April 13, 2006

THE BEGINNING OF THE END?

Open Kyoto to debate: Sixty scientists call on Harper to revisit the science of global warming
(Financial Post, April 6th, 2006)

An open letter to Prime Minister Stephen Harper:

Dear Prime Minister:

As accredited experts in climate and related scientific disciplines, we are writing to propose that balanced, comprehensive public-consultation sessions be held so as to examine the scientific foundation of the federal government's climate-change plans. This would be entirely consistent with your recent commitment to conduct a review of the Kyoto Protocol. Although many of us made the same suggestion to then-prime ministers Martin and Chretien, neither responded, and, to date, no formal, independent climate-science review has been conducted in Canada. Much of the billions of dollars earmarked for implementation of the protocol in Canada will be squandered without a proper assessment of recent developments in climate science.

Observational evidence does not support today's computer climate models, so there is little reason to trust model predictions of the future. Yet this is precisely what the United Nations did in creating and promoting Kyoto and still does in the alarmist forecasts on which Canada's climate policies are based. Even if the climate models were realistic, the environmental impact of Canada delaying implementation of Kyoto or other greenhouse-gas reduction schemes, pending completion of consultations, would be insignificant. Directing your government to convene balanced, open hearings as soon as possible would be a most prudent and responsible course of action.

While the confident pronouncements of scientifically unqualified environmental groups may provide for sensational headlines, they are no basis for mature policy formulation. The study of global climate change is, as you have said, an "emerging science," one that is perhaps the most complex ever tackled. It may be many years yet before we properly understand the Earth's climate system. Nevertheless, significant advances have been made since the protocol was created, many of which are taking us away from a concern about increasing greenhouse gases. If, back in the mid-1990s, we knew what we know today about climate, Kyoto would almost certainly not exist, because we would have concluded it was not necessary.[...]

"Climate change is real" is a meaningless phrase used repeatedly by activists to convince the public that a climate catastrophe is looming and humanity is the cause. Neither of these fears is justified. Global climate changes all the time due to natural causes and the human impact still remains impossible to distinguish from this natural "noise."[...]

It was only 30 years ago that many of today's global-warming alarmists were telling us that the world was in the midst of a global-cooling catastrophe. But the science continued to evolve, and still does, even though so many choose to ignore it when it does not fit with predetermined political agendas...

Signatures

Resource depletion, the population explosion, nuclear winter, AIDS and other pandemics, the ozone hole and now perhaps climate change have all been revealed as wildly exaggerated faux-causes putatively based upon a conclusive and unchallengable scientific consensus which the left used with great success to further its timeless anti-growth, statist agenda. On the theory that ignorance is a renewable resource, you are all invited to share your predictions of what issues will be the basis of similar scare-mongering and corrupted expertise over the next twenty years.

Posted by Peter Burnet at April 13, 2006 8:41 AM
Comments

Are you sure you want to include AIDS in that list Peter?

Posted by: Shelton at April 13, 2006 9:12 AM

I think AIDS qualifies, didn't Uganda (?) prove it? 6%, IIRC, and their pres is persona non grata cos he cut their transmission rate.

Unless I'm deliberately infected by someone who has it, how am I going to get it?

Posted by: Sandy P at April 13, 2006 9:47 AM

The global warming myth is a piece of masterful propaganda that will be hard to match; indeed, it is certainly good for several more years of fund-raising/fear-mongering.

It's been a few years since we've heard about some widely-dispersed chemical that is going to kill lots of us slowly...something bigger than Alar, maybe a gasoline additive or another pesticide.

Posted by: curt at April 13, 2006 9:57 AM

This is the plan:
(1) Scary consensus driven conclusion.
(2) ?
(3) Grant Money!

signed, The global warming Gnome

Posted by: Mikey at April 13, 2006 9:58 AM

Uncontrollable, self-replicating nanobots!!!

Posted by: Rick T. at April 13, 2006 10:02 AM

You would think scientists in a nation situated just to the west of a huge ice-covered island called Greenland would at least give pause for a few moments to wonder whether or not their might be some outside forces of nature controlling the warming and cooling cycles of the Earth far more than anything man is doing. Or they could charter an expedition up there to dig up all those Nordic SUVs the Vikings were driving around that warmed the terrain 1,100 years ago.

Posted by: John at April 13, 2006 10:11 AM

Maybe it's a bit off topic, but Lileks references this article on Operation Praying Mantis. Even though it's a dubious source, I took a look. From the second paragraph we get "U.S-backed Iraq". Funny how the Left can leave their lies and information pollution everywhere they go.

