October 6, 2004

RED HOT BLUES:

Bush and Kerry still running neck-and-neck in NJ, poll shows (The Associated Press, 10/6/2004)

Last week's debate has given John Kerry the thinest of edges in New Jersey, with likely voters giving the Massachusetts Democrat a 49-46 percent lead, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Wednesday. Independent candidate Ralph Nader got two percent of support from likely voters.

However, with the sampling error margin of plus or minus 3.4 percentage points thrown in for likely voters, the race is still neck-and-neck. The last Quinnipiac poll released on Sept. 21 had the two candidates tied 48-48 percent among likely voters.

Among registered voters, Kerry leads Bush 44-42 percent, with a sampling error margin of plus or minus 2.9 percent. The poll was taken from Oct. 1-4, with 1,184 registered voters. Among that total, 819 said they were likely to vote. [...]

When voters were asked about who would do a better job on terrorism, Bush got 52 percent to Kerry's 38 percent. [...]

When those polled were asked if they were voting for Kerry or against Bush, 42 percent said they were voting for the senator, while 52 percent said they were voting against Bush.

Also, 82 percent of voters said they were voting for Bush, while 14 percent said they were voting against Kerry.


Barring some major change the President will carry NJ.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 6, 2004 10:35 AM
Comments

52-38 Bush on terrorism is a big deal in a state directly impacted by 9-11.

And the voter attitude (Bush voters 82% for Bush, 14% against Kerry, Kerry voters 52% against Bush, 42% for Kerry) is just astounding.

Posted by: AWW at October 6, 2004 11:27 AM

What's going on with the gov?

Posted by: brian at October 6, 2004 1:08 PM

>Barring some major change the President will
>carry NJ.

Until John-John's 10,000 lawyers sue and appeal it from him. Just like Florida four years ago, but with more lawyers and four more years to prepare.

"Become a lawyer. One man with a briefcase can steal more than a hundred men with guns."
-- Don Vito Corleone, The Godfather

Posted by: Ken at October 6, 2004 1:47 PM

It looks like McGreevey won't leave until he is indicted. He was mugging for the camera at a parade/festival just last weekend.

Let's see if the press ever explores the links between McGreevey's money man and HRC, especially now that there are other rumblings of improper financial issues for the Clinton campaign in 2000.

Posted by: jim hamlen at October 6, 2004 1:53 PM

>Let's see if the press ever explores the links
>between McGreevey's money man and HRC,
>especially now that there are other rumblings
>of improper financial issues for the Clinton
>campaign in 2000.

He's a Democrat and those "other rumblings" are regarding Great Leader Bill and Dear Leader Hillary (all genuflect and burn the pinch of incense).

The media will get around to it sometime *after* the Brothers Judd accept Darwinian Evolution.

Posted by: Ken at October 6, 2004 8:12 PM

The FBI is investigating HRC's campaign and someone who was pleading for a Clinton pardon. There are apparently folks in CA who are squawking. Could be very interesting.

Posted by: ratbert at October 6, 2004 9:26 PM
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