October 5, 2005


Poll shocker: Goldwater, Napolitano tied (Mike Sunnucks, 10/03/05, The Business Journal of Phoenix)

The Zogby/WSJ poll shows Napolitano with 47 percent of those surveyed and Goldwater with 45 percent. That spread is well within the poll's 4 percent margin of error and goes against conventional wisdom that Napolitano is a clear favorite for re-election. [...]

Napolitano leads other possible GOP challengers in the Zogby/Poll but Republicans hopes are buoyed by the fact that the governor gets no higher than 47 to 48 percent in potential matches with former Federal Highway Administration director Mary Peters, state Senate President Ken Bennett, former state Senate president John Greene and Marilyn Quayle (the wife of former vice president Dan Quayle).

Napolitano leads Peters (47-32); Bennett (47-36); Quayle (48-39) and Greene (47-33). The fact that Napolitano tops out at 47 and 48 percent against opponents with very low name recognition buoys Republican hopes.

"She's hit a ceiling," said Nathan Sproul, a Republican lobbyist and campaign consultant.

Sproul said most of the undecided voters in the surveys are Republicans and they will likely trend towards the GOP challenger next year. Republicans have a 140,000-voter registration edge in the state.

In the Zogby survey, Napolitano does well with Hispanics, urbanites, singles and those without strong religious beliefs.. Goldwater and other Republicans are more popular with Protestants, married couples with children, and investors.

The poll results could hardly depict the difference between Democrats and Republicans better. The less well knit you are into society and the more dependent on the State the more likely you are to vote Democrat. In effect, it's a party built on breaking down society, which is why they peaked in the 70s.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 5, 2005 7:22 PM

Hispanics on the side of societal breakdown? I thought we were importing those folks to save us from ourselves.

Posted by: joe shropshire at October 5, 2005 7:33 PM

All immigrant groups always favor the statist party in their earliest generations for precisely the reason that they aren't yet integrated into the society instead. The genius pf America is that within a couple generations--often even the second--they are fully integrated.

Posted by: oj at October 5, 2005 7:37 PM

There it is: the party of folk-enemies and culture-traitors.

oj is correct about this one: Hispanic-Americans will come around to identifying with America. Reconquista fifth-columnists will remain in the other category.

Posted by: Lou Gots at October 5, 2005 7:43 PM

Ah, I see. Like these people are doing.

Posted by: joe shropshire at October 5, 2005 7:46 PM


Next they'll want their own St. Patrick's or Columbus Day.

Posted by: oj at October 5, 2005 7:54 PM

No Irish need apply.

Posted by: jdkelly at October 5, 2005 8:38 PM

I am Irish. The best among us just needed the door open a crack. You civilized the worst among us by cracking our heads until we got tired of it. You have to do both.

Posted by: joe shropshire at October 5, 2005 9:50 PM


Posted by: oj at October 5, 2005 9:54 PM

Well, in a relative sense, you know.

Posted by: Governor Breck at October 5, 2005 9:58 PM

I still favor Napolitano to win. She's a very canny politician and has constantly outfought the GOP in the statehouse. She's a strong governor, and I can't think of any dummy moves that would undermine her re-election.

Some of the moonbats weren't happy with her nomination in 2002 as they wanted a more leftwing nominee. But given her strong leadership and victory in an otherwise Republican year, they've either changed their minds or wisely keep their mouth shut. The Democratic regulars are very much behind her.

Posted by: Chris Durnell at October 6, 2005 12:17 PM
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