December 28, 2004

SAVE US FROM OURSELVES....AGAIN...:

Europeans realize they need to humor Bush (John Micklethwait and Adrian Wooldridge, December 27, 2004, Minneapolis Star-Tribune)

Paradoxically, the very thing that neoconservatives detest most about European diplomacy -- that Machiavellian willingness to cut deals with anyone -- is now working in Bush's favor. But there is arguably more to this sea change than just a grumpy acceptance of the status quo. From a European perspective, three things are making it easier to warm to the Bush White House.

One is the death of Yasser Arafat. No issue divides Europe and the United States more keenly than the Israeli-Palestinian dispute. For the last few years, Europeans have criticized Bush for failing to put enough pressure on Israel to get out of the occupied territories and for refusing to deal with Arafat. But since Arafat's death, Europeans and Americans have been able to find common ground: supporting Ariel Sharon's withdrawal from Gaza, putting pressure on Israel to let the Palestinians hold elections and, covertly, backing Mahmoud Abbas to become the next Palestinian leader.

A second reason is Europe's growing worries about Islamic terrorism. The murder last month of Theo van Gogh, a provocative Dutch filmmaker, at the hands of an Islamic militant has been called Europe's 9/11. Though the two events are obviously not fully comparable, American conservatives, such as Francis Fukuyama and Bernard Lewis, have found a wider audience recently for the idea that radical Islam is inimical to European traditions of tolerance.

The third force is the reappearance, albeit in a milder form, of the threat that kept the transatlantic alliance together for half a century. The Russian bear is growling again. The Ukrainian election -- complete with its KGB-style poisoning of the opposition leader and heavy-handed electoral fraud -- has reminded European diplomats of Vladimir V. Putin's determination to control his "near abroad."

European bankers, who have invested a fortune in Russia, have been spooked by the state-sponsored bankruptcy of Yukos, once hailed as Russia's most Western company. These worries are magnified by the growing influence of the eight new members of the European Union from Central Europe, all of which are instinctively much more anti-Russian (and pro-American). [...]

Many European leaders once swallowed the Michael Moore version of history: that Bush was an ignorant interloper who stole the White House. His thumping reelection, however, shows that he represents a large body of conservative American opinion.

In short, Europeans are getting used to the idea that it is not Bush who is the exception, but the United States itself that is exceptional -- and that if they want to deal with this exceptional superpower they need to humor it rather than rile it.


It's obviously in Europe's interest to come crawling to us, but why is it in our interests to reattach the parasite?

Posted by Orrin Judd at December 28, 2004 9:53 AM
Comments

Western European leaders and others in those countries who follow the U.S. would be far better off if they realized their intellectual "guides" to America, who either live in the Northeast or on the West Coast in a great many cases haven't a clue about what they're talking about. But since they never learned that lesson during the Reagan Administration, I doubt anything's going to change over the next four years, either.

Posted by: John at December 28, 2004 10:58 AM

It's a different world today and doubt that Bush will allow us to be bullied into pulling Euroweenies's chestnuts out of the fire for the third time.

Remember what the president said: "You're either with us, or with the terrorists."

PS: If your're holding euros thinking to make a killing, it might be a good time to rethink that strategy.

Posted by: erp at December 28, 2004 11:16 AM

All those Brits who bot vacation homes in FLA got lucky!

I think most are hedging their bets and will become US citizens in the future.

Posted by: Sandy P at December 28, 2004 12:09 PM

All those Brits who bot vacation homes in FLA got lucky!

Um...

Huh?

Posted by: Semolina Pilchard at December 28, 2004 3:30 PM

Chirac and Schroeder have been demonstrable failures and are on the skateboard out of office and nobody cares who's in charge in Belgium, not even the Belgians.

It is in our national interest to hammer out some kind of modus vivendi that enables us to expand our trade, and therefore our influence, in the East. Neither Poland nor the US has any interest in supporting the sclerotic industries and over-subsidized agribusiness of Old Europe. Isolating Old Europe into some kind of Coalition of the Obsolete would not be a bad thing.

Posted by: Bart at December 28, 2004 6:24 PM

I beseech of thee again:

Um...

Huh?

Posted by: Semolina Pilchard at December 28, 2004 7:41 PM
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