January 26, 2006
ARE THEY REALLY LIKELY TO RESIST THE APHRODISIAC?:
Hamas Without Veils: No more hiding behind the PA (Emanuele Ottolenghi, 1/26/06, National Review)
Contrary to initial responses, Hamas’s projected victory in the Palestinian parliamentary elections is a positive development. Not, as its apologists claim, because the proximity of power will favor a process of cooptation into parliamentary politics, and therefore strengthen the pragmatic wing of Hamas. There is no pragmatic wing in Hamas, and all differences within the movement — the armed wing and the political wing, Palestine Hamas and Hamas in Syria — are arguably tactical differences. No, the reason is, as Vladimir Ilich Lenin would put it, "worse is better." [...]What victory does to Hamas is to put the movement into an impossible position. As preliminary reports emerge, Hamas has already asked Fatah to form a coalition and got a negative response. Prime Minister Abu Ala has resigned with his cabinet, and president Abu Mazen will now appoint Hamas to form the next government. From the shadows of ambiguity, where Hamas could afford — thanks to the moral and intellectual hypocrisy of those in the Western world who dismissed its incendiary rhetoric as tactics — to have the cake and eat it too. Now, no more. Had they won 30-35 percent of the seats, they could have stayed out of power but put enormous limits on the Palestinian Authority’s room to maneuver. By winning, they have to govern, which means they have to tell the world, very soon, a number of things.
They will have to show their true face now: No more masks, no more veils, no more double-speak. If the cooptation theory — favored by the International Crisis Group and by the former British MI-6 turned talking head, Alistair Crooke — were true, this is the time for Hamas to show what hides behind its veil.
As the government of the Palestinian Authority, now they will have to say whether they accept the roadmap.
Maybe someone else can think of one, but I can't recall any political organization that ever decided there were things it was more interested in than the retention and exercise of power. Posted by Orrin Judd at January 26, 2006 4:36 PM
We'll all be watching the Salome event during the Winter Games. It's all downhill.
Posted by: ghostcat at January 26, 2006 4:48 PMAccording to Lucianne.com, "Bush reiterated that the United States will not deal with Palestinian leaders who do not recognize Israel's right to exist."
Now what?
they'll formally recognize its right to exist--they already have rhetorically.
Posted by: oj at January 26, 2006 5:15 PMthey[Hamas]'ll formally recognize its [Israel] right to existWhy? The PLO never did. As you yourself note, Hamas' primary goal will be to retain power. That hardly means slacking off on the incendiary rhetoric. After all, jingoism in defense of a weak regime is a classic play. Moreover, Hamas is backed by Iran, so why wouldn't they imitate their paymasters? Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at January 26, 2006 8:49 PM
The PLO recognizes Israel and negotiates with it. So will Hamas.
Posted by: oj at January 26, 2006 8:53 PMNot only that but Hamas will disarm. They will fire the current "police force," who are Fatah stooges, and hire their guns on as cops. They will tehen track down and kill all of the fatah gun-men. "Look," they will say, "We have disarmed Fatah."
Posted by: Robert Schwartz at January 26, 2006 10:07 PMI seem to remember the same argument being made after Iran's presidential election, i.e., "good thing that the extremist got elected." Lots of people are going to die.
Posted by: Steve at January 26, 2006 10:40 PMSteve:
No, the Iranian election was a biff by reformers and Khamenei who misjudged each other and got stuck with the least desirable option.
Hamas is the best option here. If Israel really thought Fatah was preferable in Palestine they'd have released Marwan Barghouti.
