November 1, 2005
AS THE SPARTANS REPLIED TO PHILIP OF MACEDON -- "IF."
An Adventure that can Backfire (Amir Taheri, Arab News, 10/8/2005; via James C. Bennett and Rand Simberg)
Hassan Abbasi ... has emerged as Ahmadinejad’s chief strategic guru....Abbasi is the architect of the so-called “war preparation plan” currently under way in Iran....
“The Western man today has no stomach for a fight,” Abbasi says. “This phenomenon is not new: All empires produce this type of man, the self-centered, materialist, and risk-averse man.”...
Abbasi claims that in a game plan presented to Ahmadinejad, he has concluded that the idea of a major US military attack against Iran is “a bluff.”...
A brief military clash with the US at this time could do wonders for the Islamic Republic. The regime would be able to crush growing internal opposition in the name of national solidarity. It would also revive the regime’s revolutionary credentials....
But it is not only the US that Abbasi wants to take on and humiliate. He has described Britain as “the mother of all evils”. In his lecture he claimed that the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Israel, and the Gulf states were all “children of the same mother: the British Empire.” As for France and Germany, they are “countries in terminal decline”, according to Abbasi.
“Once we have defeated the Anglo-Saxons the rest will run for cover,” he told his audience.
Well, he's certainly right that if he can defeat the Anglosphere, the rest of the West will run for cover. Posted by pjaminet at November 1, 2005 3:52 PM
I hope Iran takes Abbasi's advice. I don't think the rot Abbasi describes is nearly far enough along. More importantly, Bush, Blair and Howard are not Chamberlain and Daladier.
Politically as well, the President would welcome a "brief military clash". Nothing bucks up poll ratings like a "brief military clash".
Posted by: Bob at November 1, 2005 4:07 PMAnd nothing toppels a dictatorship faster than getting smoked in a brief military clash. Isn't that right, General Galtieri?
Posted by: Mikey at November 1, 2005 4:24 PMEspecially a war that's supposed to be a walkover because the enemy is a "toothless old lion" on the other side of the world. A war whose undertaking is supposed to distract the people at home, by exploiting their patriotism, to shore up a regime that's about to fall on its own.
This is more evidence that Islamic policy is not only based on fantasy that even the Realists would reject, but an astounding ignorance of history and their opponents.
(Then again, Persia has always been the burr under the saddle of Greco-Roman civilization.)
Posted by: Raoul Ortega at November 1, 2005 4:53 PMThis is an excellent illustration of how the peace-creeps are actually the war-mongerers.
Totalitarians and/or fanatics look at us and they see Cindy Sheehan. They monitor our MSM and imagine that 2,000 fatalities* over two years is something thay would make us sneak away. Not understanding free speech, they are thus enabled to imagine that we are made of sugar-candy.
They should study the history of the cold war, and how we held the nuclear trigger tightly for all those years before they convince themselves that anything they may do will make us go away.
*The "2,000" figure includes not only KIA's but also non-combat losses such as traffic accidents.
Posted by: Lou Gots at November 1, 2005 4:57 PM"This is more evidence that Islamic policy is not only based on fantasy that even the Realists would reject, but an astounding ignorance of history and their opponents."
That may be so, but he certainly has the Democraps nailed.
May be fantasy, but he certainly has the Democraps nailed.
Posted by: Genecis at November 1, 2005 5:03 PMyou got that right.
hey! that's my jello...ouch! ok, you keep it.
Posted by: General Galtieri at November 1, 2005 5:03 PMOnce they initiate contact, we will not let them go until a new regime is in place. Hopefully only the hard core elements of the iranian army will be annihilated.
Posted by: anon at November 1, 2005 5:15 PMI don't think we should take them on, let them make the 1st move - it's a "there they go again" moment.
HOw can you reason -- keep the process going -- with talk like that?
They can't stand being ignored. Banging away on the high chair ike Kimmee.
Posted by: Sandy P at November 1, 2005 6:08 PMYou look at this and you think, 'what is it about us that keeps attracting these bozos, begging for a fight, one after another?'
Of course, what it is that attracts them is the damn 'let's squabble amongst ourselves while they hit us again and again' Democrats.
Posted by: ZF at November 1, 2005 8:36 PMRaoul, when reality must conform to your ideology, you end up with rather rude awakenings. It happened to the Soviets, it will happen to the Islamists. I just hope it happens sooner than later, as less people end up getting killed then and the others don't have so far to climb to get upright. (See, Union, Soviet and Russia currently - ouch!)
Posted by: Mikey at November 2, 2005 7:46 AMWar.
Posted by: Chris Durnell at November 2, 2005 12:38 PM