January 24, 2006

CLOSER & CLOSER TO 60:

Top 10 U.S. Senate Races of 2006 (John Gizzi, 1/23/06, Human Events)

9. Michigan

Arch-liberal Debbie Stabenow was the closest winner among new Democratic senators elected in 2000. At a time when Michigan GOPers are on a political roll under State Chairman Saul Anuzis, she will face a strong challenge from either of the potential Republican candidates—Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard or former Detroit City Councilman Keith Butler, an articulate black conservative. [...]

2. Maryland

Rep. Ben Cardin and former NAACP head Kweisi Mfume are waging a fierce battle for the Democratic nomination to succeed retiring Sen. Paul Sarbanes (D.). Their infighting could help Republican Lt. Gov. Michael Steele become the second black GOP senator in the nation since Reconstruction. A Rasmussen poll shows pro-lifer Steele slightly leading both Cardin and Mfume.

Posted by Orrin Judd at January 24, 2006 7:22 AM
Comments

If (when?) the national black vote were to shift to even 80-20 or so, 60 would be far in the rearview mirror...

Posted by: b at January 24, 2006 11:17 AM

The Dems in MD must be very worried - just saw on PoliPundit that they are going to press (in the state legislature) to restore the voting rights of all convicted felons.

Even 8 years ago, this was something they would never have considered. But now, I wouldn't be surprised if they were to try to pass a law that only (public) union members, inner-city blacks, and those with incomes over $1,000,000 a year could vote. They are truly the party of the very rich enslaving the very poor.

Posted by: ratbert at January 24, 2006 11:33 AM

The Dems in WA state are attempting the same move with felons. I have to believe that policies such as this one will, sooner or later, alienate the latte'-liberals of the suburbs and we can get this ultra-blue region headed back to the right.

Posted by: Patrick H at January 24, 2006 12:52 PM

b - A shift to 80-20 (from the current roughly 87-13) would only shift 1% of the total vote, which would swing only a few races. If it goes to 60-40, which would be a shift of 4% of the vote, then we go from a 51-49 nation to a 55-45 nation -- that's huge, and gets you to 60 in the Senate on a regular basis.

Posted by: pj at January 24, 2006 3:43 PM

Sadly, none of the republican contenders are making a big enough splash to dampen the re-election bid of "Levin's shadow".

Posted by: Dave W at January 24, 2006 10:31 PM

Can the shadow be larger than the object? I mean, that would take some doing, right?

Posted by: ratbert at January 25, 2006 8:29 AM
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