March 1, 2006

THE KENNANIZATION OF SAINT FRANCIS:

The End of Fukuyama: Why his latest pronouncements miss the mark (Christopher Hitchens, March 1, 2006, Slate)

The three questions that anyone developing second thoughts about the Iraq conflict must answer are these: Was the George H.W. Bush administration right to confirm Saddam Hussein in power after his eviction from Kuwait in 1991? Is it right to say that we had acquired a responsibility for Iraq, given past mistaken interventions and given the great moral question raised by the imposition of sanctions? And is it the case that another confrontation with Saddam was inevitable; those answering "yes" thus being implicitly right in saying that we, not he, should choose the timing of it? Fukuyama does not even mention these considerations. Instead, by his slack use of terms like "magnet," he concedes to the fanatics and beheaders the claim that they are a response to American blunders and excesses.

That's why last week was a poor one for him to pick. Surely the huge spasm of Islamist hysteria over caricatures published in Copenhagen shows that there is no possible Western insurance against doing something that will inflame jihadists? The sheer audacity and evil of destroying the shrine of the 12th imam is part of an inter-Muslim civil war that had begun long before the forces of al-Qaida decided to exploit that war and also to export it to non-Muslim soil. Yes, we did indeed underestimate the ferocity and ruthlessness of the jihadists in Iraq. Where, one might inquire, have we not underestimated those forces and their virulence? (We are currently underestimating them in Nigeria, for example, which is plainly next on the Bin Laden hit list and about which I have been boring on ever since Bin Laden was good enough to warn us in the fall of 2004.)

In the face of this global threat and its recent and alarmingly rapid projection onto European and American soil, Fukuyama proposes beefing up "the State Department, U.S.A.I.D., the National Endowment for Democracy and the like." You might expect a citation from a Pew poll at about this point, and, don't worry, he doesn't leave that out, either. But I have to admire that vague and lazy closing phrase "and the like." Hegel meets Karen Hughes! Perhaps some genius at the CIA is even now preparing to subsidize a new version of Encounter magazine to be circulated among the intellectuals of Kashmir or Kabul or Kazakhstan? Not such a bad idea in itself, perhaps, but no substitute for having a battle-hardened army that has actually learned from fighting in the terrible conditions of rogue-state/failed-state combat. Is anyone so blind as to suppose that we shall not be needing this hard-bought experience in the future?

I have my own criticisms both of my one-time Trotskyist comrades and of my temporary neocon allies, but it can be said of the former that they saw Hitlerism and Stalinism coming—and also saw that the two foes would one day fuse together—and so did what they could to sound the alarm. And it can be said of the latter (which, alas, it can't be said of the former) that they looked at Milosevic and Saddam and the Taliban and realized that they would have to be confronted sooner rather than later. Fukuyama's essay betrays a secret academic wish to be living in "normal" times once more, times that will "restore the authority of foreign policy 'realists' in the tradition of Henry Kissinger." Fat chance, Francis!


Mr. Hitchens' questions here are too particular, especially where Mr. Fukuyama is concerned, his End of History having been a universalist argument:
The twentieth century saw the developed world descend into a paroxysm of ideological violence, as liberalism contended first with the remnants of absolutism, then bolshevism and fascism, and finally an updated Marxism that threatened to lead to the ultimate apocalypse of nuclear war. But the century that began full of self-confidence in the ultimate triumph of Western liberal democracy seems at its close to be returning full circle to where it started: not to an "end of ideology" or a convergence between capitalism and socialism, as earlier predicted, but to an unabashed victory of economic and political liberalism.

The triumph of the West, of the Western idea, is evident first of all in the total exhaustion of viable systematic alternatives to Western liberalism. In the past decade, there have been unmistakable changes in the intellectual climate of the world's two largest communist countries, and the beginnings of significant reform movements in both. But this phenomenon extends beyond high politics and it can be seen also in the ineluctable spread of consumerist Western culture in such diverse contexts as the peasants' markets and color television sets now omnipresent throughout China, the cooperative restaurants and clothing stores opened in the past year in Moscow, the Beethoven piped into Japanese department stores, and the rock music enjoyed alike in Prague, Rangoon, and Tehran.

