November 2, 2006

WHEN THE SMART PARTY SETS OUT TO TEACH A LESSON:

Bush may find an ally on immigration (Stephen Dinan, November 2, 2006, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

Spending aside, Congress still faces the four major immigration questions that it punted on this year -- how to secure the border, how to boost workplace enforcement, whether to create a new program for future foreign workers in addition to the existing work programs that hundreds of thousands of people already use; and what to do about the estimated 12 million to 20 million illegal aliens now in the country.

Mr. Bush, joined by almost all Democrats and some Republicans, wants action on all of those issues, and the Senate passed such a bill this year.

But House Republicans insist that the government must prove it can control the borders and enforce the laws before considering a new worker program, and many Republicans oppose legalization of illegal aliens altogether, arguing that it is amnesty for lawbreakers.

If Republicans retain control of Congress, that impasse is likely to remain, said Frank Sharry, executive director of the National Immigration Forum, which supports a path to citizenship.

"It has stalemate written all over it -- stalemate plus [passage of] appropriations, which I don't think would satisfy either group of partisans," he said.

But if Democrats win the 15 seats they need to snatch control of the House, the odds for a deal improve somewhat.

"If the House stays Republican, chances of a comprehensive bill being enacted in the next Congress are less than 10 percent. And if the House is taken by the Democrats, chances of a comprehensive bill passing in the next Congress are about 50-50," Mr. Sharry said.

He figures there are probably 160 to 175 House Democrats willing to vote for comprehensive reform, meaning between 45 and 60 Republicans would have to join them to reach a comfortable margin for passage.

Less depends on which party controls the Senate, because a bipartisan consensus appears to exist for some sort of broad bill.

Given that Democrats will never allow tax code or SS Reform to pass, the final two portions of the Bush legacy that are achievable are immigration amnesty/regularization/expansion (which will create even more new citizens than Reagan's did) and a Court appointment or two, that would give conservatives enough votes to really start chipping away at the Warren/Brennan/Burger mess. Losing the House but keeping the Senate would give him a good shot at both.

MORE:
Still yearning to be free (Audrey Singer and David Jackson, 11/02/06, The Seattle Times)

From 1983 to 2004, the Seattle region ranked No. 5 nationally in the resettlement of refugees, behind the big immigrant gateways of New York, Los Angeles and Orange County in California, and Chicago. However, Seattle's total foreign-born ranking is only 23rd, as refugees there comprise much more of the immigrant population than most other places around the country.

The region's refugee population is probably more important to the growth of the region than in other places. And it has been growing over the past 20 years.

Of the some 50,000 refugees resettled in Seattle over that period, fully one-third are from Southeast Asia — including Vietnam, Cambodia and Laos — and 42 percent come from the remnants of the USSR.

Other sizable populations come from the former Yugoslavia, Somalia and Ethiopia. [...]

Like other foreign-born migrants, Seattle's refugees have been quickly plugging into the economic life of the region, from the bustling International District downtown to the polyglot scene that is the Crossroads Mall in Bellevue.

Seattle's healthy local labor market has helped foster their adjustment as many refugees have found foothold jobs in hotels, restaurants, shops, health services, food production and preparation. Perhaps not long term, but these jobs are key steps on the road to economic independence and upward mobility. In any event, they are a far cry from the situations refugees left behind.

Local service agencies and assistance organizations, religious and ethnically based, play a strong role in the resettlement process.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 2, 2006 8:29 AM
Comments

And the under-the-radar legacy of redesigning the military for the 21st century.

Posted by: Qiao Yang at November 2, 2006 9:29 AM

Well, that's 1 way of getting most of the dead wood kicked out of Congress in '08.

Posted by: Sandy P at November 2, 2006 10:39 AM

Steve Sailer? Tancredo? Your thoughts?

Posted by: Brad S at November 2, 2006 10:41 AM

I'm telling you in this election season, both the Democrats and the Republicans are running against amnesty. If the Democrats take the lead in passing it, they'll be punished in the 2008 election. They won't do it.

Posted by: Brandon at November 2, 2006 10:50 AM

Americans want amnesty, just by a different name. Pretend that you're controlling the border as part of the amnesty and there is no political price to be paid.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 11:11 AM

Brad S

Sailor, Tancredo's thoughts.

I imagine that they would say America is going to become more crowded and urbanized, more racially divisive politically with mainstreaming of affirmative action, greater welfare, more regulation of business, more socialistic in redistributing wealth, more Democratic, more secular, less free speech, less common bond between citizens resulting in less private community action and a rootless populace showing less patriotism, more crime and less white, with more revenue to the government. That new status quo will of course be dutifully defended by conservatives, as the most wonderful country in the world.

That is what has occurred with all previous waves of immigration and that is what will happen in this one.

OJ
Americans want the laws enforced.

Posted by: h-man at November 2, 2006 11:15 AM

That's what they'd say, not their thoughts. The thought of the Darwinian Right would be: We're gonna need bigger ovens.

Americans oppose unjust laws and consider it to be unjust to deport immigrants.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 11:17 AM

They will deport themselves if the laws against hiring illegals is enforced. That deportation amounts to puchasing a bus ticket to Mexico.

Posted by: h-man at November 2, 2006 11:23 AM

How many Jews left Germany? And you don't even have an SS to enforce your laws.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 11:38 AM

Pretend that you're controlling the border as part of the amnesty and there is no political price to be paid.

That's what we've been doing for 20 years since the last amnesty, and there is a price being paid right now.

h-man is right: Most Americans oppose illegal immigration, and don't consider it "unjust" that immigrants be legal.

