November 5, 2004

MISREADING CITIZENS:

Onward Christian soldiers: The hopefuls in the Democrat camp really believed victory in the US election was within their grasp. How did they get it so wrong? They failed to appreciate, says Simon Schama, that their country is now in fact two nations that loathe and fear each other - Godly and Worldly America (Simon Schama, November 5, 2004, The Guardian)

Even territorially (with the exception of Florida, its peninsular finger pointing expectantly at tottering Cuba), the two Americas are topographically coherent and almost contiguous. One of those Americas is a perimeter, lying on the oceans or athwart the fuzzy boundary with the Canadian lakes, and is necessarily porous and outward-looking. The other America, whether montagnard or prairie, is solidly continental and landlocked, its tap roots of obstinate self-belief buried deep beneath the bluegrass and the high corn. It is time we called those two Americas something other than Republican and Democrat, for their mutual alienation and unforgiving contempt is closer to Sunni and Shia, or (in Indian terms) Muslim and Hindu. How about, then, Godly America and Worldly America?

Worldly America, which of course John Kerry won by a massive landslide, faces, well, the world on its Pacific and Atlantic coasts and freely engages, commercially and culturally, with Asia and Europe in the easy understanding that those continents are a dynamic synthesis of ancient cultures and modern social and economic practices. This truism is unthreatening to Worldly America, not least because so many of its people, in the crowded cities, are themselves products of the old-new ways of Korea, Japan, Ireland or Italy. In Worldly America - in San Francisco, Chicago, San Diego, New York - the foreigner is not an anxiety, but rather a necessity. Its America is polycultural, not Pollyanna.

Godly America, on the other hand, rock-ribbed in Dick Cheney's Wyoming, stretched out just as far as it pleases in Dubya's deeply drilled Texas, turns its back on that dangerous, promiscuous, impure world and proclaims to high heaven the indestructible endurance of the American Difference. If Worldly America is, beyond anything else, a city, a street, and a port, Godly America is, at its heart (the organ whose bidding invariably determines its votes over the cooler instructions of the head), a church, a farm and a barracks; places that are walled, fenced and consecrated. Worldly America is about finding civil ways to share crowded space, from a metro-bus to the planet; Godly America is about making over space in its image. One America makes room, the other America muscles in.

Worldly America is pragmatic, practical, rational and sceptical. In California it passed Proposition 71, funding embryonic stem cell research beyond the restrictions imposed by Bush's federal policy. Godly America is mythic, messianic, conversionary, given to acts of public witness, hence the need - in Utah and Montana and a handful of other states - to poll the voters on amendments to their state constitution defining marriage as a union between the opposite sexes. But then Worldly America is said to feed the carnal vanities; Godly America banishes and punishes them. From time to time Godly America will descend on the fleshpots of Worldly America, from Gotham (it had its citadel-like Convention there after all) to Californication, will shop for T-shirts, take a sniff at the local pagans and then return to base-camp more convinced than ever that a time of Redemption and Repentance must be at hand. But if the stiff-necked transgressors cannot be persuaded, they can be cowed and conquered.

No wonder so many of us got the election so fabulously wrong even into the early hours of Tuesday evening, when the exit polls were apparently giving John Kerry a two- or three-point lead in both Florida and Ohio. For most of us purblind writers spend our days in Worldly America and think that Godly America is some sort of quaint anachronism, doomed to atrophy and disappear as the hypermodernity of the cyber age overtakes it, in whatever fastness of Kentucky or Montana it might still circle its wagons. The shock for the Worldlies is to discover that Godly America is its modernity; that so far from it withering before the advance of the blog and the zipdrive, it is actually empowered by them. The tenacity with which Godly America insists the theory of evolution is just that - a theory - with no more validity than Creationism, or that Iraqis did, in fact, bring down the twin towers, is not in any way challenged by the digital pathways of the information age. In fact, such articles of faith are expedited and reinforced by them. Holy bloggers bloviate, Pentecostalists ornament their website with a nimbus of trembling electronic radiance and, for all I know, you can download Pastor John Ashcroft singing the Praises of the Lord right to your Godpod.

