August 31, 2005

BETTER TAXES THAN SPECULATORS:

Why high oil prices are a force for good (Eberhard Rhein, 8/31/05, International Herald Tribune)

During the first half of 2005, gasoline consumption in Germany and Belgium - and presumably in many other countries - fell by about 10 percent. We have not seen a drop like this for many years. It shows that the market mechanism continues to function as the most important regulator of supply and demand - and very speedily indeed.

The international community has been laboring for 10 years under the Kyoto Protocol negotiations to agree on a global reduction of energy consumption and carbon dioxide emissions of less than 10 percent by 2012. So the market has achieved within a few months what international bureaucrats - hampered by resistance from key consumer countries like the United States, China, Australia and India - have struggled to obtain in a decade.

What does this teach us?

First, there is nothing more effective than the price mechanism to induce human beings to change their consumption habits. [...]

Politicians should be preparing citizens worldwide for a future in which energy prices will remain high, and policy makers should be ready to keep the oil price near the present level by raising the level of excise taxation when necessary. Unfortunately, most politicians are still too myopic or timid to deliver such a message. This needs to change.

The high oil price is a bonanza for advocates of the Kyoto Protocol, who will probably claim for the protocol what the market has achieved: the decline of carbon dioxide emissions.


Why not ratchet up the taxes while the increase will be camoflauged by the other factors contributing to artificially higher prices?

Posted by Orrin Judd at August 31, 2005 6:54 AM
Comments

China, India and Indonesia subsidize gas to keep prices lower for consumers. Gas subsidies are 25% of Indonesia's government budget. The currencies of India and Indonesia are being weakened because of the rising costs of subsidies, they are raising rates to compensate. You can't escape the market, costs will find a way to get you.

Posted by: Robert Duquette at August 31, 2005 9:40 AM

No, better speculators than taxes. Speculators eventually run themselves out of business. Tax collectors never seem to.

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 31, 2005 10:56 AM

Joe's got it exactly right. The problem with taxes is the same as counter-cyclic government spending – the less money to government option never happens. Any tax increase to balance out declining prices will never be decreased, so to use that as a justification is extremely naive.

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at August 31, 2005 11:10 AM

oj-

trust me, you will appreciate the changes brought about by more rather than less dependence on market forces as opposed to social engineering through the heavy hand of state, be patient.

Posted by: Tom C., Stamford, Ct. at August 31, 2005 11:21 AM

Tom:

Why should George Soros get the benefit of higher gas prices instead of American taxpayers?

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 1:16 PM

joe:

Of course not, we want government and need taxes to pay for it. Better consumption taxes than income.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 1:18 PM

If you think it is good for the US to rely less on oil from the Middle East, in the long run, allowing speculators to invest in other areas and/or other technologies is the fastest and most effective way to develop alternatives. Letting the government increase taxes just means the extra money goes for some other purpose than developing other sources of energy.

The high energy prices we are currently seeing don't just make oil companies rich. It puts a whole army of people to work developing alternatives because they want to get rich also.

Posted by: joejoe at August 31, 2005 1:47 PM

We need the tax money to increase the size of our military by 100,000 and increase their pay and benefits. We also need it to defray the cost of GWoT. As OJ says, we rely too heavily on the income tax and need consumption tax componets as an increased part of the revenue. A $3/gal. gas tax should produce $300 Billion/yr.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 31, 2005 1:57 PM

joejoe:

Yes, make gas expensive enough and alternatives become economically viable.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 1:59 PM

Robert:

We need to shrink the military. If you leave generals infantry they use it.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 2:05 PM

oj, list some alternatives. I'll start you off: sitting at home is an alternative. Good for you, not so good for anyone whose livelihood depends on customers coming to their place of business. Artificially jacking up the price of a basic commodity helps no one in the long run. You perceive that the price mechanism works to limit the damage and you confuse this with an actual positive benefit. That's mere magical thinking on your part, but then you do a lot of that.

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 31, 2005 2:19 PM

So we need a bigger government and a smaller military? David's right.

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 31, 2005 2:21 PM

So far joe shropshire is the only person who hasn't started drinking today.

