March 18, 2006
WHAT GRIP?
From Iraq's front line, it looks like the media has lost the plot (Miranda Devine, March 19, 2006, Sydney Morning Herald)
A SOLDIER friend stationed in Baghdad for the past two months has been sending me emails with such arresting lines as: "It's late here and I [have] to get the Chief of Staff back to the Palace."From his office in the fortified military and government area, the Green Zone, he scans the web for news about Iraq and compares it with his reality.
"Baghdad is not burning down around my ears," he wrote last week. "Things were tense a while back, but violence was within limits. Callous thing to say, but that is the reality around here."
The only "quagmire" he sees is "the soft patch of ground out by the rifle range and no civil war in sight".
He exhibits a soldier's sang-froid. "We are expecting to be very busy the next few days. The terrorists are extremely media savvy (it's the only area they get to win) and will be looking for big headlines. End of religious festival, big crowds and convening of new government."
But with the third anniversary of the Iraq invasion tomorrow, he says, "the only people who seem to have lost both their grip on reality and their nerve are the western media".
MORE:
Fact Sheet: Operation Iraqi Freedom: Three Years Later (White House, 3/18/06)
Remarkable Progress Has Been Made In Iraq In The Last Three YearsPosted by Orrin Judd at March 18, 2006 5:57 PMOn March 19, 2003, United States And Coalition Forces Launched Operation Iraqi Freedom. Life in Iraq under Saddam Hussein was marked by brutality, fear, and terror. Iraqis had no voice in their country or their lives. Saddam Hussein devastated Iraq, wrecked its economy, ruined and plundered its infrastructure, and destroyed its human capital.
Three Years Later, Iraq Has A Democratically Elected Government. The reign of a dictator has been replaced by a democratically elected government operating under one of the most progressive constitutions in the Arab world. Millions of Iraqis have joined the political process over the past year alone. The transition from three decades of dictatorship to a fully functioning democracy is still difficult, and Iraq must overcome many more challenges before it fully secures its democratic gains.
* Saddam Hussein Is Facing Justice In An Iraqi Court. The Iraqi people are holding Saddam accountable for his crimes and atrocities.
The Next Year Will Bring A Consolidation Of These Gains, Helping A New Iraqi Government Stabilize The Nation And Build A Solid Foundation For Democracy And Increased Economic Growth. Iraq's elected leaders are diligently working to form a government that will represent all the Iraqi people. As the Iraqi government comes together and Iraqi Security Forces continue improving their readiness, efforts to stabilize the nation will increasingly be Iraqi-led. We will support the Iraqi government in these difficult times, and we will keep our commitment to the Iraqi people.
Securing A Lasting Victory In Iraq Will Make America:
* Safer by depriving terrorists of a safe haven from which they can plan and launch attacks against the United States and American interests overseas.
* More Secure by facilitating reform in a region that for decades has been a source of violence and stagnation and depriving terrorist control over a hub of the world's economy.
* Stronger by demonstrating to our friends and enemies the reliability of U.S. power, the strength of our commitment to our friends, and the tenacity of resolve against our enemies.
Despite Progress, The Situation On The Ground Remains Tense. As al Qaida's actions and statements show, terrorists reject democracy, reject peace, and want to impose their own concept of a dictatorial government on the Iraqi people. The United States and its Coalition partners are united in support of the Iraqi people and helping them win their struggle for freedom. The terrorists know they lack the military strength to challenge Iraqi and Coalition forces directly - so their only hope is to try and provoke a civil war. Immediately after the attack on the Golden Mosque of Samarra, the Iraqi people looked into the abyss and did not like what they saw. Iraqis have shown the world they want a future of freedom and peace - and they will oppose a violent minority that seeks to take that future away from them by tearing their country apart.
The President's National Strategy For Victory In Iraq Has Three Tracks - Political, Security, And Economic. All three tracks are progressing. Access the National Strategy for Victory at: http://www.whitehouse.gov/infocus/iraq/iraq_strategy_nov2005.html.
The Political Track: Iraq Has Transitioned From Tyranny And Oppression To Freedom And Democracy
Three Years Ago, Iraqis Had No Voice In Their Government Or Their Nation's Future. Simple acts like voicing concerns about bad policies or organizing a meeting were denied. Citizens feared arbitrary arrest, torture, and imprisonment. Thousands of innocent Iraqis ended up in mass graves.