What we may be witnessing is not just the end of the Cold War, or the passing of a particular period of postwar history, but the end of history as such: that is, the end point of mankind's ideological evolution and the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government. This is not to say that there will no longer be events to fill the pages of Foreign Affair's yearly summaries of international relations, for the victory of liberalism has occurred primarily in the realm of ideas or consciousness and is as yet incomplete in the real or material world. But there are powerful reasons for believing that it is the ideal that will govern the material world in the long run.


Instead, on the basis of his own theory, Mr. Fukyama might ask himself these questions:

(1) Is Islamicism appreciably different than Nazism, communism, socialism, etc. were either in terms of ideological structure or likelihood of succeeding as a political system?

(2) If you somehow arrive at affirmative answers to those two questions, then: is Islamicism likely to defeat "economic and political liberalism" as those others failed to do, or at least to achieve a long term modus vivendi, such that we'll be forced to recognize Islamicism as a viable alternative to liberal democracy?

(3) If you somehow arrive at an affirmative response there, then the question is: oughtn't we strangle Islamicism in its crib, as we failed to do to Bolshevism in Russia and Nazism in Germany? If the answer to all these is, more sensibly, in the negative, then: aren't the current events that cause us all so much consternation, just one more chapter in the completion of the victory of liberalism in the material world, exactly the kind of event Mr. Fukuyama acknowledged would continue to fill the pages of Foreign Affairs (and the NY Times Magazine)?

It's hardly surprising that folks aren't enjoying this chapter of the Long War anymore than they did the prior ones, but it is shocking that some are losing confidence in the outcome during what is far and away the easiest and least bloody yet written.


MORE (via Ed Driscoll):
Neoconservatives: The new hippies (Danny Kampf, February 22 2006, The Daily Colonial)

For those of you unfamiliar with Leon Trotsky, he was one of the chief architects of the Russian Revolution. He was an idealist and a militant. Before the revolution, while he was in prison, Trotsky cultivated his famous theory of permanent revolution: a concept which would later provide the impetus for Soviet imperialism.

An independent thinker (he was originally a leader of the opposition Mensheviks), Trotsky was single handedly responsible for crafting the Red Army into a machine whose purpose was to forcibly spread his idealistic brand of Marxism across the world. Substitute “Marxism” with “democracy” and the leap from Trotskyism to neoconservatism appears remarkably diminutive.

Small as the gap may have been, neoconservatives certainly didn’t make the jump to democracy overnight. It took years of audacious brutality and cynical ideological manipulation by the Stalinist Regime before they were finally disenchanted with communism.

Left in a political vacuum, they eventually gravitated towards realpolitik. This resulted in what Francis Fukuyama calls a “realistic Wilsonianism.” The philosophy essentially boils down to this: the United States is a benign hegemon with the unique ability to create a democratic world order that respects human dignity. Hegemonic as it may be, however, the early neoconservatives believed it was imperative for the United States to act prudently, by avoiding war when possible and cautiously exercising force when not.

As a liberal, I’d say I agree with that doctrine almost in its entirety. But if that’s the case, why is it that I almost always find myself at odds with the policies of the first neoconservative administration ever: the Bush Administration?

Well, the sad fact of the matter is that neoconservatism has become a grotesque caricature of its once great former self. Gone are the days of academic nuance, realpolitik and judicious analysis of international relations. All that remains is its idealism and a throwback to its morphed Trotskyite heritage: the insufferable notion that democracy in and of itself (much like Marxism) has the power to single-handedly cure all the world’s ails.


Mr. Kampf is badly confused here. It is the theocons, like President Bush, who recognize that liberal democracy is only a means (and not necessarily the only means), to the end of vindicating the human dignity that God granted Man. Likewise, Trotsky was not wrong just about the means but about the End he sought.

MORE/MORE:
Writers slam Islamic 'totalitarianism' (Al Jazeera, 28 February 2006)

The recent violence surrounding the publication in the West of caricatures of Prophet Muhammad illustrate the danger of religious "totalitarianism," Salman Rushdie and a group of other writers have said in a statement.

Rushdie, French philosopher Bernard Henri-Levy and exiled Bangladeshi writer Taslima Nasreen were among those putting their names to the statement, to be published on Wednesday in the French weekly Charlie Hebdo, one of several French newspapers which reprinted the controversial cartoons.

"After having overcome fascism, Nazism, and Stalinism, the world now faces a new global threat: Islamism," they wrote.

