October 28, 2004


If Bush goes, I go
: Mark Steyn predicts a victory for the President — and says he will resign if his man is not re-elected (Mark Steyn, 10/23/04, The Spectator)

Usually after making wild predictions I confidently toss my job on the line and say, if they don’t pan out, I’m outta here. I’ve done that a couple of times this campaign season — over Wes Clark (remember him?) — but it almost goes without saying in these circumstances. Were America to elect John Kerry president, it would be seen around the world as a repudiation not just of Bush and of Iraq but of the broader war. It would be a declaration by the people of American unexceptionalism — that they are a slightly butcher Belgium; they would be signing on to the wisdom of conventional transnationalism. Having failed to read correctly the mood of my own backyard, I could hardly continue to pass myself off as a plausible interpreter of the great geopolitical forces at play. Obviously that doesn’t bother a lot of chaps in this line of work — Sir Simon Jenkins, Robert ‘Mister Robert’ Fisk, etc., — and no doubt I could breeze through the next four years doing ketchup riffs on Teresa Heinz Kerry, but I feel a period of sober reflection far from the scene would be appropriate. My faith in the persuasive powers of journalism would be shattered; maybe it would be time to try something else — organising coups in Africa, like the alleged Sir Mark Thatcher is alleged to have allegedly done; maybe abseiling down the walls of the Presidential palace and garroting the guards personally.

But I don’t think it will come to that. This is the 9/11 election, a choice between pushing on or retreating to the polite fictions of September 10. I bet on reality.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 28, 2004 7:51 AM

A good man, Mark Steyn. Next time you run into him at the bait & tackle shop, would you please shake his hand for me?

Posted by: Eugene S. at October 28, 2004 12:29 PM

>I bet on reality.

But what if everybody else bets on a flattering fantasy?

Posted by: Ken at October 28, 2004 12:44 PM

I agree with Steyn. If Kerry wins I'm out of here.

Leaving this Web-Site for good.

(then again I might sneak back in just to see what's happening)

Posted by: h-man at October 28, 2004 1:40 PM

It might cause me to consider moving to my company's home office. How different would a Kerry-run America be from Schroeder's Germany, particularly as seen from Stoiber's Bavaria? The food and scenery are great and there are lots of attractive, fit women.

Posted by: Bart at October 28, 2004 2:57 PM

Not me. I'll just hunker down and think the happy thought "I don't live near enough to anything important to be a target".

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at October 28, 2004 5:25 PM

Just for the record. I will be upset, but I have survived worse. I lived the Carter administration in New York.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at October 29, 2004 2:35 AM


That's nothing. If you survived the Dinkins Mayoralty in NYC, that is a real achievement.

Posted by: Bart at October 29, 2004 6:54 AM