Nor, it transpires, is the exercise of the franchise a sure-fire way for the Democrats to prevail. The received wisdom in these Worldly parts (subscribed to by yours truly; mea culpa) was that a massively higher turn out would necessarily favour Kerry. P Diddy's "Vote or Die" campaign was credited with getting out young voters en masse who ignored the polls in 2000. We saw a lot of Springsteen and Bon Jovi and ecstatic upturned faces. Who could possibly match their mobilisation, we thought? Answer: Jehovah and his Faithful Servant St Karl the Rove. The biggest story of all in 2004 is the astounding success of the Republicans in shipping millions of white evangelicals to the polls who had also stayed at home four years earlier. We thought we were fired up with righteous indignation - against the deceits of the propaganda campaign for the Iraq war, against the gross inequities of the tax cuts - but our fire was just hot air compared to the jihad launched by the Godlies against the infamy of a tax rollback, of merely presuming to diss the Dear Leader in a time of war. And the battalions of Christian soldiers made the telling difference in the few critical places where Godly and Worldly America do actually rub shoulders (or at least share a state), Ohio above all.


The Sunni/Shi'a comparison is more apt than Mr. Schama probably understands, the Sunni version of Islam tending to support a more totalitarian state while Shi'ism recognizes the primacy of faith but allows for a separate State. Traditional America is not un-Shi'a, while the America of the New Deal/Great Society era was not un-statist, though secular rather than religious in nature.

Mr. Schama likewise overestimates the wordliness of Blue America--exit polls show only 25% of voters favor gay marriage and only 35% civil union. Our "wordly" are awfully Godly, by world standards. Europeans would not be particularly comfortable in Blue America.

Posted by Orrin Judd at November 5, 2004 2:26 PM
Comments

Do you suppose that this idiot has ever even been to one of the "red" states? Is he unaware that that half of America's coastline runs from Maryland to Mexico? What was that comment "...the few critical places where Godly and Worldly America do actually rub shoulders.."? The "reddest" states gave Kerry a third of the vote. We "rub shoulders" all over the country, every day. What a jerk.

Posted by: Brandon at November 5, 2004 2:43 PM

I though even in Mass returns for Bush were
in the near 40% range.

The real fault of this "analysis" is that it does
not mention ...

a) race
b) union membership
c) govt. employee vs. private sector employment

Posted by: J.H. at November 5, 2004 2:56 PM

Not that many of us are as partisan as Michael Moore and Orrin Judd.

One thing that has always struck me as weird about American elections is that even popular candidates have a hard time getting more than 3 out of 5 votes. For every 3 for, there are 2 against. (Even running against 3 hopeless clowns, Dan Inouye, as successful a candidate as this country ever produced, got less than 4 out of 5 votes this week.)

That's why I think Orrin is dead wrong in his attempt to create a one-flavor state. One, it's never going to happen. Two, it would be a disaster if it did happen.

Only once in our history did a politician and his faction dominate the electorate. That was Madison, and his faction quickly fell apart.

We are the only place in the world where people who disagree get along. Orrin would have all the minority thinkers expelled. Make us like Spain or Japan or South Africa.

I like us the way we are.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at November 5, 2004 3:01 PM

These are caricatures with a grain of truth to them. The "Godly" are worldly as well. To read this, you would have to believe that Red Americans lived like the Amish. The Northeast is religous and blue collar, but it is mostly Catholic and urban. There is a great cultural mistrust among these groups to southern, evangelical religiosity. It is secular in the sense that it is comfortable with evolution and secular government, and sees evangelical creationism and school prayer crusades as an attempt at cultural takeover by southern protestants. I grew up as one of them, I was very religious but at the same time saw people like Oral Roberts as some kind of alien being. Don't underestimate the regional cultural differences among the religious.

