June 15, 2006

OTHER THAN THAT, HOW DID YOU ENJOY THE SHOW, MR. ZARQZAWI?:

Text of al-Zarqawi Safe-House Document (The Associated Press

Text of a document discovered in terror leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi's

hideout. The document was provided in English by Iraqi National Security Adviser Mouwafak al-Rubaie:

___

The situation and conditions of the resistance in Iraq have reached a point that requires a review of the events and of the work being done inside Iraq. Such a study is needed in order to show the best means to accomplish the required goals, especially that the forces of the National Guard have succeeded in forming an enormous shield protecting the American forces and have reduced substantially the losses that were solely suffered by the American forces. This is in addition to the role, played by the Shi'a (the leadership and masses) by supporting the occupation, working to defeat the resistance and by informing on its elements.

As an overall picture, time has been an element in affecting negatively the forces of the occupying countries, due to the losses they sustain economically in human lives, which are increasing with time. However, here in Iraq, time is now beginning to be of service to the American forces and harmful to the resistance for the following reasons:

1. By allowing the American forces to form the forces of the National Guard, to reinforce them and enable them to undertake military operations against the resistance.

2. By undertaking massive arrest operations, invading regions that have an impact on the resistance, and hence causing the resistance to lose many of its elements.

3. By undertaking a media campaign against the resistance resulting in weakening its influence inside the country and presenting its work as harmful to the population rather than being beneficial to the population.

4. By tightening the resistance's financial outlets, restricting its moral options and by confiscating its ammunition and weapons.

5. By creating a big division among the ranks of the resistance and jeopardizing its attack operations, it has weakened its influence and internal support of its elements, thus resulting in a decline of the resistance's assaults.

6. By allowing an increase in the number of countries and elements supporting the occupation or at least allowing to become neutral in their stand toward us in contrast to their previous stand or refusal of the occupation.

7. By taking advantage of the resistance's mistakes and magnifying them in order to misinform.


Somebody want to wipe the oatmeal off John Murtha's chin and let him know we won?


MORE:
Papers show 'gloomy' state of insurgency (SAMEER N. YACOUB, Associated Press )

A blueprint for trying to start a war between the United States and Iran was among a "huge treasure" of documents found in the hideout of terrorist leader Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, Iraqi officials said Thursday. The document, purporting to reflect al-Qaida policy and its cooperation with groups loyal to ousted President Saddam Hussein, also appear to show that the insurgency in Iraq was weakening.

Seize the Day: "Our objective in Iraq is victory." (L. PAUL BREMER, June 15, 2006 , Opinion Journal)
George Bush made his trip to Baghdad, he told the new prime minister, Nuri Kamal al-Maliki, "to look you in the eye." Yet his surprise visit established more than a first-hand connection. It signposted the dramatic events of the past week, which bode well both for Iraq's future and for the broader war on terrorism. As he stood in the hall of one of Saddam's former palaces--quite literally in the eye of the storm--Mr. Bush implored the Iraqis to "seize the moment." There are now emerging indications that they are doing just that. [...]

Two years ago, in an extraordinary letter, Zarqawi told his followers that democracy was coming to Iraq and that there was no place for them in a democratic Iraq. When the Iraqis held three elections last year, Zarqawi's fear and hatred of democracy was captured in his blunt message to them: "You vote, you die." So every Iraqi who went to the polls was risking his or her life. Yet in the elections on Dec. 15, voter turnout was higher than in any American presidential election in 130 years. It is hard to imagine a more dramatic example of national courage.

By fortunate coincidence, the day Zarqawi died, Mr. Maliki took another important step by completing his cabinet. And in his meetings with President Bush on Tuesday, the prime minister laid out his program. He confirmed his government's intention to prosecute the war to victory. He reiterated that the illegal militia must be brought under central government control. He spoke of reconciliation among Iraqis, while his ministers of defense and interior made stirring calls for unity, stressing their intention to "work for all Iraqis."

The key to success in Iraq is providing security; and the key to security is defeating the Sunni insurgency. This will deny al Qaeda important support and remove the excuse Shiite militia have for taking action into their own hands. It will give the government the opportunity to rebuild the economy and to continue on the path to full democracy.

What is needed is a military campaign to defeat the insurgents. The campaign plan should determine subsidiary questions of the number, type and deployment of coalition forces. The prime minister's announcement Wednesday of a major operation to secure Baghdad may be the first step in such a plan. We should seize the opportunity now to provide all possible support to the Iraqi government. President Bush said at his press conference that ultimate success depends on the Iraqis, and that is true. But he was also right to stress that we will do what is necessary to enable that success.


