October 12, 2006
HE IS WHO THEY THINK REAGAN WAS:
The Right Man (Peter Beinart, 10.12.06, New Republic)
[B]ush is not merely conservative; he is more conservative than Ronald Reagan, the man whose ideological legacy he has supposedly betrayed.Start with economic policy, the greatest source of right-wing discontent. To listen to Bush's critics, you would think that discretionary, nonsecurity-related spending has exploded on his watch. But it hasn't. As the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities has shown, when you take account of inflation and population growth, it grew a mere 2 percent between 2001 and 2006. And, as a percentage of GDP, it actually fell. What has exploded--rising 32 percent after inflation and population growth--is spending on defense, homeland security, and international affairs. And the people most responsible for those increases are conservatives themselves, who demanded an expansive war on terrorism.
To be sure, the cost of entitlements like Medicare and Social Security has also grown. And Bush has expanded Medicare by adding a prescription-drug benefit. But, even here, right-wingers don't give Bush his due. After all, one reason the program costs so much is that Bush insisted on delivering it through private companies, which can't deliver the benefits as cheaply, in order to partially privatize Medicare--long a conservative goal. And Bush gets little credit for his campaign to partially privatize Social Security, perhaps the most serious assault on the American welfare state ever.
Compare all this with Reagan. For starters, domestic, nondefense discretionary spending was higher, on average, under the Gipper. Reagan made no effort to privatize Social Security, even though its 1983 fiscal crisis offered him a golden opportunity. Instead, he raised the retirement age and raised taxes. In fact, while Bush followed his initial 2001 tax cut with three more, Reagan followed his large 1981 cut with tax hikes in 1982, 1983, and 1984. Today, conservatives remember Reagan as an anti-government crusader. But, at the time, many called him a coward. "Conservatives owned the executive branch for eight years," wrote David Frum in 1994. "And yet, every time they reached to undo the work of Franklin Roosevelt, Lyndon Johnson, and Richard Nixon--the work they had damned for nearly half a century--they felt the public's wary eyes upon them. They didn't dare."
On social issues, the story is similar. In Conservatives Betrayed, Viguerie slams Bush for nominating "the unqualified, near-unknown Harriet Miers for the Supreme Court." But Bush relented and has now appointed two Supreme Court justices whom the Christian right adores. By contrast, Reagan stuck by his 1981 nomination of Sandra Day O'Connor even after Jerry Falwell said that every good Christian should oppose her. Viguerie himself attacked Reagan for siding "with the liberal establishment," and his fears proved well-founded. Not only did O'Connor support abortion rights, but Reagan's third Supreme Court appointee, Anthony Kennedy, also voted to uphold Roe v. Wade.
In his entire time in office, Reagan never took a highly unpopular position on a high-profile issue to satisfy his Christian base, something Bush has done on embryonic stem-cell research. But, rather than showing Bush gratitude, conservative activists keep finding new reasons to kvetch. The latest is immigration, where Bush has been widely scorned for supposedly backing amnesty for illegal immigrants. Where on earth could he have gotten that idea? From Reagan, of course, who, in 1986, signed a bill granting amnesty to illegal immigrants who had lived in the United States continuously since 1982.
Then there is foreign policy, where some conservatives have decided that the Iraq war violates their creed. But it wasn't always that way. As National Review's Romesh Ponnuru noted in June 2003, when Bush launched the Iraq war "almost everyone who considers himself a conservative did support it." In fact, Bush's foreign policy has proved more faithful to conservative principles than did Reagan's. When terrorists killed 3,000 Americans on September 11, Bush responded by invading two countries. When terrorists killed 241 American servicemen in Lebanon in October 1983, by contrast, Reagan promptly cut and ran. (The month before, when the Soviets shot down a South Korean airliner, killing 269 civilians, Reagan responded just as weakly: He did nothing.) And what about evil regimes? Bush shuns them. Reagan, by contrast, sold arms for hostages with Iran. And he placed so much faith in Mikhail Gorbachev that prominent conservative intellectuals called him a dupe. "Reagan," declared Will, "has accelerated the moral disarmament of the West by elevating wishful thinking to the status of political philosophy."