Posted by: Robert Duquette at November 5, 2004 3:02 PM

Here is yet another writer blinded by his self annointed progressiveness.

Harry is exactly right, and understands the irony completely.

To the extent individual religiosity is important to civil health, it is made possible only by the utter absence of government imposed orthodoxy of any kind.

Besides, should one particular Christian sect get its way, the rest would reach fever pitch long before the areligious would even think about having throbbing forehead veins.

Most of my acquaintances could only be described as worldly; a goodly portion of them think religion is just fine for the religious, and happiest when the religious agree.

Not one of them is a self defined progressive.

All voted Republican.

Go figure.

Posted by: Jeff Guinn at November 5, 2004 3:14 PM

I particularly like the way this geographical whiz proclaims that "Godly America" is "solidly continental and landlocked." I wonder how the coastline stretching from Texas to Maryland compares to the West Coast plus Northeast? And heck, throwing in Alaska blasts the comparison to smithereens...

Posted by: brian at November 5, 2004 3:16 PM

Wow. Diagnosis without examing the patient, or even learning his age, sex, height, weight, blood pressure, body temperature or obtaining any lab results. Very impresive!

But not Science.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at November 5, 2004 3:41 PM

In case any of you were still wondering what became of Clark County, OH.

Thank you, Guardian. We must do this again.

Posted by: Eugene S. at November 5, 2004 4:10 PM

Dangit I *liked* Simon Schama. I thought his History of Britan was top drawer. Historians should learn to keep mum about what's happening now.

Posted by: Governor Breck at November 5, 2004 4:28 PM

Schama was good on Britain because he knows the place. $50 says he has never been outside the fabulous lost island of Manhattan in the US and then only on the Upper Left Side. The problem of yapping about what you are ignorant of.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at November 5, 2004 5:34 PM

It would be easier to "turn" Schama's Godly American to a candidate perceived as a moderate on the Democratic side -- see Bill Clinton in 1992 -- than to for the same thing to happen on the Worldly American side, going by New York's example. You simply cannont even hope to elect a Republican there unless the Democrats hold all levers of government and things are still completely in the crapper.

If there are no "R" politicias to blame at the city, state, or national level, as was the case in the two years after Clinton's election, only then will some people be willing to take a chance with the Republican side. And even in 1993, Giuliani's margin over David Dinkins was about the same as Bush's victory over Kerry. It was only four years later, when those who tend to follow the New York Times and the other media and intellectual elites' lead, could see that a Republican mayor wasn't the devil incarnate, that Rudy scored a blowout victory over ueber-liberal Ruth Messinger, who still had the hard-core elitists' support (and if you any positive feelings for New York, you have to shudder at the thought of Mayor Messinger on 9/11).

Taken out to t he national level, while there are some in the Blue States willing to change their minds after seeing their fears be proven wrong, the is another group that won't alter their view unless the Democrats have ruined everything without a Republican in sight (1966, 1994). Past that, you've got those who wouldn't change horses if their lives depended on it. In either case, I have no desire to test out the future application of those principles any time in the future.

Posted by: John at November 5, 2004 6:04 PM

Robert:

I guarantee you he didn't look at those red-blue county maps before declaring California, for example, monolithically blue.

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at November 5, 2004 6:06 PM

"there is another group that won't alter their view unless the Democrats have ruined everything without a Republican in sight (1966, 1994)"

Don't forget to add 1980. GOP took the Senate for the first time in a couple decades.

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at November 5, 2004 6:10 PM

Fred: It would shock the hell out of him to Know that Staten Island and Rockland County, NY in the NY metro were red and Nassau County was close.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at November 5, 2004 6:21 PM

I also think the writer overestimates the worldly of the Worldly America. I just went to New York City. I have been several times before, pre-Guliani, circa-Guliani and post-Guliani. This last time, my husband and I spent 4 hours inline skating in Central Park and also spent several hours walking through it. We did not see one bum. Not one. What did they do with them all? Also, all the bars and restaraunts were very pleasant to visit because of the no smoking. And it was the cleanest I have ever seen the city. Now, is all of this a product of Worldliness? I suspect not. I'd love to hear why the city is so different (even under Guliani) from anyone closer to the city.

