February 27, 2005

THEY OUGHT TO HAVE IT IN ATLANTIC CITY:

2008 Presidential Race Gets Its First Cattle Call (Dana Milbank, February 27, 2005, Washington Post)

Technically, this first '08 campaign event is the bipartisan meeting of the National Governors Association. But as many as 15 of the nation's 50 governors are considering a bid for the presidency, and both parties have learned the benefits of nominating a governor. [...]

So here's a scouting report on the guvs of 2005 -- and the would-be presidents of 2008:

Republicans

Arnold Schwarzenegger (Calif): Needs constitutional amendment -- quickly.

Mitt Romney (Mass.): Prettier than John Edwards.

George E. Pataki (N.Y.) : He'll have to outfox Rudy.

Jeb Bush (Fla.): Many hope he'll break his promise not to run.

Haley Barbour (Miss.): Deep ties to Washington steakhouse of dubious value.

Mike Huckabee (Ark.): Recent weight loss increases speculation.

Mark Sanford (S.C.): Can't run if his friend John McCain does.

Bill Owens (Colo.): Embarrassed by Democratic victories in his state in '04.

Democrats

Tom Vilsack (Iowa): Early favorite to win the Iowa caucuses.

Mark R. Warner (Va.): A southern Democrat.

Phil Bredesen (Tenn.): Could do better in his state than Al Gore did.

Bill Richardson (N.M.): Dogged by his Energy Department tenure.

Jennifer M. Granholm (Mich.): Waiting for the Schwarzenegger amendment to pass.

Janet Napolitano (Ariz.): Her home state may be too red for Democrats to win.

Rod Blagojevich (Ill.): His home state may be too blue to matter.


Jeb is the clear class of this field, but Mr. Milbank's assertion that the two parties have learned a lesson is debatable. The Democratic front-runner and prohibitive favorite is, once again, a Northeastern senator. Meanwhile, in the absence of Jeb, the main GOP buzz surrounds a mayor and a cabinet secretary.

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 27, 2005 9:46 AM
Comments

Rumor is Blago's going down in IL - the dems want him out.

Posted by: Sandy P at February 27, 2005 12:54 PM

Pataki is like Velcro right now. He is being blamed for everything but the Heartbrreak of Psoriasis now. Most importantly, he is taking the fall for the complete demise of the State GOP to the point that the valedictorian of Sarasota Clown College, Steve Minarik, is now the Chair. I guess Bobcat Goldthwait was otherwise engaged.

Barbour would be great but Mississippi is still a national joke. 'He'd do for America what he did for Mississippi' will be his death-knell. I can see Jon Stewart doing that now, juxtaposed with photos of the State's notorious poverty.

If Pataki can't do it, Owens, who has led his party to a defeat that would have embarassed Santa Anna, cannot.

Sanford is an interesting choice but he has no name recognition and is blocked out by a McCain nomination. A McCain/Sanford ticket might be a 50 state sweep.

Posted by: Bart at February 27, 2005 1:43 PM

If you are going to include Pataki, why not just list every Governor?

Posted by: David Hill, The Bronx at February 27, 2005 2:31 PM

David:

Governors of NY have an awfully good track record in their runs for the nomination.

Posted by: oj at February 27, 2005 2:39 PM

Pataki has become an embarrassment. Rumor in PA is that Ed Rendell is sniffing the Potomac wind; he would be a serious candidate if only because the media would get behind him (in lieu of HRC's announcement), much more serious than Bredesen, Vilsack, Warner, or Richardson.

McCain is going to flame out, and probably sooner than later. If he opposes Bush on SS reform, tax reform, or on judges, he is finished with the GOP apparatus for good. Eventually his ratings on the cable shows will begin to suffer. He will learn that the editorial pages of the NYT and WaPo are not viable constituencies in modern America.

Posted by: jim hamlen at February 27, 2005 2:44 PM

jim:

Rendell has woman problems that the Dems can't afford and he's Jewish, which would cost them blacks:

http://citypaper.net/articles/2002-10-31/slant2.shtml

Posted by: oj at February 27, 2005 2:54 PM

Makes me laugh to remember Governor Mario deciding early that Bush pere couldn't be beat (and wouldn't have been without Perot's entry) and declaring himself out.

Posted by: ed at February 27, 2005 3:35 PM
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