December 22, 2006

WHEN CASHMAN PLAYS CATCH UP:

Kei Igawa Projection (Roto Authority, 12/21/06)

Let's roll along to a Kei Igawa projection. Will he be half the pitcher Daisuke Matsuzaka is? After all, he's half the cost.

I'd say yes, he's more than half the pitcher Matsuzaka is, in that Igawa's ERA should be under 6.80. Beyond that, though...

We'll start off with a 180 inning projection for Igawa. He's averaged about 193 per season in Japan. As the team's probable worst starter he's liable to be skipped a few times and things like that.

In a nutshell, I am calling for a 6.0 K/9, 9.8 H/9, 3.2 BB/9, and 1.35 HR/9. Plug it in and you get a 4.97 ERA, 1.44 WHIP, and 11 wins.


Which may be pretty bad, but would still make him their second best starter.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 22, 2006 11:20 AM
Comments

4.97 era? The Sawx would kill for that kind of production from Bye-Bye-Beckett.

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at December 22, 2006 2:50 PM

Meanwhile, Tim Marchman is predicting 900 innings of 4.40 ERA ball from the Yanks starters. Better even than last year when Wang and Moose vied with Santana and his lil buddy for the best starting tandem in baseball.

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at December 22, 2006 2:56 PM
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