November 5, 2006
WHERE'S THE REQUIRED HATRED?:
Washington Post-ABC News Poll (The Washington Post, Nov. 5, 2006)
Emotionally it's best to assume a debacle for the GOP on Tuesday, but if the President's approval rating is anything like 43% and the split on even the generic ballot is in the vicinity of 51-45 we still don't quite get how the Democrats gin up the turnout they'll need for a landslide.
Poll: GOP could keep Senate (STEVEN THOMMA, 11/05/06, McClatchy Newspapers)
Republican Senate candidates have bounced back in two largely overlooked states, strengthening their party's chance to retain control of the U.S. Senate in Tuesday's elections, according to an exclusive series of McClatchy Newspapers-MSNBC polls.Posted by Orrin Judd at November 5, 2006 10:45 AM
Twelve new state-by-state polls show a surprise shift in the political battleground to the north as Republican incumbents clawed their way back in two states frequently written off as lost to them - Montana and Rhode Island. [...]
And in Tennessee, a closely watched Senate battleground considered a toss-up until now, Republican Bob Corker has opened up a 50-38 percent lead over Democrat U.S. Rep. Harold Ford Jr. The campaign is for the Republican-held seat being vacated by retiring Sen. Bill Frist.
All 12 state polls have a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points. They were taken between Oct. 31 and Nov. 3.
If Republicans hold those three key states, they are likely to retain power in the Senate, even if they lose other battleground states such as Missouri and Virginia, where the new polls show they've lost the edge narrowly to Democrats.
Most of the 12 states polled by Mason-Dixon Polling and Research Inc. - eight for McClatchy-MSNBC, four for other media clients of Mason-Dixon - remain too close to call.