It took the Administration an intolerably long time to figure out what al Qaeda always knew--it's us and the Shi'ites against Sunni recalcitrants.

MORE:
Picture of a weakened Iraqi insurgency: Document released Thursday by Iraq's government appears to show that Al Qaeda in Iraq feels vulnerable. (Scott Peterson | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor)

An Al Qaeda document linked to Abu Musab al-Zarqawi purports to show that Iraq's insurgents believe they face a "current bleak situation" that may require fomenting a war between the US and Iran to "get out of this crisis." [...]

This is "the beginning of the end of Al Qaeda in Iraq," Mowafaq al-Rubaie, Iraq's national security adviser, declared Thursday, adding that the data include network names and locations gleaned from Al Qaeda computers captured before Zarqawi's death. "The government is on the attack now ... to destroy Al Qaeda and to finish this terrorist organization in Iraq."

Posted by Orrin Judd at June 15, 2006 1:58 PM
Comments

3. By undertaking a media campaign against the [resistance] resulting in weakening its influence inside the country and presenting its work as harmful to the [population] rather than being beneficial to the [population].

Apparently this is a universal truth.

Posted by: John Resnick at June 15, 2006 2:33 PM

OJ: Nice idea, but Sen. Murtha may be otherwise engaged.

Posted by: John Resnick at June 15, 2006 2:43 PM

Not as cute as Che Guevara but you should be seeing this on college campuses shortly.

Posted by: h-man at June 15, 2006 2:48 PM

Well, this is going to be inconvenient for the Democrats who are going to have to debate on the withdrawal resolutions/amendments over the next several days isn't it.

h-man:

I'd totally buy one with this picture on the front, though, if only to annoy the types who post comments on that linked site. (Warning: some graphic language in the comment section.)

Posted by: Rick T. at June 15, 2006 3:02 PM

The maker of that recovered laptop certainly should trumpet the fact that its laptops and the data within them can survive after having two 500-pound bombs dropped upon them.

Posted by: GER at June 15, 2006 3:52 PM

The leftist theme is apparently shifting to the "Zarqawi wasn't that important - foreign jihadists only represent 10-15% of the insurgents." But a question I haven't heard asked by the media is, if foreign jihadists constitute 10-15% of insurgents, then what percentage of killings/woundings are attributable to them. If Zarqawi's gang were inflicting 30 or 40 or 50% of casualities, then that seems to me relevant in assessing the impact of his killing. There may be no way to answer this question. Would be nice, though, if the media were interested enough to ask.

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at June 15, 2006 3:53 PM

H-man

Looks too much like General Zod to ever take off. Young radicals wouldn't risk being confused with young pop culture enthusiasts.

Posted by: Shelton at June 15, 2006 4:31 PM

Ya know, I'm finding it harder and harder to accept the story that we just happened to nail the Z-Man the very day we completed preparations for a complex Iraqi/American sweep through Baghdad. Most unlikely.

Posted by: ghostcat at June 15, 2006 4:39 PM

ghost: The story is that they've been tracking Z for a while, but never quite caught up with him. That gave them 17 other safe houses, which they raided on the same day they killed him. I don't know if these other raids were also hanging fire, or if they're based on information taken out of the safe houses.

Posted by: David Cohen at June 15, 2006 4:59 PM

Actually, I wonder if this is a result of a sort of data-mining. You watch Z's friends. That leads you to 17 safe houses. You then watch the people in those houses, and they lead you to more houses, etc., etc., etc. Eventually, you just move in and roll up the whole organization.

Posted by: David Cohen at June 15, 2006 5:02 PM

Granted, I have a fertile imagination, but I find myself suspecting either (a) that we nailed him a day or two sooner than announced, or (b) that we had him constantly in our crosshairs for a day or two before we actually pulled the trigger.

Posted by: ghostcat at June 15, 2006 5:07 PM

ghostcat: There is a third possibility -- that the plans for the other operations were ready and were activated the moment we got the Zarkman.

Posted by: jd watson [TypeKey Profile Page] at June 15, 2006 6:08 PM

Curse you, jd! That was precisely what I was going to write!

It seems obvious to me that the raids were ready to go but on hold until they nailed Zark-boy. Once he was confirmed toast, the raiders were turned loose. The key is, you could nail Zark-boy and then raid, but you couldn't raid then nail.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at June 15, 2006 6:23 PM

Makes sense, but makes the most sense if we were VERY confident of nailing the bastard. I'm guessing he was in the cross-hairs for way more than an hour or two.

Posted by: ghostcat at June 15, 2006 6:39 PM

Is Zarqawi still dead?

Posted by: lebeaux at June 16, 2006 12:01 AM
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