"We, writers, journalists, intellectuals, call for resistance to religious totalitarianism and for the promotion of freedom, equal opportunity and secular values for all."


One stop forward, for recognizing that Islamicism is the same as Nazism. Two steps back for not differentiating fascism and for referring to Stalinism, rather than Communism. And then they renmder themselves trivial by calling for secular "values."

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 1, 2006 9:40 AM
Comments

Yeah, because it always works out well when government engages in "academic nuance, realpolitik and judicious analysis of international relations."

Posted by: David Cohen at March 1, 2006 11:18 AM

Sorry Mr. Kampf, I usually quit reading after the second straw man. Reasonable 'neocons' are not advancing "the democracy as panacea" position you propose to equate to early Marxism (which, isn't this the thinly-veiled but obligatory, back-door Conservative=Nazi reference?). Secondly, Trotsky's revolution wielded the power it garnered to indiscriminately kill millions. Were sparingly and grudgingly wielding many times that same power to free millions.

Posted by: John Resnick at March 1, 2006 11:41 AM

Two points:

First, This entire discussion elides consideration of the mechanism whereby the end of history operates, namely military Spencerianism. Ways of thinking and ways of acting are in competition. It is in battle that they are proven.

Communism failed because of its contradictions, yes, but the mechanism whereby it failed was military. Its recognition that it could not compete with us is air, naval and space power was the precipitating factor in its surrender.

Failed systems, such as Communism and Islam, can sputter along indefinitely as kinds of prison systems, enforcing ideology on their inmates with terror. What they cannot do, because of the inefficiencies which RICO-like operation entails, is to compete militarily with advanced, truly progressive, systems.

Now, why is this overlooked? Just because intellectuals, such as Fukuyama, being thinkers and not doers have a blind spot for the principle, Polemos pater panton.

Think back to that "peace-studies/war-studies" discussion a few days ago. Intellectuals look right past the profession of arms as a legitimate academic endeavor, casting about for "war studies" for those who are most careful to remove themselves from war.

Second, As to uniquely Christian doctrine of the two cities, derived from the teaching of the Coin of Tribute, it it here that we see the wellspring of our success and our power.

The informed conscience can be trusted with with the freedoms which in turn lead to great wealth and great power. Subordination of the spiritual to the temporal, the political, as when princes appoint, or polities elect, religious authorities, makes this impossible.

When the state intrudes on the spiritual realm, whether the state is tyrannical or democratic, ordered liberty breaks down. The holder of political power then attempts to rule both cities, and fails in both.

Posted by: Lou Gots at March 1, 2006 12:11 PM

Actually, the USSR had succeeded militarily--it achieved parity with the West and never lost a conflict with us after Poland beat them. It failed economically.

Posted by: oj at March 1, 2006 12:15 PM

Does the battle in the skies of Lebanon in 1982 count as a Soviet "failure"?

Posted by: jim hamlen at March 1, 2006 1:43 PM

Mr. Judd;

You missed Lou's point, which is that the economic and military failures of the USSR are inseperable. The USSR could have sputtered on for decades if not centuries more, if they had not chosen to compete militarily. Lou is absolutely that the specific failure mechanism may vary, but it is the failure to compete that is the root cause.

Consider North Korea. One could hardly argue that its military has achieved parity with ours, yet the regime continues because it has done much less competing with the West than the USSR did. I've made the same argument about China, that what's going to do in the ChiComs is the relative failure of their system compared to ours.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at March 1, 2006 3:28 PM

AOG:

Not as well read as you all, but didn't communist ideology COMPEL them to compete militarily?

Posted by: Rick T. at March 1, 2006 4:10 PM

Does anyone argue against the fact that the economic and military failures of the USSR are inseparable? I hope nobody on this blog thinks the Soviets achieved anything like parity with us in anything. That was a myth promulgated by the worldwide leftie movement and their media partners in crime.

I remember the kids who attended the junior year in Moscow program in the '80's. On the way out, they were lefties, one and all. On the way home again, they literally kissed the ground at the airport. Nary a lefty left among them, except the faculty of course.

Posted by: erp at March 1, 2006 4:52 PM

Rick;

To some extent. But again, consider the case of North Korea. If a regime can sufficiently restrict knowledge of other societies from its subjects, it can "compete" virtually rather than in real life.

