November 11, 2004

WHEN WHITE + BROWN = RED:

Election polls show GOP gains among white, Hispanic voters (Jonathan Tilove, November 11, 2004, Newhouse News Service)

Election Day 2004 threw a bucket of cold water on Democratic hopes that America's changing demographics would necessarily improve their future prospects.

Exit polls indicate the Bush campaign increased its share of the white vote even as it expanded its appeal to minorities, especially Hispanics.

And there were decisive Republican victories in the bubbling multiculture of Florida and in increasingly diverse Nevada, not to mention a narrow win in heavily Hispanic New Mexico.

Until Nov. 2, Democrats had viewed the nation's growing diversity as their ace in the hole: As America became less white, they reasoned, the party's fortunes would brighten as certainly as day follows night.

After all, high immigration and racial turnover had made California, Illinois, New York and New Jersey the bedrock of Blue America.

Republicans would face a dilemma, the Democrats believed: Either drive up their white numbers or make inroads with minorities and risk alienating one group or the other whichever way they turned.

But this year, exit polls suggest, President Bush scored big gains with whites and made stunning progress with Latinos, using a consistent message of conservative faith and values and patriotism in wartime.


Don't underestimate how influential the conventional wisdom that Latinos are natural conservatives can be.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 11, 2004 1:00 PM
Comments

-- narrow win in heavily Hispanic New Mexico.--

Gore had a narrow win. W did not.

Posted by: Sandy P at November 11, 2004 1:11 PM

The question that will be answered by the 2008 election is whether the increase in GOP support by Hispanics is due to Bush himself (and therefore may dissapear), the focus on patriotism and morals in this election (which again may dissapear) or whether hispanics truly are natural conservatives (which would indicate continued support).

Posted by: AWW at November 11, 2004 1:20 PM

The Dems. could not see that direct appeals to faith, family, and freedom would integrate a winning coalition. Not only are the themes alien but the idea of integration (as opposed to collection) is beyond them as well. Their abiding tendency is to view every artificially construed and proliferating "group" as needing special handling. Snall wonder that when they campaign, it sounds like babble.

Posted by: luciferous at November 11, 2004 1:23 PM

Don't kid yourself. It only LOOKS like the GOP made gains. In fact, of course, the voting was hacked all across the country.

President Bush is a complete moron, except for the part where he's smart enough to rig the entire United States election system.

Posted by: Semolina Pilchard at November 11, 2004 2:03 PM

So "BUSH STOLE THE ELECTION! BUSH STOLE THE ELECTION! BUSH STOLE THE ELECTION!" surfaces yet again.

Tell me, Semolina: Did he and his cabinet meet in a graveyard at midnight to cook up the plan as in the Protocols?

Posted by: Ken at November 11, 2004 8:13 PM

Ken:

The short version: I was being sarcastic, sardonic, facetious.*

The longer version: I was making fun of the lefties. I figured the whole he's-dumb-but-he's-smart part made that clear.

*(I really wanted to use some adjectival form of "parody," but none of the dictionary's choices is very appealing: "parodic," "parodical" or "parodistic.")

Posted by: Semolina Pilchard at November 11, 2004 9:36 PM

Ken:

Do you have a particular preference among "parodic," "parodical" and "parodistic"?

I ask this specific question because it increases the odds of getting a response from you. Otherwise, I fear, you'll quietly scoot along without having acknowledged the flaws in your sarcasm radar.

Posted by: Semolina Pilchard at November 11, 2004 11:43 PM

I have to wonder if Mexicans, who lived for centuries under a theocratic, totalitarian state followed by a secular, Marx-influenced kleptocracy, have the same anti-state bias that Russian Jews have. The vote in the US by Russian Jewish immigrants was something like 80-20 Bush, and in Israel Russian Jews almost all vote for free-market oriented, hard-line nationalist, secular parties. They are almost completely responsible for the demise of Labor and the current Likud ascendancy.

Posted by: Bart at November 12, 2004 6:36 AM
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