have been raiding state and local pension funds for their "constituents."

As great as all the above stuff is, the nation is one big downturn from some real hurt.

BTW, have I mentioned the Bond Dealer/School District Axis, and how they churn bonds to draw future dollars into today's bloated pensions spending?

Don't worry, be happy.

Posted by: bruno at February 1, 2007 9:19 PM

Do we look worried?

Posted by: oj at February 1, 2007 10:11 PM

So teachers, firemen and police officers might end up having to work until they're 60 instead of retiring with full pay and medical in their late 40's or early 50's? The horror.

Posted by: Patrick H at February 2, 2007 2:05 AM

No one's putting any money into their retirement plans???? No company is matching in stock or cash?

FSAs if your company has 1?

Posted by: Sandy P at February 2, 2007 2:17 AM

And what about the boomer inheritances?

Those old people in FLA are my imagination???

My parents????

Posted by: Sandy P at February 2, 2007 2:19 AM

Down here in geezerland (Florida), there are also many public service retirees in their late 30's who worked the requisite 20 years and are now collecting and collecting and collecting.

Posted by: erp at February 2, 2007 8:13 AM

Sandy...

These scare articles are a definition game.

401(k) funds accumulate in stock and bond mutual funds, so they aren't savings, they're 'investments'.

Same with your house, probably.

The only funds that count as 'savings' in most of these articles are the equivalent of the loose change under your couch cushions and in your kid's piggy bank.

Posted by: Chris B at February 2, 2007 9:49 AM

...feeling on the part of some people that they do not need to save because of the run-up in their investments such as homes and stock portfolios....

I knew it would be there somewhere.

Posted by: Chris B at February 2, 2007 9:52 AM

...feeling on the part of some people that they do not need to save because of the run-up in their investments such as homes and stock portfolios....

I knew it would be there somewhere.

Posted by: Chris B at February 2, 2007 9:54 AM
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