November 1, 2004


Bush holds narrow lead in NH (The Associated Press, 11/01/04)

A poll released Sunday shows Democrat John Kerry about even with President Bush in New Hampshire.

Kerry had 49 percent, and Bush had 48 percent in the latest tracking poll by the University of New Hampshire for WMUR-TV. [...]

The results represented a one percentage-point drop for Kerry and a two percentage-point gain for Bush since Saturday. The number of undecided voters dropped a percentage point and the number of people saying they would vote for a third-party candidate rose a percentage point. [...]

Gov. Craig Benson also was running about even with Democratic challenger John Lynch in the poll. Lynch had 47 percent, and Benson had 45 percent. Lynch gained three percentage points and Benson lost two percentage points since Saturday.

The latest American Research Group poll logged opposite results. Benson had 52 percent and Lynch had 44 percent in the telephone poll of 600 likely voters from Wednesday to Saturday.

Both representatives--Republicans--have double-digit leads and Senator Gregg is going to win in a walk. Presumably Benson and Bush are a package deal. You'd think there'd be enough straight party line voting to carry them. For just one guy on the ticket to lose would be very odd.

On NHPR's program, The Exchange, this morning they also said that at least four, maybe even all five of the Republican executive councilors will be re-elected, which makes it awfully difficult to see how Benson or Bush lose.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 1, 2004 8:52 AM

Bush by 4 %.

Posted by: genecis at November 1, 2004 10:06 AM

NH? Not particularly relevant anymore, unless it provides an early opportunity for the media to scream about Kerry taking a Red state. I say again, it all comes down to Ohio. GWB is spending the final hours trying to hedge Ohio with IA and WI, but that's hoping for an inside straight.

Posted by: curt at November 1, 2004 12:38 PM

I wonder, who is the Al Gore to Judd Gregg's Gore Vidal?

Posted by: Eugene S. at November 1, 2004 3:18 PM