April 10, 2006

THE LEFT ALWAYS POPS THE CORK AFTER THE FIRST EXIT POLL:

Berlusconi clings on as Italian election goes to the wire (Malcolm Moore, 11/04/2006, Daily Telegraph)

Silvio Berlusconi fought back last night to provide Italy's general election with a nail-biting finish after he had looked set to be beaten by his rival Romano Prodi.

Exit polls had shown Mr Prodi winning comfortably over his rival and taking both the Italian senate and the lower house. But last night Mr Berlusconi, the man written off as a buffoon, was clinging to power and as the final votes were being counted his centre-Right coalition looked to be ahead.

With exit polls published for almost all of the 630 seats in the lower house, Mr Berlusconi had 50 per cent of the vote, compared to 49.5 per cent for Mr Prodi's centre-Left coalition.

In the senate, despite Mr Prodi's success in early results, they appeared to have swung away in favour of his more charismatic rival, with Mr Berlusconi claiming 158 seats to Mr Prodi's 151. [...]

Whichever side wins will find it difficult to push through the reforms that are necessary to heal Italy's economy.


So much for reading the vote as a stunning rebuke for the Iraq War. Meanwhile, the notion that there are reforms that would heal the Italian economy or that any Western European party would push them through is risible.


MORE:
Europe and its leaders in turmoil (Richard Owen in Rome and Adam Sage in Paris, 4/11/06, Times of London)

TWO of Europe’s biggest countries faced turmoil last night after voters gave neither Left nor Right a decisive advantage in Italy’s general election and President Chirac’s Government was forced to abandon its bitterly contested labour reforms in France. [...]

Early exit polls proved to be wrong in predicting a clear victory for Signor Prodi, the former European Commission President, as Signor Berlusconi, whose five years in power have been dogged by economic stagnation and allegations of corruption, steadily gained ground during the count.

In both camps jubilation jostled with dismay. It was conceivable that the new government could be determined by the 12 MPs and six senators elected by a million Italians living overseas.

In France, M Chirac ordered Dominique de Villepin, his handpicked Prime Minister, to beat a humiliating retreat on his youth employment legislation after three months of strikes and huge street protests.

The upheavals in two of the European Union’s four biggest countries will have repercussions far beyond their borders.


Posted by Orrin Judd at April 10, 2006 11:08 PM
Comments

You'd think the Left would finally figure out that cooking the numbers in the polls to make you feel good only makes you feel bad after the real election. Then again, they're so used to lying that they've come to believe the fantasies they tell even when no one else does.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at April 11, 2006 12:50 AM

It is noteworthy that a major European country that has always been a significant part of the "coalition of the willing" just held an election and Al Qaeda couldn't mount an attack of any sort.

Posted by: b at April 11, 2006 12:51 AM

It is most reassuring to know that the MSM in other countries are the same lying sacks of s**t they are here.

Posted by: Lou Gots at April 11, 2006 5:16 AM

The idea behind cooking the numbers (usually through leading questions in the poll) is to create a bandwagon effect among moderates/undecideds, who they hope with gravitate towards the "majority" position, and at the same time to depress the turnout on the right, when they see poll numbers showing their side is losing badly.

This might actually work if the left could keep their mouths shut and their ideas to themselves, but when voters have to decide based on actual positions, being on the winning side or being depressed about appearing to be on the losing side becomes less important.

Posted by: John at April 11, 2006 11:18 AM
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