February 26, 2005


Tancredo's foolish crusade on China (Rocky Mountain News, February 26, 2005)

Should we even be making a fuss over a congressional resolution that is doomed to humiliating defeat - and which the White House, State Department and Pentagon have all understandably chosen to snub with silence? We're talking about Rep. Tom Tancredo's call last week for the Bush administration to scrap the One China policy and resume formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan.

There are enough Republicans who hate Communist repression of Christianity and enough Democrats who hate free trade that it should be possible to force a policy change towards China.

Posted by Orrin Judd at February 26, 2005 2:40 PM

The China weapons plot thickens, found this at Barcepundit:

A SHAMEFUL QUID PRO QUO: Peter Mandelson, EU's trade commissiones, during a trip to China has hinted that Europe could lift the arms embargo if China limits its textile exports to Europe.

"We in Europe are preparing to move forward to lift the arms embargo," he said in a speech to students at Beijing's University of International Business and Economics.

Mandelson said China could adopt a cautious approach to the new global trading environment, highlighting textiles as an example following the lifting of quotas on January 1 this year.

"I have been encouraged by the readiness of China to consider introducing measures which may help to inhibit a dramatic surge of exports which could destabilize the new conditions under which world trade in textile products takes place," he said....

Posted by: Sandy P at February 26, 2005 4:07 PM

But the Democrats who hate free trade are also going to be scared by China, and will never vote to upset the dragon.

Posted by: jim hamlen at February 26, 2005 4:25 PM

This is not an easy issue. For me, support for Taiwan is as essential as support for Israel, support for a democratic Iraq now, and support for a democratic Cuba will be once El Tirano Castro is in his well-deserved slot in the Inferno. These are America's progeny and we have a parental responsibility. Our relationship with the ROK, Japan and the Philippines is more distant but is parental nonetheless.

However, I have a hard time understanding what it is about the PRC that makes us think it is more than a regional threat of short duration, that it is some Soviet Union redux. The PRC is hemorrhaging talented people, when they come to the US or Canada or Australia or even Europe and Israel to study, they stay. The PRC has tremendous centrifugal forces from language to regional loyalties that fracture the Politburo itself. Regional differences in prosperity or even basic needs are grotesque and the people there know it. The economy, even with the artificially low renminbi, does not produce nearly enough jobs for the population. The combination of the one-child policy and a tradition of female infanticide among the vast poor does not bode well for civil peace. The aging of the population combined with the lousy medical care and the dependence on unskilled hard labor is an indicator of serious problems ahead. Is China hobbled in a war against the US, heck, it's virtually quadriplegic.

Posted by: Bart at February 26, 2005 5:17 PM

Until or unless Taiwan declares independence isn't it somewhat a moot point? As much as I sympathize with and support the Taiwanese to determine ther own future they're not exactly all rowing the boat in the same direction so to speak.

Posted by: MB at February 26, 2005 5:18 PM

The Chinese are (a) extremely nationalistic, (b) extremely unforgiving, and (c) prone to nurse wrath and exact revenge for any offense. This is not the moment to force China to take a stand for or against us & democracy; if we force them they will choose outright against us and help NKor, Iran, Syria in war against us. Time is on our side with China; every year that passes sees its citizens more knowledgeable, more experienced in cooperative and assertive work, and stronger against the regime. Best to temporize, work against the satellite regimes but not break the tension with China. My view.

Posted by: pj at February 26, 2005 6:15 PM

I agree emphatically with pj. Time is on our side. It's a fools mission to wedge the two Chinas. We can lob a missile into their embassy, or we can have another spy plane incident. Those things work themselves out but this issue will ultimately have a bad ending. We have absolutely nothing to gain in forcing this stand at this time. TW

Posted by: Tom Wall at February 26, 2005 7:02 PM


Good. Let's settle the issue now rather than leave their people benighted. There will be many Chinas, nit just two.

Posted by: oj at February 26, 2005 7:26 PM

it would be funny (and interesting) if bush started saying things like "shanghai is so much more modern than xxx, shame they are being held back".

Posted by: cjm at February 26, 2005 10:37 PM