October 27, 2005
WHO DOES HE THINK HAS BEEN WRITING BUDGETS?:
Rebuilding: President Bush can move forward by being bold and uniting both congressional Republicans and his political base. (Fred Barnes, 10/27/2005, Weekly Standard)
THE WITHDRAWAL of Supreme Court nominee Harriet Miers is the first step on the road to political recovery for President Bush. It gives him the opportunity to select a well-known judicial conservative for the Court vacancy, rally conservatives who opposed or were skeptical of Miers, and rebuild his political base.Winning confirmation won't be easy. Democrats already have their story down: Bush capitulated to the far right in jettisoning Miers and his new nominee will be a right-wing extremist. My guess is Democrats will stick to this narrative no matter whom the president chooses from the roster of a dozen or more conservatives with strong credentials and deep experience in constitutional law. [...]
Once a new nominee is confirmed, the next steps for Bush are fairly obvious. Some of them are set in place. The first is to champion spending cuts beyond the $35 billion he proposed to slash from his 2006 budget. The second is to hold down spending on the Katrina recovery. The good news is that Katrina funds previously appropriated are being used up at a slower pace than expected.
Then there's immigration, an issue on which the president and his base are at odds. Yet a compromise wouldn't be impossible, if Bush agreed to tougher security on the southern border with double or triple the number of border guards and conservatives agreed to lighten up on illegal immigrants already living in the United States. By avoiding harsh treatment of Mexican immigrants here, Republicans could avert a backlash from Hispanic-Americans, a voting bloc of growing importance.
The idea that the Right is serious about coming up with budget cuts or would come up with the money for genuine border security is just delusional.
Were he Bill Clinton, there's a perfect opportunity here for the President to triangulate, go over the Right's head, and adopt the Democrats extremist narrative. That strategy would simply call for appointing Alberto Gonzales and then letting the Right dig its own grave. He seems unlikely though to opt for mere personal popularity at the expense of the party he's trying to make a permanent majority despite itself.
MORE:
Reid on Miers Withdrawal (October 27, 2005)
Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid released the following statement on Harriet Miers’ withdrawal of her nomination to the United States Supreme Court.Posted by Orrin Judd at October 27, 2005 1:28 PM“The radical right wing of the Republican Party killed the Harriet Miers nomination. Apparently, Ms. Miers did not satisfy those who want to pack the Supreme Court with rigid ideologues.
“I had recommended that the President consider nominating Ms. Miers because I was impressed with her record of achievement as the managing partner of a major Texas law firm and the first woman president of the Texas Bar Association. In those roles she was a strong supporter of law firm diversity policies and a leader in promoting legal services for the poor. But these credentials are not good enough for the right wing: they want a nominee with a proven record of supporting their skewed goals.
“In choosing a replacement for Ms. Miers, President Bush should not reward the bad behavior of his right wing base. He should reject the demands of a few extremists and choose a justice who will protect the constitutional rights of all Americans.”
"Democrats already have their story down: Bush capitulated to the far right in jettisoning Miers and his new nominee will be a right-wing extremist. "
Well, the first part is clearly correct. We will see about the second.
The mugging of Ms. Miers was a gift to the Dems.
Posted by: Bob at October 27, 2005 2:08 PMMoney is the problem with border security? Money? Who did you say was delusional?
Posted by: Paul Cella at October 27, 2005 2:19 PMPaul:
And manpower. If you want to close the borders you'll need a draft.
Posted by: oj at October 27, 2005 2:22 PMNo, just the National Guard.
Posted by: Paul Cella at October 27, 2005 2:34 PMDon't you mean "John McCain", not "Bill Clinton"?
Posted by: pj at October 27, 2005 2:40 PMYou need to drop the Third Way stuff with respect to Clinton - he had a legislature controlled by the opposition. Otherwise, do you think William Cohen would have ever been SecDef? Or that welfare reform would have passed?
Bush is dealing with a GOP-controlled Congress. Great for passing bills, but there is no way to do the end run, especially in the 2nd term. Many members are already inclined to go their own way.
Now, had Bush just vetoed the Highway Bill, and smashed Don Young into the tundra publicly from the Rose Garden, THAT would have been Fourth or Fifth Way.
Posted by: jim hamlen at October 27, 2005 3:23 PMMeamwhile, as Harry Reid mourns Miers as a way to attack conservatives, the charman of the Democratic Party in Harriet's home state sounds like an NRO Corner poster:
Charles Soechting, chairman of the Texas Democratic Party, said Miers wasn't qualified. A corporate lawyer who was once President Bush's personal attorney, Miers now serves as White House counsel. She has never been a judge. "Hopefully this will be a signal to the Bush administration that this practice of cronyism has got to stop," said Soechting, a San Marcos lawyer who represented a lottery executive director that was fired by the Texas Lottery Commission when Miers was its chairwoman.
