May 30, 2005

YOU CAN'T DESPISE MIDDLE AMERICA AND GET ITS VOTE:

The Democrats' Class Struggle (Dan Balz, May 28, 2005, Washington Post)

"The 45% of voters who make up the middle class -- those with household incomes between $30,000 and $75,000 -- delivered healthy victories to George Bush and House Republicans in 2004."

The study is based on Third Way's analysis of 2004 exit polls. Among the five principal findings are that white middle-income voters supported President Bush by 22 percentage points. The study concluded that the "economic tipping point -- the income level above which white voters were more likely to vote Republican than Democrat -- was $23,700." [...]

The report also contained alarming news for Democrats about Hispanic voters. The more Hispanics move into the middle class, the less they vote Democratic.

Based on the analysis of exit polls, Kerry's margin over Bush among Hispanics with household incomes below $30,000 was 21 percentage points, but among those with incomes between $30,000 and $75,000, it was 10 points.


A rising tide lifts the GOP boat.

Posted by Orrin Judd at May 30, 2005 12:00 AM
Comments

--The report also contained alarming news for Democrats about Hispanic voters. The more Hispanics move into the middle class, the less they vote Democratic.---

That's old news.

Even the LA Times,IIRC, reported that during the recall election, the hispanic leaders were in a tizzy.

Posted by: Sandy P. at May 30, 2005 1:37 AM

The 45% of voters who make up the middle class -- those with household incomes between $30,000 and $75,000...

That's an odd income range for "middle class".
Are those with a household gross income below $ 30,000 "poor" ?
Not unless they live in New England & south to D.C., on the Left Coast, or in a few large metropolises in-between.

Are those with household gross incomes a few thousands, or tens of thousands, above $ 75,000 "rich"* ?
Not on your life, although they could be in time, with wise choices and luck.

If we assume that a gross income of 125% of the threshold for poverty puts one into the middle class, then a single individual grossing $ 12,000 in the heartland would be middle class, and a family of four grossing $ 24,000 would be the same.

The U.S. Census Bureau reports that, in current dollars, the middle 60% of American households had gross incomes of between $ 19,000 and $ 88,000 in 2001.

*By American standards.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at May 30, 2005 6:02 AM

So the numbers show middle class hispanics vote for the Democrats 55% to 45%. Those below middle class vote 60% or more Democrat. The more immigration - the more the Democrats benefit.
Get ready for a huge increase in the welfare state and bureaucracy. We will be just like France!

Posted by: Bartelson at May 30, 2005 7:07 AM

Bartlelson:

Already 55-45.

Posted by: oj at May 30, 2005 7:39 AM

Feed and immigrant a fish and he eats for a day (welfare approach)...Teach an immigrant to fish and feed him for a lifetime (empowerment approach).

Posted by: Bartman at May 30, 2005 8:10 AM

Bartman:

How many immigrants are coming to the U.S. in order to get some kind of handout ?

Most of 'em are working age males just hoping for a job.

Last year I read about an illegal from Eastern Europe who kept a minimum-wage job for six months, and slept in the woods to save money.
When he got back home, he bought a house with what he was able to accumulate... From a minimum-wage job, for six months.

THAT is why people immigrate to the U.S., by any means necessary.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at May 30, 2005 8:27 AM

"Teach an immigrant to fish and feed him for a lifetime."

Better teach him how to avoid the local DNR as well.

Posted by: ted welter at May 30, 2005 9:00 AM

I thought that anybody who made more than $50,000/yr was rich?

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at May 30, 2005 4:24 PM

Robert:

I resemble that remark! Of course, here I am, working on Memorial Day.

Posted by: ratbert at May 30, 2005 5:28 PM
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