Also, for all their gnashing of teeth over big companies taking over (Enron, Halliburton) I have never seen a city so taken over by 1 company. There is literally a Starbucks every 2 blocks on Manhattan and every one was full at all times. Here in St. Petersburg we have 2 and they definately have lulls.

Posted by: Buttercup at November 5, 2004 7:12 PM

Buittercup --

Not that I'm in New York anymore, but I still visit enough and know enough people there to tell you the memories of the Dinkins squalor remain, reinforced by the effort the city had to go through emotionally to recover f rom 9/11.

My fear, though, is we're getting pretty close to the point when those New York City "swing" voters -- that is those who would vote for a socially liberal Republican, though not for someone like Bush -- will start to again think that the city's current crime and basic social lifestyle levels are unremarkable compared to a dozen years ago, and anyone can keep things going in the same direction. As much as I have my problems with Bloomberg, his opponent next year is likely to be far worse, and if he's elected, look for the downward cycle of the Dinkins years (and the Lindsey/Beame years before that) to start all over again.

Posted by: John at November 5, 2004 7:41 PM

NYC used to be unlivable for the poor, the middle and the rich. Now just for the poor.

My son and daughter-in-law who live there really cannot conceive of how bad it used to be. In 1985, when I was spending a week at the Times, a friend who worked there warned me to watch out for balloons full of piss thrown out of the windows of the welfare hotel across from the entrance to the newspaper building.

Now you only have to look up for Arabs.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at November 5, 2004 9:42 PM

"Bums?"

Apparently there are plenty of homeless in NYC. They probably just don't go inline skating. Too expensive a hobby for people who can't afford homes there.

Halliburton = fraud and destroyed retirement plans
Halliburton = FBI investigation
Starbucks = coffee...apparently pretty popular stuff!
Bye.

Posted by: at November 5, 2004 11:47 PM

Yes, bums. People who sleep on park benches, leave the lovely smell of p*ss everywhere (and not because there are no bathrooms available), accost you at anytime for some money to buy food as they are reaching for the pack of cigarettes and flicking a butt on the ground. I could go on, but I know a bum when I see one.

And whether or not inline skating is such an outrageously expensive hobby (mine are from Target for 19.99 with no other costs) is debatable, you don't skate in a bubble or walk in one either. But calling a bum "homeless" is being in a bubble.

I just find it ironic that the same people who flock to Starbucks will moan about Walmart destroying small business and the Enrons and Halliburtons of the world. Have they no principle to apply to their daily life? Shouldn't they frequent the struggling small coffee shops? After all, Starbucks is big business and the question (to those inclined to rail against corporations), like with Halliburton, isn't whether they are a capable company or not, just that they are a big corporation. Of course, they always manage to leave out Global Crossings, but that involved a lot of Democrats, including McAuliffe.

Posted by: Buttercup at November 6, 2004 7:16 AM

RE: "Worldly America is pragmatic, practical, rational and sceptical. In California it passed Proposition 71, funding embryonic stem cell research beyond the restrictions imposed by Bush's federal policy. Godly America is mythic, messianic, conversionary, given to acts of public witness, hence the need - in Utah and Montana and a handful of other states - to poll the voters on amendments to their state constitution defining marriage as a union between the opposite sexes."

He must not know about Prop 22 -- gay marriage is not allowed in pragmatic, practical, rational and sceptical California, either.

Posted by: J Baustian at November 7, 2004 11:12 PM

What's pragmatic about embryonic stem cell research?

Posted by: oj at November 7, 2004 11:15 PM
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