Today, Millions Of Iraqis Are Shaping Their Own Destinies By Participating In Iraq's Political Process:
* Iraqis Completed Two Successful Nationwide Elections And A National Constitutional Referendum In 2005. Each successive election experienced less violence, bigger voter turnout, and broader political participation. On December 15, more than 11 million people - more than 75 percent of the Iraqi voting-age population - participated in the election for a new government under Iraq's new constitution, an increase of more than three million voters over the January election.
* Iraqi Voters Approved A New Permanent Constitution. Iraq's new permanent constitution, approved on October 15, 2005, provides a solid legal framework, based on a democratic process and inclusiveness, which the Iraqi people are working to strengthen.
* Iraqi Leaders Are Now Forming A National Government. The December election resulted in a representative parliament and offers Iraqis an opportunity to build a national unity government. Iraqi leaders continue working on forming a new broad-based, inclusive government in furtherance of their commitment to democratic principles.
The Security Track: Iraqi Security Forces Are Increasingly Taking The Lead To Protect Their Nation
Three Years Ago, Saddam Hussein And The Ba'ath Party Were Preserving The Regime's Tyrannical Rule. Under Saddam Hussein's rule, the Iraqi army was used as an instrument of repression against Iraq's own citizens and against Iraq's neighbors.
Today, An All-Volunteer Iraqi Security Force Is Taking Increasing Responsibility For Protecting Their New Nation And The Iraqi People:
* Trained Iraqi Security Forces Are Growing In Number And Assuming A Larger Role. More than 240,000 Iraqi security forces have been trained and equipped and are working to protect their fellow citizens. Iraqi Security Forces demonstrate growing competence and capability, and over 90 percent of Iraqis say they support their efforts to bring stability to the country. Over 112,000 Iraqi soldiers, sailors, and airmen have now been trained and equipped. More than 87,000 police have been trained and equipped. These police work alongside over 40,000 other Ministry of Interior forces.
* Additional Iraqi Army And Special Operations Battalions Are Conducting Operations. Last fall, there were over 120 Iraqi Army and Police combat battalions in the fight against the enemy - and 40 of those were taking the lead in the fight. Today, the number of battalions in the fight has increased to more than 130 - with more than 60 taking the lead. As more Iraqi battalions come online, these forces are assuming responsibility for more territory. Iraqi forces now conduct more independent operations throughout the country than do Coalition forces.
The Terrorists Are Turning To Weapons Of Fear Because They Know They Cannot Defeat Us Militarily. After the terrorists were defeated in the battles in Fallujah and Tal Afar, they saw they could not confront Iraqi or American forces in pitched battle and survive. So they turned to IEDs - a weapon that allows them to attack from a safe distance, without having to face our forces in battle. Innocent Iraqis are the principal victims of IEDs. Our strategy to defeat IEDs has three elements: targeting and eliminating terrorists and bomb-makers; providing our forces specialized training to identify and clear IEDs before they explode; and developing new technologies to defend against IEDs.
* Coalition Efforts To Defeat IEDs Are Producing Results. Today, nearly half of IEDs in Iraq are found and disabled before they can be detonated - and in the past 18 months, the casualty rate per IED attack has been cut in half. During the past six months, Iraqi and Coalition forces have found and cleared nearly 4,000 IEDs, uncovered more than 1,800 weapons caches and bomb-making plants, and killed or detained hundreds of terrorists and bomb-makers.
The Economic Track: Iraq's Economy, Infrastructure, And Quality Of Life Is Improving
Three Years Ago, Saddam Hussein And His Regime Led A Life Of Privilege And Luxury, While Leaving The Iraqi People Without Infrastructure To Provide Essential Services. Those out of favor were denied the simplest public services, with hunger and essential services used as weapons of tyranny. As a result, parts of Iraq suffered a severe lack of electricity, water, health care, education facilities, and other vital services. While challenges remain, and while it will take years to modernize Iraq's economy and infrastructure in the wake of Saddam Hussein's decades of neglect, significant progress has been made over the past three years.
Today, Iraq's Economy Is Recovering, And The Iraqi People Have Better Access To Essential Services:
* Iraq's Economy Is Recovering, And The Iraqi People's Standard Of Living Is Rising. Iraq's economy is showing signs of recovery after 30 years of dictatorship. In 2005, the Iraqi economy grew an estimated 2.6 percent in real terms, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has estimated it will grow by more than 10 percent in 2006. Under Saddam Hussein's regime, Iraqis' standard of living deteriorated rapidly. In nominal terms, Iraq's per capita income had dropped from $3,800 in 1980 (higher than Spain at the time) to $715 in 2002 (lower than Angola). In 2005, per-capita income is estimated to have increased to over $1,000.
