January 18, 2007
MAVERICK CAN MAIL THIS ONE IN:
Zogby New Hampshire: 3 Dems In Tight Race; McCain Leads Republican Field (Zogby, 1/18/07)
On the Republican side, maverick Sen. John McCain leads with 26% support, six points ahead of former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani in a race where the two with reputations for independence outdistance the field in a state where independence is a valued trait. In a distant third place is former Gov. Mitt Romney, who led neighboring Massachusetts for one term before leaving office just over two weeks ago.
Cakewalk. Posted by Orrin Judd at January 18, 2007 6:10 PM
Wow, he's been campaigning for the last 4 years, he won NH last time around, and he's only up 6!
Things are worse for him than I thought.
Posted by: Jim in Chicago at January 18, 2007 6:20 PMHis support among 'independent' voters has cratered too. From 49% last year down to 29% this year.
Posted by: tps at January 18, 2007 6:44 PMWho cares what happens in NH? NH and Iowa are media hypes, driven by paucity of hard knowledge leading up to them.
The primary will be over on Feb 5, 2008, when the bulk of the South and West weigh in. This primary schedule is geared to nominate McCain.
Posted by: sam at January 18, 2007 8:49 PMThe South and West are where McCain is the weakest. From McCain-Feingold to open borders to the judge deal he isn't popular. Jim and TPS are right - given his name recognition and previous efforts he should be well ahead in NH, not barely scraping by.
Posted by: AWW at January 18, 2007 9:00 PMUp six on a guy who isn't going to run because even he realizes his popularity is an illusion. It's an easy campaign for Maverick. The surprise is that Romney does so poorly in the state he'd have to win.
Posted by: oj at January 18, 2007 9:19 PMAnd now the little people are to be regulated, thank you Maverick.
Posted by: Sandy P at January 18, 2007 9:22 PMMcCain and Bush are now joined at the hip re: Iraq and the "surge". If Bush pulls off any semblance of victory ... and I am 80% confident he will ... McCain looks mighty good. Otherwise, he's toast.
Posted by: ghostcat at January 18, 2007 9:42 PMRepublicans in the South and the West are not voting for two Northeast liberals, one who is a Democratic clone on every issue that maaters to the primary voters (and who will most probably not even run), and the other a sometime on-again, off-again "conservative" from a cult relgion.
Posted by: sam at January 18, 2007 9:44 PMHorses of a less pale hue, then, if the Iraq venture does not end well.
Posted by: ghostcat at January 18, 2007 10:07 PMThe polls say he's popular with Republicans there too.
Posted by: oj![[TypeKey Profile Page]](http://brothersjuddblog.com/nav-commenters.gif)
at January 19, 2007 12:15 AM
If McCain isn't even challenged in NH the race will be over already.
Posted by: oj at January 19, 2007 12:18 AM
McCain's support is an inch thick and a mile wide. The MSM is already turning on him which will reduce his standing with independents and soft Dems. He is one outburst away from being put in the back of the pack.
Posted by: AWW at January 19, 2007 8:38 AMHaving the media howl at him will simply strengthen his already solid standing as an independent leader.
Posted by: oj at January 19, 2007 12:40 PM