Posted by: PapayaSF at November 2, 2006 11:43 AM

Tragic, what happened to Jews in Germany, and it has no relevance to Mexican citizens illegally living in the US.

If such behavior towards Mexicans was likely, of course I would agree with you. It isn't.

Posted by: h-man at November 2, 2006 12:02 PM

Pap:

Then why do Americans favor the open borders party over the nativist party by such wide margins?

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 12:05 PM

h-man,

I ask this because both of them have been notoriously quiet about what's going to happen to Tancredo's House colleagues on Tuesday. Makes me think that those two would rather have the issue (and be paid by John Tanton) than actually DO anything about the issue.

I wonder if Tancredo's parents were "patriotic" when they got off that boat and settled here.

Posted by: Brad S at November 2, 2006 12:24 PM

Tancredo (don't laugh) wants to run for President. So, an issue is better than a law for him.

Posted by: Bob at November 2, 2006 1:02 PM

"How many Jews left Germany? And you don't even have an SS to enforce your laws"

Is this our Obligatory Nazi Reference for the day?

Posted by: Bryan at November 2, 2006 1:04 PM

Brad
OJ would say his parents were probably not patriotic, since OJ is desparate to label him a Nazi. I have no idea.

If one were to define patriotism as loyalty and bonding to ones fellow citizens, then I think there is less patriotism today than in the past. And yes I would say that immigrants from other than Europe and the Anglosphere show less of that trait and are less interested in attaining it. They come primarily for economic benefit and while that is admirable, the net result is that America will become more of economic entity, existing for the benefit of our bureaucratic government, with little concern for the principles enunciated in the Declaration of Independence.

Posted by: h-man at November 2, 2006 1:04 PM

They why do Americans favor the open borders party over the nativist party by such wide margins

Which one is which? I'm telling you, everyone is running against amnesty and open borders. They're both nativist parties because that's the most popular position.

Posted by: Brandon at November 2, 2006 1:34 PM

They why'd they vote for the amnesty?

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 2:48 PM

Some of us are of the opinion that requiring guest workers to be regularly admitted and that they compete fairly with American labor is "immoral" the way telling the SS that your neighbors are hiding Anne Frank in the attic is immoral.

Some of us think the opposite, that enabling the coyote system of peonage is immoral.

Posted by: Lou Gots at November 2, 2006 2:57 PM

Lou:

Yes, you can separate them out from the racists by their position on amnesty. If your problem is that they're here illegally it goes away when you make them legal. People who oppose higher levels of immigration are racists. People who think it ought to be regularized for everyones good are harmless.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 3:06 PM

h:

You're a nationalist, not a patriot.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 3:06 PM

It's not a reference when you call applied Darwinists Nazis.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 3:10 PM

OJ,

Who voted for an amnesty? What are you talking about?

Posted by: Brandon at November 2, 2006 4:13 PM

House Democrats and the majority in the Senate.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 4:43 PM

If your problem is that they're here illegally it goes away when you make them legal.

Do you support the same attitude for drug laws, for prostitution, for tax evasion?

What do you do about all the people who've been playing the game by the rules and not cheating? Or is this offer to "fix the game" only good for people who speak Spanish and have a lax attitude toward laws they find inconvenient?

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at November 2, 2006 4:56 PM

"You're a nationalist, not a patriot"

I defined patriotism in my previous post, and I strive to just that. In addition I'm committed to the principles in the Declaration of Independence.

If I fall short of that, then so be it. We've discussed your restricted definition of nationalism ad nauseum, to the point that it's boring. Just say my priorities are first to this country and my fellow citizens and secondarily to the rest of the world.

Posted by: h-man at November 2, 2006 5:15 PM

Yes, the Declaration is universalist and incompatible with your nation first notions.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 5:21 PM

Raoul:

Yes. That's exactly the point.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 5:23 PM

OJ,

You're missing my point. The Democrats are campaigning against amnesty. At least, they are in Arizona.

Posted by: Brandon at November 2, 2006 5:43 PM

The Arizona incumbents who lose on tuesday will be those who voted against amnesty.

Posted by: oj at November 2, 2006 7:26 PM

Nobody campaigns FOR amnesty; they just use the word 'comprehensive' and then vote for it and hope that it doesn't bite them.

The anti-global hard left hates immigration because it reminds them too much of NAFTA.

The La Raza types protest for amnesty (and even more), but they know a reconquista is just foam. It's their version of reparations.

And no Democrat (outside of the safest in the CBC) can afford to ever endorse reparations. Somebody like Dennis Kucinich might go along with reparations and La Raza, but he is definitely an outlier.

Posted by: jim hamlen at November 2, 2006 9:22 PM

Oj: The reason it's no go, the pig's head on the stake, is the competitive advantage enjoyed by the coyote peonage worker over the regularized worker. The peon has this advantage because he is off-the-books. The advantage include both the avoidance of labor laws and the extent to which the illegal is motivated by need to put up with conditions the rest of us would not tolerate.

If the illegal immigrant is amnestied and put on the books, he loses this advantage and will be replaced by less legal illegals. Why do you think the immigrant community opposes amnesty if amnesty is linked to enforcement?

Everyone knows these things. The whole debate is a cynical sham.

Posted by: Lou Gots at November 3, 2006 9:45 AM

Lou:

That's quaint, but wrong, which is why nativists oppose amnesty. The fact is they'd fill all those jobs regardless, because natives won't.

Posted by: oj at November 3, 2006 9:59 AM
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