* Iraq Is Rejoining The International Economic Community. Iraq is on the road to World Trade Organization accession, has received both an IMF credit facility and its first World Bank loan in 30 years, and has secured a debt agreement with the Paris Club that will lead to the forgiveness of at least 80 percent of about $40 billion of Saddam Hussein-era debt.
* Investors Are Optimistic About Iraq's Economic Future. Foreign and domestic banks are opening new offices, the stock market established in April 2004 currently lists nearly 90 companies, and a total of over 32,000 businesses are now registered in Iraq.
* More Iraqis Have Access To Clean Water. 3.1 million Iraqis enjoy improved access to clean water, and 5.1 million have improved access to sewage treatment.
* Iraq's Education System Is Being Rehabilitated. More than 30 percent of Iraq's schools have been rehabilitated, more than 36,000 teachers have been trained, and approximately 8.7 million revised math and science textbooks and 3 million school supply kits have been provided to students nationwide.
* Iraq's Public Health System Is Improving. Vaccination campaigns have significantly reduced infectious disease outbreaks. For example, 98 percent of children under five have been vaccinated for polio.
i pity the saps who get their "information" from the dinosaur media. the ny times is (almost) as professional as the A/V club at my h.s.
Posted by: tow at March 18, 2006 7:25 PMToo bad the non existant post-war planning & resulting bs coming out of the administration is now catching up with them. Cry wolf enough and no one believes you when stuff is actually going well. "No really, it is going well" just won't fly anymore unfortunately.
Posted by: scosco at March 18, 2006 8:28 PMscosco;
So you're saying that since the Bush Administration provided bad data to Old Media early, Old Media is now too jaded to report good data from the Bush Administration? Interesting – even the BDS crew has given up the pretense that Old Media makes any effort to gather actual information.
Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at March 18, 2006 9:56 PMscosco: which way do you face, when you're praying to the great chomsky ?
Posted by: tow at March 18, 2006 10:14 PMWhen the chickens finally settle down for the night, there's going to be egg all over the Left. I particularly look forward to watching their media stooges try to squirm off the hook they've impaled themselves on. I give it 6-7 months to play out.
Posted by: ghostcat at March 18, 2006 10:51 PMscosco:
You're aware your beliefs have no effect on Iraqis reality?
Posted by: oj at March 19, 2006 12:20 AMscosco,
1. The fact that something didn't go "according to plan" isn't evidence that plans weren't made, particularly in war.
Second-guessing is easy, particularly when we'll never get to test the opposition hypothesis - which could have turned out much worse.
2. The Adminstration has been more honest in its communication than the media, which wouldn't report "good news" under any circumstance.
___
In a nod to your cynicism, however, you need to be warned that the a priori assumption of most who comment here is that the Bush Administration never-ever makes a mistake, and if something goes against them (a 36% approval rating, for example) it's some one else's fault.
Posted by: Bruno at March 19, 2006 8:39 AMOne of the only a priori assumptions you can make about most who comment here is that mistakes are not confused with differences of opinion and polls are mostly ignored as irrelevant.
Posted by: erp at March 19, 2006 9:29 AM
In a nod to your cynicism, however, you need to be warned that the a priori assumption of most who comment here is that the Bush Administration never-ever makes a mistake, and if something goes against them (a 36% approval rating, for example) it's some one else's fault.
I just have to chuckle those that get all bent out of shape by any press criticizing the administration, yet go down faster than a $2 ho on every strawman Bush can invent. At what point did those assclowns suddenly start thinking government (any gov't not just Bush) was good, means us no harm and is as pure as the driven snow? The hypocrisy is astounding.
Yes, there is good news there that doesn't get reported from Iraq. Yes, we're doing a much better job there now then we were up until this point. Unfortunately, that is pretty much irrelevant. The insurgents/terrorists have taken a page out of our anti-soviet campaign in Afghanistan. They don't have to defeat us, they just have to prevent us from winning.. And as they're proving every day that is not hard to do in a country awash in weapons & people willing to die.
Posted by: scosco at March 19, 2006 1:05 PMscosco:
Recall that George W. Bush famously began his first presidential campaign by attacking Republicans in congress for being anti-government.
Posted by: oj at March 19, 2006 1:23 PMscosco, unsurprisingly, you have things backwards. we don't have to win anything in iraq, just keep your brethren from overwhelming the freely elected government for a little while longer. it is your side that has to win there, or lose all viability. you still have havana though, that's something. and pyonang!
