April 15, 2006

UMM, LAST’S MONTH’S STUDY IS NO LONGER OPERATIVE

Fragrance of pine forests helps to slow climate change (James Randerson, The Guardian, April 14, 2006)

The fresh fragrance released by trees in northern pine forests is a significant component in slowing climate change, according to research.

The particles that carry the forests' olfactory assault also help to cool the planet by bouncing energy from the sun back into space. Now researchers have worked out that the forests produce enough microscopic particles to load the atmosphere around them with 1,000-2,000 particles per cubic centimetre of air.

The discovery will help plug a big hole in climate change models and so help scientists to make more accurate predictions of global warming from greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide and methane.

Hans-Christen Hansson of the Air Pollution Laboratory in Stockholm, Sweden, said airborne particles are a big unknown factor for climate scientists. "We are afraid we have totally misjudged the trend of climate change because the particles are not in the models in a comprehensive way."

The particles, called monoterpenes, give pine and spruce forests their characteristic aroma. They either affect climate directly by bouncing sunlight back into space or by seeding clouds, which do the same thing. "That gives us a very big uncertainty for projection of the effects of greenhouse gases," he added.[...]

The team studied particles generated by the so-called boreal forest. This occurs between 50 and 60 degrees north and covers swaths of Alaska, Canada, Siberia and Europe, a total of 15m square kilometres. "Given the large global coverage of boreal forest, this could have really big implications for climate," said a team member, Peter Tunved.


And just when our friends at The Guardian had us all excited about the coming Canadian banana.

Posted by Peter Burnet at April 15, 2006 7:17 AM
Comments

They probably wouldn't have been properly curved anyway.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at April 15, 2006 9:18 AM

Reagan was right. Trees are our biggest polluter.

Posted by: erp at April 15, 2006 9:39 AM

"The discovery will help plug a big hole in climate change models"

How come we only hear about "big holes in climate change models" when they're supposedly plugged?

Do you think this was the last "big hole"?

Posted by: Bob Hawkins at April 15, 2006 11:24 AM

Wait till they put into their models cigarette smoke from East Asia. That'll turn the forecasts upside down.

Posted by: pj at April 15, 2006 11:47 AM

It's not "slowing climate change" you moron. It's just one factor in millions which contribute to the dynamic systems of this planet. Some contribute to higher temperatures, some to lower, some oscillate around a long term mean (which itself may be changing), while others are just noise that hide what's really going on. The key is to figure out which ones matter, and which are irrelevant curiosities. This falls into the latter category, unlike East Asian smoking.

And once we do figure out which ones matter, (which we are nowhere close to, yet) we'll find that many are hard to quantify and document, and none of them are in anything beyond the crudest of our control or influece and those few that are come with a host of side consequences (like the Carl Sagan Memorial Global Cooling Project.) That's what makes these models such a waste of time. Once they can accurately depict Western Europe and China (two places where the record goes back more than a century, such as it is) for the last few thousand years, then we can talk about their predictive ability for the next decade at best.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at April 15, 2006 1:16 PM

I doubt that anything in the latitudes of 50-60 degrees in the Northern Hemisphere only is going to have any major effect on global climate.

Posted by: jd watson [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 15, 2006 2:32 PM

Whatever happened to the heartbreak of acid rain?

Posted by: erp at April 15, 2006 4:28 PM
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