All of which raises a basic question. If conservatives were so angry with Reagan at the time, why do they worship him now? It's simple: Because his policies seemed to work.
Which is why these same rightwingers will be trying to get W carved on Mt. Rushmore twenty years from now. If the Right understood what was going on around it conservatism wouldn't be the Stupid Party. Heck, most of these guys haven't even figured out yet that Bill Clinton was more conservative than Reagan or Ike.
MORE:
Take This Job (The Editors, 10.12.06, New Republic)
Keeping labor organizers at bay used to be a bloody business. In May 1937, when United Auto Workers leader Walter Reuther tried to unionize a Ford plant in Dearborn, Michigan, he was confronted by Henry Ford's hired goons. In the mêlée that ensued, the legendary labor organizer was slammed to the ground, kicked in the head, and tossed down multiple flights of stairs.Today's business executives don't hire goons--and, thanks to George W. Bush, they don't need to.
Federal Deficit Now Lowest in 4 Years (DEB RIECHMANN, 10/12/06, The Associated Press)
The administration credits its tax cuts for the improving economy, contending they helped the nation withstand the 2001 recession, the terrorist attacks and corporate accounting scandals. The deficit narrowed sharply because revenues climbed by 11.8 percent, outpacing a 7.4 percent increase in spending.Administration officials said the actual 2006 deficit is down to 1.9 percent of the gross domestic product. They said that is below the 40-year average deficit of about 2.3 percent of the GDP, which measures the value of all U.S. goods and services. This continues a positive trend that comes despite soaring war costs and $50 billion in emergency spending for hurricane relief, they said.
A word of caution, the far Right warns that 40-year average isn't sustainable. Posted by Orrin Judd at October 12, 2006 1:48 PM
Clinton was not more conservative than Reagan. Reagan was instrumental in cutting taxes (although raising payroll taxes was obviously a mistake) and in bringing down the commies. Clinton's major accomplishments were welfare reform and free trade agreements. Throwing aside Clinton's support for partial-birth abortion, questionable treatment of anti-terrorism as a law-enforcement problem, the kidnapping of Elian Gonzalez and repatriation to a Communist dictatorship, etc., there is still no comparison.
Posted by: Matt Murphy at October 12, 2006 2:31 PMReagan tried to cut deals that would have kept the failing Bolsheviks in power and did cut them to leave the New Deal unaltered. After an initially heroic tax cut he raised them repeatedly. He made it possible for genuine conservatives to follow him, but was himself a fairly classic FDR Democrat.
Posted by: oj at October 12, 2006 3:28 PMoj
I'm willing to accept that Bush was more conservative than Reagan, however the issue become hopelessly confused when you consider that Bush has been dealing with Republican controlled congresses while Reagan didn't have that luxury. For instance the article mentions Reagan's supposed "opportunity" to privatize Social Security. Hah, there wasn't any such opportunity, when dealing with Tip O'Neil etc.
Posted by: h-man at October 12, 2006 3:46 PMMore.. regarding the War making tendency of the Bush family (his father also) in comparison to Reagan's "cut and run" or hit and run approach is accurate.
Posted by: h-man at October 12, 2006 3:53 PMPre-1994-election Clinton was a classic big-government, tax-raising liberal. After 1994 Clinton decided to move right because, well, he wanted to get reelected. All those available interns, doncha know.
Anyway, Bush is very conservative, but NRO pretends otherwise because his approval ratings ain't too high right now. Okay, that's an oversimplification. Derbyshire doesn't like Bush because Bush isn't a bigot and Derbyshire is. Stuttaford doesn't like Bush because he hasn't legalized heroin, promoted smoking by eight-year-olds, and kept the Internet safe for gamblers and hookers. Buckley doesn't like Bush because he
doesn't speak with a fake British accent.
And truth to tell, Bush has his defenders on NRO, most notably Podhoretz and Lopez. But NRO gets more street cred with their fellow-bloggers by ripping Bush, just as they would have torn Reagan to itty-bitty shreds if the Corner had been around in the eighties. And we'd all have fun quoting their Reagan rips back at them, now that Ronald has become a saint on the Corner.
