October 20, 2005

BETTER GET TO WORK ON A FENCE:

Immigrants will raise population faster than forecast (Philip Johnston, 21/10/2005, Daily Telegraph)

Britain's population is projected to rise by more than seven million in the next 25 years - a far greater increase than official forecasts have previously predicted.

More than half the extra population will be the direct result of immigration, according to figures published yesterday by the Office for National Statistics.

Total numbers are expected to rise from just under 60 million today to 67 million by 2031 and 70 million by the 2060s.

Combined with the two million increase since 1990, this means that within a lifetime, the population of the country will have increased by a fifth, the most rapid expansion since the early years of the 20th century. [...]

Much of the population increase will be in England, and especially in the South-East. By contrast, Scotland's population will increase only slightly until the year 2019 and then start to fall.

The population of Northern Ireland is projected to continue growing until the early 2030s and then begin to decline, while the population of Wales is expected to continue increasing beyond 2031 but at a low rate.

The predictions are even greater than those made by the Migrationwatch UK think-tank, whose forecasts have been dismissed in the past as alarmist. Sir Andrew Green, the chairman of Migrationwatch, said the figures were ''staggering''. He added: ''They totally demolish the Government's claim that it has a 'managed migration' policy. In fact they show that immigration into the UK is out of control.''

The official figures indicate that 83 per cent of the expected population increase is due to immigration, both directly and as a result of children born to new arrivals. While four million of the population rise is directly due to net migrants, of the remaining 3.2 million more than half will be the children of immigrants.


If they decide to try and survive, places like Scotland will be outbidding us for our immigrants soon.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 20, 2005 10:40 PM
Comments

Outbid? What have they to offer?

Posted by: Patrick H at October 20, 2005 10:58 PM

Empty houses, unfilled jobs, sheep...

Posted by: oj at October 20, 2005 11:04 PM

Scotland recently sent officials to Canada to try and convince Canadians of Scottish descent to relocate to Scotland.

Posted by: obc at October 20, 2005 11:30 PM

Because of EU integration, the immigrants into Great Britain over the last few years have been from other EU countries and have come determined to find work. That the Brits think this is a bad thing makes me think that we have been insufficiently pessimistic about their future.

Ali, Brit: Just about everyone in America welcomes legal immigrants, and we have a future. Come on in, the water's fine.

Posted by: David Cohen at October 21, 2005 8:10 AM

New England: bone-chilling winters, Midwest: tornadoes, Florida and the Southeast: hurricanes, California: earthquakes, Tezas and the Southwest: heatwaves.

Posted by: Ali Choudhury at October 23, 2005 7:29 AM
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