Alternatively, a regime can try to change the general utility function, as Cuba and its apoligists do by defining "universal health care" as the only measure of success for a society. Or anti-Americanism / xenophobia, as the ChiComs are trying. The Soviet mistake was to try to compete against our strengths.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at March 1, 2006 5:20 PM

AOG:

No, the point is that they could have remained a military equal, but couldn't grown an economy.

Posted by: oj at March 1, 2006 5:28 PM

The real issue here is how long the American people can resist the constant negative, defeatist, and sedicious leftist press and their allies in the Democratic (disloyal) opposition and the Academy (filled with unreconstructed Marxists). These groups will do everything to get back into power and have already declared us the losers in the war against Islamofascism.
The ultimate triumph of liberal democracy as has always been the case depends upon the will of the people to persevere.

Posted by: morry at March 1, 2006 5:35 PM


morry, hard as it is to be optimistic some days, you must remember the print media, network news and Hollywood are losing customers in droves. In academe, the worst of the commies are being exposed and at Harvard students are risking retaliation by their professors for publicly going against them and supporting the ousted president.

Be of good cheer. Things really are looking up.

Posted by: erp at March 1, 2006 6:46 PM

The Ba'athsts still run Syria.

Posted by: oj at March 1, 2006 9:03 PM

erp:

We never attacked them because they were perceived to have parity. It was a mistake, of course.

Posted by: oj at March 1, 2006 9:07 PM

Mr. Judd;

No, if they couldn't grow an economy, they couldn't remain equal (presuming they were equal, which is quite debatable IMHO). Wasn't that precisely the insight Reagan had, and why SDI was the final straw, because it demonstrated precisely this fact?

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at March 1, 2006 9:43 PM

No, Gorbachev wasn't appointed to keep them even in military strength -- which they'd maintained for sixty years with a crap economy -- but to get their economy growing. When he tried the minimal reforms he thought would help it all went bung. Even a little truth was more than the system could stand.

Posted by: oj at March 1, 2006 10:05 PM

The Soviets had to deal with 'truth' in the form of Chernobyl, which horrified the Europeans in a way that the SS-20s did not, and then they had to deal with 'truth' in the form of the retreat from Afghanistan. In addition to Gorby's feeble attempts at "reform", these two events were decisive.

And we should not forget the downing of KAL 007, which was three years earlier even than Chernobyl. All in all, the Soviets were on a steep glide slope from about 1982 on (with respect to any hope for 'parity' with the West). Only professional apologists, traitorous academics, and lefty fools refused to see what was happening right in front of us.

Posted by: jim hamlen at March 1, 2006 10:43 PM

The truth that mattered was when dissidents showed that the Revolution was a totalitarian evil from its inception, not a good that got warped by Stalin. Once the regime was delegitimized it couldn't continue.

Posted by: oj at March 1, 2006 10:50 PM

oj. Yes. Flim-flam and smoke-and-mirrors have been the left's M.O. from the beginning. Fear of Soviet nuclear retaliation kept us from finishing off Saddam in the first Gulf war, kept us from liberating Cuba, going to the aid of Hungary and Poland and bunch of other things I can't think of right now.

They're still trying to do it but with less and less success. To wit, today's paper has a plethora of nonsense about atrocities perpetrated by the Chimpybushhitler. It's so laughable only the most rabid of the Kool-Aid drinkers could take any of it seriously including the latest polls.

Posted by: erp at March 2, 2006 9:36 AM

Jim Hamlen: All in all, the Soviets were on a steep glide slope from about 1982 on (with respect to any hope for 'parity' with the West). Only professional apologists, traitorous academics, and lefty fools refused to see what was happening right in front of us.

I take a more jaunticed view: the apologits, traitors, and lefty fools did not refuse to see, but ACTED TO PREVENT. I think they knew the USSR could not really stand up to a resolute West, and so did all they could to swing the advantage to the USSR. Reagan, for all his faults, refused to to along with the coverup and it fell apart. The truth was that the USSR was made in the West and propped up by the West, so when the "mark" refused to go along with the Con Man, the Con Man realized the con was busted and settled for the next best thing.

The USSR was all about supporting and nuturing the Nomenkultrua elites. The New Russia is STILL doing the same thing, only via capitalism (the next best thing). When that ceases to work, they'll come up with another con game.

Posted by: Ptah at March 2, 2006 9:46 AM
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