Posted by: AllenS at August 31, 2005 2:22 PM

smaller government--the military is just another bloated government bureaucracy.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 2:30 PM

joe:

Telecommuting. There's hardly a white collar worker in America who needs to leaqve his own house, nevermind does much work once he does.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 2:32 PM

Then what do you need more tax revenue for?

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 31, 2005 2:37 PM

So far so good for the white-collar workers. What about the rest of the country? I don't know that many telecommuting plumbers.

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 31, 2005 2:40 PM

Plumbers work locally and won't have very high gas bills.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 2:49 PM

joe:

You don't. You need less. But you need to have it come from where it's most useful to tax--sin.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 2:50 PM

oj-

soros is a currency guy. speculators add liquidity to markets. there'e nothing wrong with it. cash passing through the state is not an efficient use of resources.

Posted by: Tom C., Stamford, Ct. at August 31, 2005 3:31 PM

"Telecommuting. There's hardly a white collar worker in America who needs to leaqve his own house, nevermind does much work once he does. = Double ouch.

OJ: I tow a 3,000lb BBQ to festivals, events and concerts to sell people who show up there scrumptious food. Your gas tax would mean less people show up, cost me more to get there and leave me no room to pass on the additional cost to those who do manage to show up.

Gas is the WD-40 of Capitalism. You want to keep it available AND affordable. Let's try spending less first.

Posted by: John Resnick at August 31, 2005 3:53 PM

Accordingly to oj's logic, then: this would also be a good time to confront our problem with obesity. Let's tax food so people can break their habit of eating. "Simply" because people couldn't hardly afford the luxury of eating too much.

Posted by: AllenS at August 31, 2005 4:40 PM

John:

Yours is a business where its easy enough to justify and then pass on gasoline costs. No one would likely even notice if you just emailed in your day job.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 4:51 PM

OJ: You're right on the telecommuting. Though my 0.7 mile "commute" -- which I often walk instead of driving -- almost obviates the benefit of e-mailing it in. On the other hand, people who've already paid tax-inflated gas prices to show up at an event aren't likely to be the most receptive to a "passed-along" gasoline charge just so they can enjoy my fabulous food. The reality is, we'd have to eat the increase internally (pardon the pun).

No thanks. Spend less. More $ to the Government is simply more power -- and they have too much already.

Posted by: John Resnick at August 31, 2005 5:56 PM

Not more money to the government, just different money.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 5:59 PM

No, more money. There is no chance in Hades that consumption taxes will replace income taxes. They'll go on top of them, just as the VAT does in the EU.

Posted by: joe shropshire at August 31, 2005 6:17 PM

OJ: Ya, sure, pal. You go first. Lower & flatten the income taxes, set up private accounts for SS and triple my yearly HSA deduction amount then we'll talk about "different money".

Posted by: John Resnick at August 31, 2005 7:06 PM

"We need to shrink the military. If you leave generals infantry they use it."

We can only hope so. There are a lot of folks who need to get the sharp end of the sword.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz [TypeKey Profile Page] at August 31, 2005 7:12 PM

joe:

Why? We change our tax code all the time and the GOP manages to lower the overall burden periodically.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 7:52 PM

John:

Chairman Thomas wants to do them all at once. That seems ambitious. It'll all happen in time though.

Posted by: oj at August 31, 2005 8:05 PM

"We need to shrink the military. If you leave generals infantry they use it."

OJ: you are daft. There is a war on and a world full of bad guys. Yeah, though I walk through the valley of the shadow of death, I fear no evil; For I am the most heavily armed nation in the world.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 1, 2005 12:36 AM

Use the arms.

Posted by: oj at September 1, 2005 12:57 AM

Yes, We should.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz [TypeKey Profile Page] at September 1, 2005 10:18 AM

Oj,

If we increased the government, we stand a good chance of hiring guys like you who would probably want to do stuff to make my life miserable. No thanks. We have too many liberals doing that already.

Posted by: Perry at September 1, 2005 3:37 PM

Perry:

We don't need more government. We need to pay for less with a more sensible tax scheme.

Posted by: oj at September 1, 2005 4:12 PM
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