October 5, 2004


Kerry leads Latinos by nine points: poll (AFP, 10/05/04)

Democratic challenger John Kerry leads President George W. Bush 47 to 38 percent among Latinos registered to vote in November 2 balloting, according to a poll released Tuesday.

"Kerry has only a nine-point advantage over Bush among Hispanic registered voters," said Robert Desposada, president of the Coalicion Latina, which released the poll.

"That presents a serious problem for Kerry to win in key states with large Hispanic communities, such as New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado, Nevada and Florida," he said of states that are still up for grabs.

The poll was taken among 1,000 adult Latinos September 27-October 3, and has a margin of error of three percentage points.

It's October and every normally reliable Democratic cohort is wobbly.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 5, 2004 9:04 PM

Are Arizona, Colorado, and New Mexico still up for grabs ?

I doubt that the Cubans in Miami are going to go for Kerry in any big way, either.

If Kerry won just one of the five states mentioned, I'd say that he did better than expected.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at October 5, 2004 11:23 PM

Michael - New Mexico might be. With Richardson as governor the Dems might have a chance in that one.

Posted by: AWW at October 5, 2004 11:36 PM

How many of those registered are actually American citizens?

Posted by: Sandy P at October 6, 2004 12:24 AM

Oh, and in CA, hispanics making $55-60K and over broker for W in 2000.

Posted by: Sandy P at October 6, 2004 12:26 AM