Posted by: tow at March 19, 2006 2:07 PMThe insurgents/terrorists have taken a page out of our anti-soviet campaign in Afghanistan.That would be the one where they get the financial and military backing of a superpower? Interesting that the Afghans haven't taken that page out, isn't it? Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at March 19, 2006 3:35 PM
tow. I'll try to decipher your incoherent rant.
"We don't have to win anything in Iraq"? So by not losing you think that = victory? You're now arguing that the bar is lowered so much that simply by having elections "victory" has been achieved? Omg. You do have a sense of humor. I'll give you that.
By your logic, drawing down troops & replacing them with and equal number of Iraqi's willing/able to fight they will be able to keep Iraq free & stable. If US troops can't pacify that country today what would lead you to believe that an equal number of quickly trained Iraqi troops can do it?
My side? So, you naturally assume that some mild critique of Bush policy makes me un-American. Wow. Thin skinned are we? Or is name calling your only strength here?
Do me one favor. Define 'victory in Iraq' for me.
scosco:
The victory is already won: it required enforcement of the UN resolutions that called a cease-fire in Gulf I and allowing the Iraqi people to choose how they're governed.
Posted by: oj at March 19, 2006 4:30 PMoj
You go walk the streets there and tell me we've "won". Sad.
Posted by: scosco at March 19, 2006 10:06 PMscosco:
You sound like John Derbyshire or John Murtha. Or Walter Cronkite. Or Ramsey Clark....but wait a minute, he is in Iraq, isn't he?
Posted by: ratbert at March 19, 2006 10:34 PMGo walk the streeets and the Iraqis will tell you.
Posted by: oj at March 19, 2006 11:23 PMoj
Since we've 'won', you go first and tell me just how safe it is to walk to the corner store.
My point is simple, until we can make the place at least as safe & secure as we found it and then hand it off we have not succeeded. As horrible as Saddam was, your average Iraqi didn't live with the threat of a daily car bombing or a mass street shooting. Sure, if they pissed off Saddam they were screwed...but at least their daily life was a bit more stable.
Are we now on the right track? It's pretty pathetic to say it's taken 3 years to get to that point, but I'd probably say yes we just might be at this point. The fact that it has taken this long to actually get a clue, to circle back to my original post, is what is causing many to go 'wtf?!' when the bushbots in office say "everything is fine". They have lost all credibility.
Do I believe we should cut and run? Of course not. Iraq is dangerously close to becoming a failed state. Leaving now would ensure it.
But at the end of the day I don't know if things are going well as I, and I'm sure you, have never been on the ground there. Where we differ is that I don't trust the "reality" presented by our gov't as "fact". Where we agree, to offer up a peace pipe, is that both of us trust the press as far as we can throw them.
Posted by: scosco at March 20, 2006 1:08 AMscosco;
The average Iraqi doesn't today. Those in some portions of central Iraq do.
Your point is germane though. You wish yo see totalitarianism if necessary because it's "safe". Rather few people actually choose safety at that cost and Americans never.
Posted by: oj at March 20, 2006 8:14 AMoj,
Absolutely correct. I think primarily the security issues are now in the more populous areas w/a large Sunni population. Further from those areas the more stable it gets.
Totalitarianism I wouldn't label as "safe" per se nor something I would really "want" for anyone. Stability might be a better word of what I would want. At least you know what you're dealing with and can plan accordingly. And that is a good thing. It is unfortunate that stability is usually something a dictator, to the severe detrament of his people, is good at doing. (Tito, Saddam et al...) Regan knew this and used it to his advantage.
After chaos has taken hold though, as we're finding out, run and gun strategy is wildly difficult at best and hopelessly out of touch at worst. (ie. 'make the world safe from tyranny') What the commanders on the ground are then stuck with is trying different tactical stuff till something clicks.
By neccessity Iraq hasn't been a place we have stuck with one tactical approach, but many many. The military, to their credit, has proven extremely flexible in this regard. While that is a good thing on the ground as it saves lives and gets us at least one step closer to stability, it really doesn't play well at home. In the press pols come off as "we don't know what we're doing" as journalists can't/won't deconstruct that level of complexity well in a 200 word article. Hence the right vs. left idiological rift playing out in the press/blogosphere.
Posted by: scosco at March 20, 2006 2:49 PMscosco:
Your specific test is that we make it as secure as Saddam did. Totalitarianism is very safe.
Posted by: oj at March 20, 2006 3:45 PM