I suppose if Al Gore and Rush Limbaugh could get together on NAFTA a dozen years ago, folks like Soechting can bond with the conservative punditocracy for a brief while.
Posted by: John at October 27, 2005 3:51 PMjim:
Yes, if you completely ignore his record he wasn't Third Way.
Posted by: oj at October 27, 2005 4:47 PMPaul:
Yes, if you draft the entire Guard into permanent border service you can close a fraction of our border just as effectively as Iraq's borders have been closed.
Posted by: oj at October 27, 2005 4:55 PMjust put a bounty on any illegals found here and they will all be gone within a week.
Posted by: anon at October 27, 2005 6:18 PMWhy would they be?
Posted by: oj at October 27, 2005 6:33 PMcapitalism is magic that way
Posted by: anon at October 27, 2005 7:07 PMJust because you want to be "Third Way" doesn't mean Clinton was, or that Bush is (or will be).
Clinton did things his way - hesitant, scattershot, kind of a sophisticated, 'aw, shucks' style. His presidency was "watch what I say (and how I say it, and how much I say it), but don't watch what I do".
He knew not to act like a soulless political machine (like Nader); he liked fooling around too much to really be a policy maven; and he didn't do squat for his party (except nudge the bureaucracy to the left, which probably wasn't a positive).
It took him too long to learn the foreign part of the job, he was too closely tied to the Chinese, and then he messed up big-time by trying to broker a deal with the Palestinians, only to find that he couldn't jam a deal down Arafat's throat.
The only consistency in his Presidency was the chaos, and the furious rush to keep the appearance that it was otherwise. But Richard Nixon governed more in your "Third Way" vein that Bill Clinton ever did - and remember, he had a hostile Congress, too.
Posted by: jim hamlen at October 27, 2005 7:56 PMjim:
just a few comments ago you were arguing that he was Third Way because a GOP congress forced him to be.
Posted by: oj at October 27, 2005 8:21 PMYou're just being stubborn. I don't buy the definition or the clarity of the 'Third Way'.
Clinton zigged and zagged like a good politician. He pulled Lani when she embarrassed him; he recess-appointed Bill Lann Lee because he could. He raised taxes once and then laid low on the issue for the rest of his time in office - he was fortunate that the economy was recovering and that he could 'manage' the peace dividend.
He talked tough on terror for one day after each attack, and then he dropped it for seminars on midnight basketball and other SOTU line items. He outfoxed Congress on the shutdown, and out-played Newt pretty much from the get-go.
If pulling the shuffle is 'Third Way', then I accept your argument. But it seems to me that he wasn't guided by any philosophy other than making a good appearance (too many examples to cite) and knowing which way the wind was blowing.
Bush has been forceful, setting a few goals and going after them doggedly. He can succeed where Clinton could not, because the GOP controls Congress. When Clinton enacted (or pushed) Democratic positions (the Brady bill, gays in the military, the tax increase, the $16 billion stimulus, etc.), it was with ONLY Democratic energy. And it cost them Congress.
He is remembered for NAFTA, welfare reform, and Kosovo, none of which were supported by a Democratic majority in the House, and probably not in the Senate, either (I don't remember the numbers). Clinton did these things because he calculated he had to - NAFTA was a maturity test, welfare reform was to get re-elected, and Kosovo was because he was shamed by Rwanda.
If you are saying that Bush should build his Presidency over the broken ideals of the right (i.e., by governing against his base), then perhaps David C. is right about you.
Posted by: jim hamlen at October 27, 2005 9:38 PMHe's had 5 years to build his cred, he chose not to.
I don't have my judges. No vetos, no keeping each other in line.
Posted by: Sandy P at October 27, 2005 10:54 PMa justice who will protect the constitutional rights of all Americans
Sure sounds like JR Brown or Kozinski to me!
Posted by: Kirk Parker at October 28, 2005 12:54 AMHe governed from 15,000+ feet, which looks good from the ground, but doesn't really solve anything, now does it?
Posted by: jim hamlen at October 28, 2005 10:49 AMPeace and prosperity are pretty good legacies.
Posted by: oj at October 28, 2005 11:17 AMAh yes, I see you invoke the Millard Fillmore and James Buchanan legacies.
Posted by: jim hamlen at October 28, 2005 11:37 AMBuchanan presided over a depression and secession. Bill Clinton over peace and eight years of growth.
Posted by: oj at October 28, 2005 11:48 AM