March 1, 2005


Poll Shows Blackwell Leads GOP Governor’s Race (Blackwell for Governor)

A statewide poll of Republican voters shows Ohio Secretary of State Ken Blackwell has moved past all other candidates in the race for the 2006 Republican nomination for governor. The poll, by the national research firm Market Strategies of Detroit, showed Blackwell with a 15 point lead over Betty Montgomery and an 18 point lead over Jim Petro. Blackwell received the support of 36% of all Republicans, while Montgomery received 21% and Petro 18%.

A similar Market Strategies survey in May 2003 showed Montgomery with 35%, Petro with 26% and Blackwell with 22% of Republican voter support.

“This survey shows Ohioans approved of the way Blackwell handled Ohio’s presidential election process,’ said pollster Fred Steeper. “When Republicans learned more about Ken Blackwell over the past year and coupled his job performance with Blackwell’s mainline conservative Republican positions on abortion, marriage and taxes, his support increased significantly.

“Not only has Ken Blackwell leapfrogged the other two candidates in a head to head race, he has a golden opportunity to increase his support among Ohio Republicans as they get to know him even better,” concluded Steeper.

Talk about a guy whose career has no ceiling.

Posted by Orrin Judd at March 1, 2005 2:24 PM

Given Ohio's history of having a large Copperhead community South of I-70, Blackwell has an uphill climb in the general, I'm afraid.

Posted by: Bart at March 1, 2005 3:15 PM

Nothing like being attacked by the left to help someone make their Republican bones.

Posted by: David Cohen at March 1, 2005 3:38 PM

You folks have no clue as to the infernal dirty dealing Kenneth Blackwell was part and parcel of,
or you wouldn't admire him so. Or WOULD you?
I wouldn't dare associate myself with him.
What good things do you see in him?

Posted by: don't ask at March 1, 2005 3:58 PM

You folks have no clue as to the infernal dirty dealing Kenneth Blackwell was part and parcel of,
or you wouldn't admire him so. Or WOULD you?
I wouldn't dare associate myself with him.
What good things do you see in him?

Posted by: don't ask at March 1, 2005 3:58 PM

The dirty dealing.

Posted by: oj at March 1, 2005 4:43 PM

Blackwell began his political career in Cincinnati which is about as far south of I-70 as you can get and still be in Ohio. He had wide support during his city council and mayoral days here and I believe he did well in this area while running for state-wide office. If he runs for governor I wouldn't expect this area to be a drag on his electability. I haven't heard much discussion of Copperhead activities in Ohio except maybe the creepy crawlers in the countryside. The racial tensions reported in recent years was more a law and order issue than racial discrimination.

Posted by: Pilgrim at March 1, 2005 4:45 PM

When people don't identify what they are talking about but merely resort to language found on Page Six of the NY Post, I ignore them.

Cincinnati is historically a Republican island in a Democrat sea. The Copperheads, or Southern Democrats, were social and especially racial conservatives who were in the Democratic party because the GOP was the party of Lincoln. They would be a swing vote necessary for any GOP statewide candidate to hold, as would blue-collar ethnics in the Northeast of the state.

Posted by: Bart at March 1, 2005 5:31 PM

Rice-Blackwell '08!

"don't ask" don't know what he's talking about. That, or he's pulling a Moby.

Posted by: Mike Morley at March 1, 2005 8:31 PM

I think what Bart was trying to say was that the folks in southern Ohio are southerners at heart and won't vote for a black man. That may be more of an issue in the primary which is shaping up as a 3 way race.

It is entirely possible, even likely, that the Democrat candidate will be Mike Coleman, the mayor of Columbus who is black, and about as bland and colorless a human being as you could want to meet. So the southern factor would drop out of the general election.

Cato Institute gave Bob Taft an F on his fiscal management as governor of Ohio, the lowest ranked of all 50. In the 3/1 WSJ DTE only. Fortunately, Blackwell has been at odds with Taft for years.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at March 2, 2005 2:32 AM

Bart can't help himself. In his world view, people from the South are still just racists.

Posted by: Bob at March 2, 2005 9:38 AM

And the French aren't.

Posted by: oj at March 2, 2005 9:42 AM

Some nimrod in Roll Call called Blackwell the weakest Republican candidate because of his extreme conservatism and controversial handling of the election. PLEASE let us spend '06 watching the froth-mouthed Dems try to tear apart a black man--Blackwell will win, and if LG Jeannette Bradley seeks and wins reelection, Ohio will have black Republicans in the state's top two offices. Not too shabby to follow an election in which the Republican candidate won healthy support from black voters in OH.

Posted by: AC at March 2, 2005 1:48 PM


If you read the discussion between OJ and myself concerning Duke voters in Louisiana, you'd find I think quite the opposite. I am unrelentingly hostile to soi-disant 'Paleo-Conservatives' seeing them as indistinguishable in any significant way from Nazis, with the possible exception that the black leather outfits favored by the SS have a certain metrosexual appeal that the white sheets and hoods favored by the League of the South types do not.

There is however a strong 'conservative Democrat' vote in the region. A review of the vote received by Wallace in 1968 in the region would indicate this, as would the type of Democrats who win in local and state legislative elections. In a statewide race, a Republican needs to carry some of the 'swing' constituencies and the Copperheads are certainly one. How many folks who would vote for Wallace for President in 1968 would vote for Blackwell today? It is not an area of large migration, either in or out, so political thought and attitudes should remain static.


Normally, I am sympathetic to the problems faced by urban police forces. The attacks by the lefties, weirdos and race hucksters on the NYPD, the nation's best police force, leave me completely cold. That being said, I was absolutely struck by what was at best the tin ear of the leader of the Cincinnati cops, Fangman. It was like a time warp.

Posted by: Bart at March 3, 2005 8:12 AM