As for AIDS, don't forget how we were all told in the '80s it was only a matter of time before it became a plague int he population at large.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at April 13, 2006 10:16 AM

As for AIDS in Africa, pop over to Dean's World for many posts on how AIDS statistics in Africa were heavily manipulated and had little basis in fact. The bottom line is that Africans quickly figured out that they could get a lot more sympathy and aid from the West if they called any questionable infection AIDS related. If AIDS is what got funding, then AIDS would be what made people sick.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at April 13, 2006 10:40 AM

Genetically modified "Frankenfoods" cross-pollinating with natural grains . . . producing mutant cereal crops that will upset nature's delecate balance and probably cause cancer. Or worse.

Posted by: Mike Morley at April 13, 2006 10:41 AM

Is bird flu too au courant to count?

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at April 13, 2006 10:43 AM

Sandy, I think the Pres of Uganda is on the outs since he used an abstinence based program to cut the infection rate. Per the Liberal mantra, it wasn't supposed to work, but it did.

Posted by: Ptah at April 13, 2006 10:48 AM

Mike -

I believe that gambit has already been run...the fearful Euros bought in, but that was about it.

Posted by: curt at April 13, 2006 10:50 AM

My money is on benzene!

It's in our soda pop, you know.

Two big lawsuits filed this week in N.E.U.S., claiming that two pop companies are handling their product in such a way as to allow deadly benzene to form in their product at levels higher than 4 parts per billion. It forms with heat, light, ascorbic acid and one of two other preservatives. How long before benzene is EVERYWHERE?!?!

Of course, if the Left argues that the government should ensure the safe consumption of soda pop (benzene-free soda pop), then they find themselves arguing for something that makes our kids obese.

A tradeoff may be in the works. The newly defanged aspartame may be embraced.

Posted by: Brian McKim at April 13, 2006 10:58 AM

Brian, my vote is for chemically altered sugar: The Canadians have had Splenda for years before we got it, and it tastes great: I used to favor Equal (aspartame based) in my tea, but Splenda beat it out.

Posted by: Ptah at April 13, 2006 11:01 AM

Regarding "nature's delicate balance," the latest National Geographic has an interesting article about the exclusion zone around Chernobyl. It seems that it is already quite heavily forested and teeming with fauna and other flora.

As the largest nature park in the former Soviet Union, containing only a few stubborn, aged human beings, it is what the environmentalists prescribe for the rest of the planet. All they need to do is let us build lots of nukes, and let OJ use the weaponized ones we already have!

Posted by: curt at April 13, 2006 11:04 AM

Well, it certainly won't be fear of a Dinosaur Killer, which is what will actually get us.

The key is that whatever the next over-hyped end of humanity fear is, tackling it must require overturning democratic capitalism and disproportionate blame and cost for the US. Also, to be really perfect, there must be a body of scientists able to profit from increased funding for their doomsday science.

Climate change is just so good for this that I don't see them giving up on it, so I'm going to say that we're just going to see them whipsaw between global cooling and global warming for a while.

If that's cheating, then I'm going to with either: travel in any form at speeds higher than 15 mph is destroying the atmosphere; or factory farming is destroying the oceans.

Posted by: David Cohen at April 13, 2006 11:25 AM

curt: Just more proof that when Darwin thought that nature was red in tooth and claw, he was just mistaking the red carpet nature puts down to escort us all to easy street.

Posted by: David Cohen at April 13, 2006 11:27 AM

The chemical that is the #1 killer of children: dihydrogen monoxide.

Posted by: Gideon at April 13, 2006 11:57 AM

Whether the science "proves" that there is current global warming, and that man is a/the primary cause, and that the warming will continue and potentially cause all sorts of problems, has NOTHING to do with how we should decide what policy steps we should take.

Posted by: b at April 13, 2006 11:59 AM

Ptah:

Cute story. We may have Splenda (is that why our diet drinks taste better?)but you can blame us for getting rid of sucaryl back in the early seventies. It tasted just like sugar, but some sniffy Canadian government scientists started a cancer scare based on force-feeding rats huge amounts of the stuff. It caught on in the States with no opposition (it was the seventies)and I still recall crying with laughter at the American legislator who tried to stop the madness by suggesting that instead it come with the following health warning: "Warning. Excessive consumption of this product may be dangerous to the health of your Canadian rat."

Posted by: Peter B at April 13, 2006 12:04 PM

Widescale shopping at Wal-Mart is making holes in the space-time continuum.

