August 8, 2005


NJ Governor--Corzine 45% Forrester 37% (, August 8, 2005)

In the race to be New Jersey's next Governor, Democrat Jon Corzine's lead has shrunk to single digits. Senator Corzine now leads Republican Doug Forrester by eight percentage points, 45% to 37%.

In July, Corzine held a 12-point lead. Since then, the Garden State Senator's support has dipped five percentage points, from 50% in July to 45% today. Forrester's numbers have held steady--38% last month, 37% now.

It's interesting to note that both candidates have slightly less support in this poll than they did the night after they were nominated in a statewide primary. This is the opposite of a normal campaign trend where candidate support increases as undecided voters gradually shift to one camp or the other.

Overall, Corzine is viewed favorably by 39% of New Jersey voters and unfavorably by 37%. The numbers for Forrester are 34% favorable and 26% unfavorable.

The one thing Mr. Forrester has going for him is near anonymity.

Posted by Orrin Judd at August 8, 2005 4:43 PM

Like Mark Green in the 2001 NYC mayoral race, this is pretty much Corzine's to lose, given the demographic of New Jersey lately. Unlike Green, in this case it's the guy with all the bad publicity who has all the cash on hand to spend on his own campaign -- Bloomberg was able to use his money to take advantage of Green's screw ups (plus his wimpy image post 9/11) and flood the expensive NYC media market with ads. Corzine's giving Forrester a lot of amunition, but he's got a lot of money to spend to rehab his image, and the GOP will have to shell out the bucks in the NYC and Philadelphia media markets if they want to counteract that effort.

Posted by: John at August 8, 2005 11:20 PM

Today's Times* had almost two full pages on how rich Forrester is. Unreal, unbelievable and nauseating.

*I'm away from my bunker and have to get info from whence I can.

Posted by: erp at August 9, 2005 5:09 PM


Unless I'm badly mistaken, Corzine is richer. And that's after spending $60 million (I think that figure is correct) to get elected to the Senate in the first place.

Posted by: jim hamlen at August 9, 2005 8:31 PM

jim, that was the point of my clumsily constructed comment. The Times article was the compulsary moral equivalent to last week's news of Corzine's half mil gift to his union chief former girlfriend.

Posted by: erp at August 10, 2005 12:44 AM