October 13, 2006


Exit of Warner Boosts Chances of Clinton in 2008: Democrats Search for a New Candidate To Play ‘Anti-Hillary' (JILL GARDINER, October 13, 2006, NY Sun)

Senator Clinton is one step closer to becoming the Democratic nominee for president now that Mark Warner, the former governor of Virginia, has dropped out of the race.

Mr. Warner's early departure from the 2008 Democratic primary, which he announced yesterday after months of traveling the country to test the political waters, eliminates a formidable threat to Mrs. Clinton.

"This is good news for Senator Clinton and it's good news for a less rambunctious Democratic primary in 2008," one Democratic political consultant, Hank Sheinkopf, said. "It means there is one less significant player in the field that could bring problems and that could then help the Republicans in the general election."

If he were significant he'd still be running. He was a figment of the media's imagination. It's conceivable that Ms Clinton could lose in Democratic primaries to someone on her Left, not her Right.

N.H. poll: McCain, Clinton most popular (AP, October 13, 2006)

McCain drew the most support among state Republicans, with 32 percent backing him. He was followed by former New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, with 19 percent; Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, with 15 percent; and Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, with 10 percent. Two percent favor some other candidate, and 14 percent are undecided.

Clinton was the favorite among Democrats polled, with 30 percent supporting her. John Edwards drew 16 percent, Al Gore drew 10 percent and Sen. John Kerry had the support of 9 percent of Democrats. Four percent prefer some other candidate and 17 percent are undecided.

Mea culpa, the Post actually gets it right, Democrats Work to Fill Ideological, Electoral Void (Chris Cillizza, 10/13/06, The Washington Post)

Warner's anticipated campaign was to be built around the notion that in an age of polarized politics, many voters are eager for a leader focused on reaching across partisan barriers for solutions to big problems. The former technology executive talked often about his experience in Virginia; he had won a state where Republicans had easily won the governorship in the previous two elections and went on to persuade the GOP-controlled legislature to pass a tax increase he called necessary to the financial solvency of the commonwealth.

That résumé -- coupled with his personal wealth -- had elevated him as a preferred choice among many Democrats who believe that Clinton (N.Y.) will not be electable in 2008.

"This is disheartening information to Hillary-alternative Democrats," said Thomas F. Schaller, a professor of political science at the University of Maryland at Baltimore County.

Some party strategists suggested that the greatest opportunity for a Democrat seeking to be the anti-Clinton alternative will -- unlike Warner's canceled candidacy -- emerge on the ideological left.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 13, 2006 8:35 AM

Everyone from NH is certifiable.


That's why McCain fits right in.

The rest of the country? Not so much.

Posted by: Pepys at October 13, 2006 11:18 AM

Lieberman's results in the 2004 primary, and in this year's primary against Lamont, make it clear that no candidate can viably run to Hillary's right in 2008, especially in the northeast. And the only reason Hillary has any viablity at all given her refusal to go moonbat on the War on Terror is Democrats remember how hated she was by Republicans for both her personal actions and her politcal beliefs, and are hoping that her GOP critics are right -- her positions on the WOT and Iraq really are posturings just to attact moderate votes, and she'll come home to her true beliefs after she's elected to the Oval Office.

Posted by: John at October 13, 2006 11:38 AM

Some party strategists suggested that the greatest opportunity for a Democrat seeking to be the anti-Clinton alternative will -- unlike Warner's canceled candidacy -- emerge on the ideological left.

Maybe this time we'll see the great Clinton-machine-vs-MoveOn-netroots smackdown that fizzled out last time when Dean collapsed.

Posted by: Mike Morley at October 13, 2006 12:53 PM

He leads in the polls everywhere, NH just happens to matter most.

Posted by: oj at October 13, 2006 12:54 PM

What will the polls look like in April 2007, when Guiliani announces his desire to seek the Republican nomination in a speech at Bob Jones University?

Along with other things his speech will recount his personel trauma of divorce caused by his own misbehavior, and his realization that America must attempt to revitalize the family and return to the biblical principles that have made this a great nation.

McCain's numbers may change when he actually has an opponent.

Posted by: h-man at October 13, 2006 2:12 PM

I have, over the last few years, been trying to raise the clarion call that much of the mighty oak of our culture has rotted from with in.

Clinton or McCain?! In a nation supposedly the repository of all the hopes and dreams of the Anglosphere?

This is the best we can do? I rest my case.

Posted by: Bruno at October 13, 2006 4:03 PM

Giuliani has his Foley problem.

Posted by: oj at October 13, 2006 4:54 PM

Few get the Anglosphere better than those two.

Posted by: oj at October 13, 2006 4:58 PM

Bruno, If you are so far sighted, why aren't you running? Don't whine from the back seat, try to lead.

Posted by: Robert Mitchell Jr. at October 13, 2006 5:00 PM