December 14, 2006

WE CHOSE WHEN WE LIBERATED THEM:

IRAQ: IT'S TIME TO TAKE SIDES (RALPH PETERS, December 14, 2006, NY Post)

[T]he unavoidable struggle is between Sunni and Shia. Transcending their internal fault lines - for now - these two competing forms of Islam are already at war in Iraq. It's only a matter of time until the fighting spreads.

The question isn't "How can we stop it?" We can't. Even delaying the confrontation may come at too high a price. The right question is "How do we make sure we're on the winning side?"

The dynamism is with the Shia. Oppressed for centuries, Arab Shia have found their strategic footing. Tehran's backing helps, but the rise of Shia power is not synonymous with Iranian power - unless our old-school diplomacy makes it so.

East of Suez and west of Kabul, Sunni Arab dominance is waning. To future historians, al Qaeda may appear little more than the death-rattle of a collapsing order. Jordan may have a future - if that future is guaranteed by the West - but Syria's grandiose ambitions are unsustainable, and it's difficult to imagine the long-term survival of the decayed Saudi royal family.

Now the Saudis are threatening us: If we turn our backs on Iraq's Sunni Arabs, Riyadh says it will fund the insurgents.

The threat might carry more weight if Saudis weren't already funding Iraq's Sunni butchers. And note that Saudi Arabia hasn't threatened to intervene militarily - the playboy princes know that their incompetent armed forces would collapse if sent to Iraq.

It's time to call Riyadh's bluff.

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 14, 2006 2:43 PM
Comments

Anyone with a lick of foresight suspects that the greater long-term threat in the ME is a Wahhabi Saudi Arabia, not a Shia Iran ... much less a Shia Iraq.

There are even those among us who suspect that our invasion of Iraq was ultimately aimed at that nation's neighbor to the southwest.

Posted by: ghostcat at December 14, 2006 4:32 PM

On the other hand, ghostcat, the Saudi's aren't building nukes, are they?

Posted by: PapayaSF at December 14, 2006 4:47 PM

Never forget the Rats of Khan.

Posted by: ghostcat at December 14, 2006 5:10 PM

Looking good. Wackistan collapsing headlong into that old dustbin.

Does the Iraq Feldzug have to be aimed at any particular segment of the spiritual jailhouse? Consider how our interests are served enough just by confusion to the enemy.

Posted by: Lou Gots at December 14, 2006 9:14 PM

It's important that the Shi'a win, but we're unimportant to that result.

Posted by: oj at December 14, 2006 9:28 PM

It's true, Ghost, the Wahhabs are the real enemy, that's why leaving Iraq even in the near future,
seems ill advised. The names of Ghamdi (son of
the Saudi Ambass. to Sudan, who blew himself in
Mosul; kin to two of the 9/11 hijackers)Quahtani,
(at least one who blew themselves up at Al Quaim,
another a fmr. hospital manager who blew himself
up in Baghdad, from the same Ilkwan clan that
sponsored the Great Mosque siege of '79, and the
20th hijacker down in Gitmo)Utaybi (another Ilkwan
clan, whose kin have been found in Chechnya, Afghanistan, Iraq and Gitmo; Christopher Reich even made them the source of a new Al Queda WMD
attack in his suspense novel; the Devil's Banker;
Of course, one other problem, is the restive
Shia community, which happens to live astride of
the main pipelines and pumping stations along both
Saudi coasts; and who their allegiance is to:

Posted by: narciso at December 14, 2006 11:30 PM
« THIS TIME, HE'S W: | Main | THAT ONE CAME BACK TO BITE 'EM PRETTY FAST: »