November 15, 2005

GET OUT IN FRONT:

Iraqi, U.S. Officials Talk of Withdrawal: Authorities signal that foreign troops could start pulling out in the next two years. (Paul Richter and John Daniszewski, November 15, 2005, LA Times)

Iraqi President Jalal Talabani said on a British TV program over the weekend that Iraqi forces might be ready to replace British troops by the end of next year. Deputy Prime Minister Ahmad Chalabi and Zalmay Khalilzad, the U.S. ambassador to Iraq, have also predicted recently that a substantial troop reduction could begin in 2006.

As U.S. public support for the war has declined in recent months, Democrats have become bolder in criticizing the war, and some Republicans are worried that discontent about the conflict could cost the GOP congressional seats next year.

On Monday, the Senate began debate on measures that would, for the first time, ask Bush to set limits for keeping troops in Iraq, Bloomberg News reported.

One measure is sponsored by Majority Leader Bill Frist of Tennessee and fellow Republican Sen. John W. Warner of Virginia, and another is backed by Democratic Sens. Harry Reid of Nevada and Carl Levin of Michigan. Both would require the White House to make periodic reports to lawmakers on the military situation in Iraq. Votes could come today.


Long past time for the President to go visit Mr. Talabani and they can jointly announce the drawdowns.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 15, 2005 10:07 AM
Comments

Other bloggers are pretty upset with these Senate resolutions as they appear to undermine support in Bush and the war. The GOP senators probably feel it is no big deal but the Dems and MSM realize these resolutions can be spun to hurt Bush.

Posted by: AWW at November 15, 2005 10:13 AM

AWW:

Not withdrawing in '03 was a mistake--the Senate isn't obligated to keep going along with a mistaken policy. If Mr. Bush just reads one of his own speeches he'll see that we invaded in order to be able to leave.

Posted by: oj at November 15, 2005 10:59 AM

OJ - agree. But what the Senate resolutions appear to do is order Bush to pull out in '06. He may have been planning to do it anyway but it gives the appearance that the Senate, particularly the Dems, are ordering the president around.

Posted by: AWW at November 15, 2005 11:03 AM

Maybe I'm wrong, but the message that I've been getting by 'reading between the lines' is that we've long been planning to begin the Iraq drawdown with the next troop rotation (March, I believe). I'm presuming that the National Guard troops returning to the US won't be replaced by additional NG troops.

Oddly, that probably won't result in an immediate drop in casualties for us. Our troops are heavily committed to the dangerous western region of Iraq while the Iraqi security forces continue to expand, develop, and train. I'm assuming it will be about a year until the Iraqi forces are up to snuff.

Oh, and 'snuff' might be exactly what the Kurds and Shia's will do the Sunnis once we leave. Really, the Sunni have been behaving in a suicidal manner.

Posted by: Patrick Phillips at November 15, 2005 11:08 AM

Patrick: The Ba'athist insurgency seems to be dying down. What we're seeing is mostly the work of Al Qaeda in Iraq. This is the bind that Zarqawi is in. On the one hand, the Ba'athists want to keep attacking the Shi'a and, if the insurgeny is not going to keep attacking the Shi'a, the Ba'athists aren't interested. On the other hand, attacking the Shi'a undercuts support for Al Qaeda throughout the Arab and Muslim worlds, which is why he's been ordered to stop.

Posted by: David Cohen at November 15, 2005 11:12 AM

How could Bush have let things get so out of hand? Republican senators and not just the known RINOs, proposing counter-measures and voting against Bush's initiatives? Unbelievable.

I must continue to believe there's a grand strategy and it's playing itself out just as Bush/Rove intended because I can't bear to think that it'll soon be business as usual with the Democrats back in power and our foreign policy back in Kofi's hands.

Posted by: erp at November 15, 2005 11:16 AM

I agree with OJ that we should start withdrawing troops as "requested" by the Iraq government.

Having said that, the President should veto this bill, it is a surrender of his constitutional powers to conduct the war. If the veto is overridden, he should simply ignore it.

Posted by: Bob at November 15, 2005 12:25 PM

The war is rapidly being won. Al Qaeda is rapidly being destroyed. The new, democratic government is becoming more and more successful.

Therefore, every politician in Washington now wants to get as much credit as possible for bringing the war to success. The Democrats want to say, "Bush was never going to win the war, but we pushed him to win it quickly, and thanks to our pushing, he did it." They don't want to be seen as do-nothing critics.

This is a de facto acknowledgement of the soundness of Bush's strategy, without any embarrassing overt admissions.

Posted by: pj at November 15, 2005 12:28 PM

Aww:

If you don't lead you follow.

Posted by: oj at November 15, 2005 12:31 PM

oj - It's too late for Bush to lead with a "Withdraw, withdraw!" program. If he goes public with that, he'll be seen as a follower. Rather, he can just continue with his own strategy, much proclaimed, of drawing down troops as milestones in training Iraqi troops are met, and when it succeeds say smile at the critics and let his supporters say "We told you so."

Posted by: pj at November 15, 2005 1:08 PM

pj:

Pshaw--he joined the call for a Homeland Security Department even later and got all the credit.

Posted by: oj at November 15, 2005 1:34 PM

Will we be able to pump all of their oil out of the ground in two years?

Posted by: AllenS at November 15, 2005 1:35 PM

Trolls, Bless their little hearts, are so droll. Of course we can pump out all their oil in two years. Why do you ask?

Posted by: erp at November 15, 2005 1:52 PM

PJ's 12:28 post is spot on.

And actually, the Dems in congress embrace of the moonbat talking point of "Bush lied" is an attempt to get some traction out of Iraq now, since by next summer, in the run-up to the midterms, Iraq will be a dead issue for them.

Posted by: Jim in Chicago at November 15, 2005 2:07 PM

AllenS is droll - but not a troll.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at November 16, 2005 1:19 AM
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