February 19, 2006

NOT WITH A BANG BUT AN XBOX

How it all ends (Geoffrey Miller, National Post, February 18th, 2005)

Fitness-faking technology tends to evolve much faster than our psychological resistance to it. The printing press is invented; people read more novels and have fewer kids; only a few curmudgeons lament this. The Xbox 360 is invented; people would rather play a high-resolution virtual ape in Peter Jackson's King Kong than be a perfect-resolution real human. Teens today must find their way through a carnival of addictively fitness-faking entertainment products: MP3, DVD, TiVo, XM radio, Verizon cellphones, Spice cable, EverQuest online, instant messaging, Ecstasy, B.C. Bud. The traditional staples of physical, mental and social development (athletics, homework, dating) are neglected. The few young people with the self-control to pursue the meritocratic path often get distracted at the last minute -- the MIT graduates apply to do computer game design for Electronics Arts, rather than rocket science for NASA.

Around 1900, most inventions concerned physical reality: cars, airplanes, zeppelins, electric lights, vacuum cleaners, air conditioners, bras, zippers. In 2005, most inventions concern virtual entertainment -- the top 10 patent-recipients are usually IBM, Matsushita, Canon, Hewlett-Packard, Micron Technology, Samsung, Intel, Hitachi, Toshiba and Sony -- not Boeing, Toyota or Wonderbra. We have already shifted from a reality economy to a virtual economy, from physics to psychology as the value-driver and resource-allocator. We are already disappearing up our own brainstems. Freud's pleasure principle triumphs over the reality principle. We narrow-cast human-interest stories to each other, rather than broadcasting messages of universal peace and progress to other star systems.

Maybe the bright aliens did the same. I suspect that a certain period of fitness-faking narcissism is inevitable after any intelligent life evolves. This is the Great Temptation for any technological species -- to shape their subjective reality to provide the cues of survival and reproductive success without the substance. Most bright alien species probably go extinct gradually, allocating more time and resources to their pleasures, and less to their children.

Heritable variation in personality might allow some lineages to resist the Great Temptation and last longer. Those who persist will evolve more self-control, conscientiousness and pragmatism. They will evolve a horror of virtual entertainment, psychoactive drugs and contraception. They will stress the values of hard work, delayed gratification, child-rearing and environmental stewardship. They will combine the family values of the Religious Right with the sustainability values of the Greenpeace Left.

My dangerous idea-within-an-idea is that this, too, is already happening. Christian and Muslim fundamentalists, and anti-consumerism activists, already understand exactly what the Great Temptation is, and how to avoid it. They insulate themselves from our Creative-Class dream-worlds and our EverQuest economics. They wait patiently for our fitness-faking narcissism to go extinct. Those practical-minded breeders will inherit the earth, as like-minded aliens may have inherited a few other planets. When they finally achieve Contact, it will not be a meeting of novel-readers and game-players. It will be a meeting of dead-serious super-parents who congratulate each other on surviving not just the Bomb, but the Xbox. They will toast each other not in a soft-porn Holodeck, but in a sacred nursery.


Posted by Peter Burnet at February 19, 2006 6:48 AM
Comments

"Fitness-faking entertainment devices"?

Like watching the NFL, or NBA? Or Pay-Per View boxing? Or the watching gladiatorial combat in the Colosseum? As though there has never been anything called vicarious enjoyment in the history of the world.

Would I allow my children to get sucked up into it? No. Of course not. But mostly because it's crap, not because it's virtual. Will the mind-body image, God's living sculpture of the human race survive all this? I think so.

Posted by: Frank at February 19, 2006 8:40 AM

I take strong issue with the assertion that the Wonderbra is not an innovation in visual entertainment.

Besides, the bright alien/super-parent Contact was already achieved When Al Met Tipper.

Posted by: Noel at February 19, 2006 8:59 AM

Geoffrey Miller is right on-point. As he writes earlier in the article:

Basically, I think the aliens don't blow themselves up; they just get addicted to computer games. They forget to send radio signals or colonize space because they're too busy with runaway consumerism and virtual-reality narcissism. They don't need Sentinels to enslave them in a Matrix; they do it to themselves, just as we are doing today.

We will do that too.

I'm just more optimistic than he is about the percentage of people who won't be content to achieve "virtual" success, who want to erect an actual, real-world Ozymandian statue.

After all, right now most people contribute nothing of lasting effect to the world except children, so if 80% of the future population spends most of their time in virtual universes of their own making, nothing much will change except that the real-world parks and beaches will be much less crowded.

The world has always been driven and managed by a small percentage of the general population, a population that, as Frank suggests, have always managed to find pleasures, simple or otherwise, to engage their time with.

The sticking point isn't engagement with reality, it's reproduction, and we already have one solution to that problem, as outlined in Brave New World.

Posted by: Noam Chomsky at February 19, 2006 9:47 AM

A visit to this site is a virtual experience. The Proprietor and his loyal commentators provide wisdom, humor and insights that are not only entertaining but of significant practical value.

The ‘front porch’, ‘coke case’, and more formal sites for conversation and enlightenment in days gone by was infantile in comparison.

The wisdom, experience and professional knowledge of those who comment here and in similar sites far exceed the contribution of a single writer, even if a competent staff and editorial overview support him.

In such a world, those who seek the Truth will find it more easily and procreation will be a by-product of finding that Truth.

Posted by: tgn at February 19, 2006 11:37 AM

The problem with this sort of doomsday prediction is summarized in Stein's Law: "If something can't go on forever, it will stop."

Posted by: PapayaSF at February 19, 2006 1:33 PM

tgn, How delightful, an anti-troll! You're right, this is a fun place to hang out.

Posted by: erp at February 19, 2006 1:37 PM

Trying to figure out what makes OJ tick provides endless virtual entertainment. Easier than sitting on the front porch watching your quirky but talented neighbor.

Posted by: BrianOfAtlanta at February 22, 2006 12:01 PM
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