August 17, 2006
DEPENDING ON CHRISTIANS, THE UN, AND FRANCE MAKES SENSE, EH?:
Resolve Is Eroding in Face of Call to Disarm Hezbollah (BENNY AVNI, August 17, 2006, NY Sun)
[A]s [Israel's foreign minister, Tzipi Livni,] called implementation of resolution 1701 "a test" for the United Nations, Secretary of State Rice was quoted as saying the multinational force envisioned in the resolution is not expected to disarm Hezbollah, which she said should be done "voluntarily."Posted by Orrin Judd at August 17, 2006 8:16 AMAnnouncing that the Lebanese army will deploy troops in the south, officials of Prime Minister Siniora's government yesterday left vague the question of Hezbollah's disarmament. Lebanon's army will allow no troops other than its own and those in the multinational force to carry weapons, they said, leaving open the possibility that Hezbollah will still maintain huge concealed arms caches.
Paris yesterday again sidestepped an announcement about the size and scope of the French contribution for the multinational force. Defense Minister Michele Alliot-Marie said France was ready to lead the force but complained that its mandate remained "fuzzy."
This truce is quickly becoming a farce. Hopefully Rice realizes what is going on and not revealing her hand. If she truly is hoping for voluntary disarming and good behavior from Hezbollah she should resign now.
Posted by: AWW at August 17, 2006 9:07 AMIt's time to turn the tables on these guys - a few covert ops to blow up these weapons 'caches' and the Hezbos will be flapping like goony birds. And somebody has to interdict any new weapons shipments. And kill the delivery boys, if necessary.
If we aren't willing to do at least that much, then AWW is right. After all, George Bush said exactly the same thing as Livni at the UN in Sept. 2002.
Posted by: ratbert at August 17, 2006 9:27 AM"[A]s [Israel's foreign minister, Tzipi Livni,] called implementation of resolution 1701 "a test" for the United Nations..."
The United Nations is the Steve Howe of international organizations. The minute any multinational soldiers step into southern Lebanon they won't be soldiers anymore. They'll either be hostages or human shields while Hezbollah rearms and retrenches for another try someday.
Only in the Middle East where Arabs keep losing the war but winning the peace.
Posted by: Rick T. at August 17, 2006 9:47 AMAllons">http://switchboard.real.com/player/email.html?PV=6.0.12&&title=La%20Marseillaise&link=http%3A%2F%2Facc6.its.brooklyn.cuny.edu%2F%7Ephalsall%2Fsounds%2Fmarseille.ra">Allons enfants ... wave the white flag and let's get back to business as usual.
Posted by: erp at August 17, 2006 11:49 AMWhy would Hezbollah disarm?
Posted by: oj at August 17, 2006 12:05 PMTo be frank, someone reminded them of what happened to the Dragon battallion of Foreign
Legionaires; who were blown up October 1983:
the Paris metro bombings in 1986; hostages
like Seurat, Carton, Fontaine, & Kauffman.
Wanted no more of it
OJ:
Because the UN has told them to several times? (Snicker)
Posted by: Rick T. at August 17, 2006 12:38 PMThey should trade these arms to the UN for statehood--then they can equip a military just like every normal nation.
Posted by: oj at August 17, 2006 12:57 PMWhat is with Bush's secretaries of state? is this where he channels some quirky feelings of shame? Rice actually said she expects the Hezbohs to disarm voluntarily? That is parody. That is Colin Powell-level diplomatic cardboardspeak. Albright is somehow back at State.
Bush, bidding so well for greatness his first term, is just tanking in his second. Chalk it up to battle-fatigue. The Prez needs a Blair/Bolton type at state, not Condi. Oh, the disappointment.
Posted by: Palmcroft at August 17, 2006 1:59 PMPatience. Hezbollah has largely been disarmed already. The chest-thumping of the Muslims and the jeremiads of the our conservatives are both Kabuki.
The lack of faith in our leaders is troubling, though.
Posted by: ghostcat at August 17, 2006 2:30 PMYour mistake lies in believing that disarmament matters.
Posted by: oj at August 17, 2006 2:36 PMoj, are you being nihilistic or practical about the relevance of disarmament?
Posted by: Palmcroft at August 17, 2006 3:47 PMThey don't have arms that can do much damage to Israel now. Once they're a state they will, but won't be a threat. Focussing on disarming an irregular force is a mug's game.
Posted by: oj at August 17, 2006 4:17 PMthis is what USA Today reports Condi as saying:
"I don't think there is an expectation that this force is going to physically disarm Hezbollah. I think it's a little bit of a misreading of how you disarm a militia. You have to have a plan, first of all, for the disarmament of a militia, and then the hope is that some people lay down their arms voluntarily."
"insanity" is to mild to describe this nonsense; it's total abdication of responsibility by Condi and her boss; it's a washing of the hands; it's desertion of our ally, Israel -- it's more than desertion, it's handing over the fate of Israel to its executioner, Hezbollah/Iran out of...ennui, at best, or the most callous and vile of ratiocinations, at worst
Posted by: Palmcroft at August 17, 2006 5:27 PMOJ: their puny munitions kept a million Israeli's in bomb shelters for a month; how many Americans would that be in an equivalent situation, 50 million? If harmless quebecois irregulars were firing shrapnelized rockets into the Northeast, you'd urge inaction? [why am i arguing with living-room helmet man when i know the response before i even post?]
Posted by: Palmcroft at August 17, 2006 5:33 PMNo, we'd crush Quebec.
Posted by: oj at August 17, 2006 6:24 PMYes, note that she doesn't expect them to disarm.
Posted by: oj at August 17, 2006 6:28 PMOJ:
They were reporting on a news channel recently that somebody in the administration (it might've been Condoleezza Rice) said Lebanon will be responsible for disarming Hezbollah.
I'm guessing some reporter mangled that one.
Posted by: Matt Murphy at August 18, 2006 2:23 AMLebanon is. They can't. Hezbollah is a more powerful political entity. Indeed, Hezbollah ought to disarm Lebanon.
Posted by: oj at August 18, 2006 8:45 AMOJ:
I suppose Shi'ite self-determination could be aided if Hezbollah disarmed Lebanon, but the concept of a terrorist group disarming a nation gives me the creeps.
It is obviously goofy to expect Lebanon to disarm Hezbollah. I recently asked my brother, a former seminarian, what the Catholic version of Just War theory would say about invading a technically sovereign state that cannot control a belligerent terrorist group operating on its own premises (he wasn't sure, although he seemed to think it was permissible if an ultimatum was first delivered to the nation harboring the terrorists).
Clearly, the whole point is that Lebanon has no control over them.
Posted by: Matt Murphy at August 18, 2006 9:23 PMThere is no nation of Lebanon.
Posted by: oj at August 18, 2006 9:39 PMOJ:
Well, technically there is, it's just artificial. Note that Lebanon was doing comparatively well until the PLO and Syria mucked around with the situation.
Posted by: Matt Murphy at August 19, 2006 12:30 AMMatt:
If the starting point of your analysis is that the Shi'a have to be oppressed by the Christians and Sunni then it was doing fabulously, like the Jim Crow South before MLK started rabble rousing.
Posted by: oj at August 19, 2006 8:11 AMOJ:
No, they don't have to be oppressed, I'm just pointing out that prior to the mid-70s, Lebanon was doing reasonably well for a Middle Eastern state. Of course, there weren't a lot of stellar regimes out there to compare it to.
Posted by: Matt Murphy at August 19, 2006 11:46 PMWe define well differently.
Posted by: oj at August 19, 2006 11:50 PM