Posted by: Ali Choudhury at April 13, 2006 12:31 PM

My vote goes to the notion that the oil supply is running out and will soon become a MAJOR CRISIS!

Implying, of course, stop driving, buy a Prius, and save the caribou.

I riffed on it a while back here.

Posted by: Jeff Brokaw at April 13, 2006 12:34 PM

Shark attacks. Ah, to go back to a pre 9/11 world.

Posted by: andrew at April 13, 2006 12:35 PM

Thanks for the ideas, guys! That govenment grant is gonna be mine after my initial paper on Nano-flu infected Franken-Foods overwhelming the delicate balance of our sugar industry reaches the cover of Hysteria & Doom Monthly.

Research fueled sports car, here I come!

signed, the global warming Gnome

Posted by: Mikey at April 13, 2006 12:37 PM

Ban all H2O! It's for the children!
Won't somebody think of the children?

Posted by: Mikey at April 13, 2006 12:38 PM

How about chronic homelessness? Remember in the 1980's homelessness was one of those things that could happen to anyone, like you or your next door neighbor, and it could be long-term. I beleieve there were even some tv movies or plot lines in tv shows that said such things without including important factors like you would also have to be an alcoholic, drug addict and/or bipolar.

Posted by: pchuck at April 13, 2006 12:40 PM

I believe we are already in the midst of a horrifying shortage of Jennifer Lopez news.

Posted by: Dreadnought at April 13, 2006 1:00 PM

I think Mr. Brokaw nailed it. Peak oil is coming! Peak oil is coming! We're all dooomed I tells ya!
Of course the Hubbard Peak has been coming in 20 years for 50 years now, but it gives people something to rub their worry beads about.
Myself, I'm more concerned about the coming zombie apocalypse.

Posted by: Bryan at April 13, 2006 1:34 PM

Wasn't it just in the news that her's was scientifically determined to be the worlds second best butt?

Posted by: David Cohen at April 13, 2006 1:34 PM

If J-Lo only has the second best butt who has the best?

Posted by: Bryan at April 13, 2006 1:45 PM

Someone named Kylie Minogue, who frankly I've never heard of.

Posted by: David Cohen at April 13, 2006 2:18 PM

Oooo! Zombie J-Lo butts!
I feel a series of appendices coming, I tells ya!
(scribble, scribble, scribble)

signed, the global warming Gnome

Posted by: Mikey at April 13, 2006 2:34 PM

my prediction: the left as it loses power in its few remaining stronholds, will whine, scream, and cry (incessantly) about the looming theocracy. of course the fact that their subversive behavior now, would cause a muslim theocracy if it were to succeed.

Posted by: toe at April 13, 2006 2:47 PM

Kylie Minogue. First came to modest fame in the late 1980s, then re-emerged on the pop music scene about 6-7 years ago. Apparently, Australian female vocalists have late maturing butts.

Posted by: John at April 13, 2006 3:46 PM

All hail Harper! Hail Harper. I'm so glad he came along. I'm planning a long delayed vacation to the provinces.

Posted by: Genecis at April 13, 2006 5:01 PM

> we're just going to see them whipsaw between global cooling and global warming

Which is why the terminology shifted from "global warming" to "climate change." Covers 'em both.

The last fallback position is "climate variability." That's right. Random noise. No one knows what it's going to do next!

Posted by: Bob Hawkins at April 13, 2006 5:17 PM

If I had to wager, I'd go with toe. They haven't had a really good anti-clerical rant since Bismarck, and who remembers that? As so many are now so ignorant about religion it's easy to get away with Harry-like "Christians invented scalping..." stories and convince folks it's all voodoo. The formalistic civil rights-inspired respect for religion isn't going to last much longer.

Posted by: Peter B at April 13, 2006 5:54 PM

Gideon:

That website almost made me spew a mouthful of dihydrogen monoxide all over my keyboard!

Posted by: Matt Murphy at April 13, 2006 7:54 PM

While the world is centuries away from running out of petroleum, we are running out of cheap, sweet, easily processed crude oil.

That will cause some adjustments and dislocations - an important one being that the center of the global oil industry will switch from the Middle East to North America, over the next three decades.
I find that to be A Good Thing, overall.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen [TypeKey Profile Page] at April 14, 2006 1:30 AM
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» Another variant of the stream of ideas from Thought Mesh
BrosJudd has "a post on the waning of the Kyoto Protocol":http://www.brothersjudd.com/blog/archives/2006/04/the_beginning_o.html. As always, two thoughts occur to me. The first... [Read More]