Posted by: Casey Abell at October 12, 2006 3:56 PMh;
Yes, Reagan was conservative in his head and liberal in practice.
Posted by: oj at October 12, 2006 3:56 PMClinton governed exactly as he ran in '92, he just needed a GOP majority to do so, a function of being conservative.
Posted by: oj at October 12, 2006 4:12 PMIf I remember correctly, there was a National Review magazine cover in 1986 or 87, which had several side by side photos of Reagan, fading as you went from left to right.
Headline was something to the effect of "The Disappearing Conservative".
Politics is the art of what is possible. It's why Reagan, Clinton and Bush II have been successful, and why Carter and Bush I were failures.
Posted by: Dreadnought at October 12, 2006 4:18 PMh,
For his first six years, Reagan had a GOP Senate, and an effective "working Majority" of GOPers and Southern Dems. He ran rings around Tip on a regular basis.
BTW, no matter how good W or Reagan are, you do NOT put them on Mt. Rushmore! You do not alter a masterpiece.
Posted by: Brad S at October 12, 2006 4:26 PMEasy, replace the Jacobin Jefferson with Reagan now and down the line replace TR with W.
No one will know the diff.
Posted by: Jim in Chicago at October 12, 2006 4:38 PMBTW, those were so-called "entitlements,", not, entitlements.
Posted by: Lou Gots at October 12, 2006 5:54 PMWasn't Rejkayvik twenty years ago, this week?
Posted by: T at October 12, 2006 7:51 PMOJ:
So he was willing to work with Gorbachev -- big deal. He saw farther than the doves or most of the hawks ever did. He beefed up the military and took active steps to stop the Soviets. He knew in his gut that they could not compete with us. He used to joke that his job was to lead the Soviets to the precipice and convince them to take one more step. If that meant working with Gorbachev, fine. He had been an actor and he could "read" people: he saw Gorbachev and knew it was time to switch tactics. Conservatism is about what works, and that one was a big success.
He cut deals because he always made it clear that a powerful military was his preference over smaller government spending. Government did shrink to some extent during his presidency, as in domestic outlays as a share of GDP. Whatever tax increases he supported, his first one was huge, particularly the slashing of the 70% rate on the highest tax bracket.
He also insisted on penning an anti-abortion book prior to the 1984 election, thus performing penance for the abortion law he approved while California governor.
His judicial appointments did not always work out, but some of that was due to the usual scurrilous Democrats, like Senator Kennedy vs. Robert Bork. Besides, that could happen to anybody. You could write up a corollary to Robert Conquest's Second Law of Politics: Judges, craving the adulation of their peers, tend to move from right to left, almost never from left to right. That's why it's important to nominate lots of right-wing lunatics while there's still time: When you're so far to the right that you're in the breakdown lane, you've got enough room to chill out and still keep the rest of us happy.
Bush, by the way, is plenty similar: Not conservative enough now that he's in office, but when he leaves they'll build a statue of him in the conservative town square and strew rose petals around his feet.
Posted by: Matt Murphy at October 12, 2006 8:18 PMWhy'd the talks fail? Who wanted talks anyway? Reagan could have cared less about summits and talks with the Soviets, but I doubt it.
Posted by: T at October 12, 2006 8:47 PMWhich just reflects a total misunderstanding of Reagan, whose great passion was to end the nuclear standoff, regardless of cost. He'd have gladly accepted a non-nuclear USSR.
Posted by: oj at October 12, 2006 8:57 PMSo the 'bizzarr, sad chapter.." of communism in history, which, of course he was castigated for simply saying, didn't really reflect his thoughts?
Posted by: T at October 12, 2006 9:19 PMSure, but he didn't care about sad chapters, as witness leaving China, Cuba, North Korea, etc. in place. He cared deeeply about M.A.D., which he thought morally untenable.
Posted by: oj at October 12, 2006 9:21 PMOJ's dead on about Reagan and M.A.D.
Posted by: pepys at October 13, 2006 12:45 AM