August 9, 2006

IT'S NOT NOT A DEMOCRACY JUST BECAUSE YOUR SIDE LOSES:

Democracy an Its Discontents: Birth pangs of freedom in the Middle East (PETER WEHNER, August 9, 2006, Opinion Journal)

Recent elections in the Middle East discredit the Bush administration's efforts to promote democracy in that region, according to a line of argument. On "Meet the Press," Tim Russert summarized the criticism this way: "You have free elections in Iraq, and the head of the parliament calls us butchers. You have free elections in Palestine, and Hamas wins. You have elections in Lebanon, and Hezbollah wins 10, 12 seats in the parliament and two cabinet seats. Free elections are no guarantee of democracy." [...]

It is not as if Hamas replaced the Palestinian version of the Federalist Party. Hamas defeated Fatah, which was a corrupt and brutal regime under Yasser Arafat--himself a father of the modern terrorist movement. Mahmoud Abbas is a very different man and committed to peace, but he has been unable to fundamentally reform Fatah. The Palestinian people voted against Fatah in part because of Arafat's despotism. And note: Before the election, Hamas had influence and was under no international pressure to reform its ways; today, because of elections, it is for the first time facing pressure from other nations. The worst situation of all might have been for Hamas to have influence but no responsibility for governing. Now it has responsibility--and like other governments, it should be held accountable for the choices it makes.


Just a few years ago the democratization of Eastern Europe had failed because formerly communist parties sometimes won.

Posted by Orrin Judd at August 9, 2006 1:36 PM
Comments

Communism and Islamism are about as close as Bach and Tu Pac. The comparisons of what happened in Eastern Europe are meaningless.

Posted by: BJW at August 9, 2006 2:03 PM

Meaningless, only because Communism never controlled the hearts and minds of the people and now that it's defunct, it's hold of them is weak and tenuous. People living under Islam aren't so lucky. Islam completely controls their minds, hearts, bodies and souls and as long as they're told by their holy men that Allah wants them to kill, there's unlikely to any change for the better.

Posted by: erp at August 9, 2006 2:57 PM

Yes, they've been brainwashed and are lifeless zombies, unlike the free-thinking socialists of the West.

Posted by: oj at August 9, 2006 3:39 PM

Free elections are no guarantee of democracy...yes, however, Hamas was democratically elected.

Posted by: Ken at August 9, 2006 4:09 PM

They are a guarantee of democracy, just not that the party you like best will win.

Posted by: oj at August 9, 2006 4:29 PM

"brainwashed and ... lifeless zombies"

Change that one word to "killer" and you've come up with the Iranian mullahs', Hamas', Hezbullah's, binLadin's and all the other Jihadi's definition of the perfect Muslim.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at August 9, 2006 5:00 PM

By refusing to consider them you'll lose to them. Just as the Romans lost to their fanatics.

Posted by: oj at August 9, 2006 5:10 PM

They are a guarantee of democracy, just not that the party you like best will win.

True, but only to a point. Free elections only guarantee a democracy as long as the participants agree to the results. Should a government in power decides it no longer needs or desires elections, and most Tyrants don't, then democracy dies and autocracy reigns.

Wither democracy in Palestine, we shall see. The Palestinians chose Hamas, now should they sour on that choise I don't expect to see Hamas willingly step aside in favour of their enemies.

Posted by: Robert Modean at August 9, 2006 6:13 PM

Yes, they are zombies compared to the socialists of the west ... and that's saying a lot. Do we have any evidence of those living under Islam speaking out against the brutality toward women or in any other way acting independently?

Posted by: erp at August 9, 2006 6:19 PM

Yes. If you stop having elections you aren't a democracy.

Posted by: oj at August 9, 2006 6:25 PM

If you keep electing thugs you're not a civilized.

Posted by: Tom C.,Stamford,Ct. at August 9, 2006 7:21 PM

Yes, the Iranians will have to vote Ahmedinejad out to demonstrate they're serious about evolving from illiberal to liberal democracy.

Posted by: oj at August 9, 2006 7:25 PM

Why on earth would they vote him out?

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 10, 2006 12:10 AM

He's an accident and unpopular with those above and below.

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 12:15 AM

Remind you of anyone?

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 10, 2006 12:19 AM

It is irrelevant that they are democracies or not.
What is relevant is they are enemies.

Posted by: Bisaal at August 10, 2006 5:43 AM

It is the discipline of democracy that will force them to focus on domestic problems.

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 7:13 AM

joe:

No, he's sui generis. When kings had enough power to set election lists they didn't allow elections. The mullahs do.

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 7:16 AM

OJ - can you allow for the possibility that the mullahs "tolerate" elections to release a little domestic pressure and also to mollify the international community they so desperately want to manipulate? After all, Saddam had to bribe and bluster, and nobody liked him (except perhaps Mugabe). If Khameini were just like his mentor, he would probably already be dead.

Reformers in Iran have been jailed or cowed into submission - just last week, one of the most well-known ones died in prison. Khatami was a sham, but with Ahmadinejad, they apparently have gambled that they don't need to worry about image. They would rather have someone who can inspire the nutjob youth around the world than someone who makes the Europeans tingle all over.

Joe's question stands. The people are irrelevant, and the mullahs have the man they want right out front.

Posted by: jim hamlen at August 10, 2006 8:11 AM

Just a small quibble:

As I recall, the reason why the Bush administration refused to assist the democratically elected Hamas government was not because they were democratically elected, and also not because Bush would have preferred to work with Abbas.

The reason was that before the election, and after, Hamas had declared that it was dedicated to the extinction of Israel, and for some reason (true to its principles and the principles of its constituents, I suppose) found it impossible to change that position.

Now Bush could have said, like so many others (realists all?), something like, "We really would prefer you fellas don't pursue a plan to exterminate Israel, but hey, we can still work with you. What do you want us to do? Where do we sign the check?"

But, strangely enough, he didn't. Guess that makes Bush an enemy of democracy.

Posted by: Barry Meislin at August 10, 2006 8:13 AM

Yes, an embrace of Hamas by Israel and the US would have been more sensible. But emotions govern politics.

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 8:25 AM

Thanks Jim, but that's not what I meant. If Ahmenijad stands for reelection he'll win on his own.

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 10, 2006 8:26 AM

That difference is why Saddam couldn't hold elections and Khamenei does. But he miscalculated how deeply he'd alienated the Reformists in the run up to the last one and was unable to elect one.

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 8:27 AM

No, he won't. He hasn't even delivered on the economic and anti-corruption planks that his supporters wanted. Meanwhile, he's given the Reformers reason to vote next time instead of boycotting again.

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 8:35 AM

So, to sum up: he's an accident, he's disappointed his supporters, he's energized his enemies, and there's a war on. Again, does he remind you of anybody?

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 10, 2006 8:43 AM

When are the mullahs up for election?

Posted by: andrew at August 10, 2006 8:53 AM

Andrew- The mullah's speak for Allah. No election necessary. They are the 'elect'.

Posted by: Tom C., Stamford,Ct. at August 10, 2006 9:01 AM

What war? What enemies?

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 10:48 AM

Yes, that will be when they move from illiberal to liberal democracy, when the mullahs no longer have a veto. Though, if they're wise, they'll retain the current powers of the Guardians in a shah-like authority.

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 10:51 AM

Ah, so embracing those who would destroy you is the current party line?

Posted by: Barry Meislin at August 10, 2006 12:28 PM

do you have a little brother?

Posted by: oj at August 10, 2006 12:36 PM
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