October 24, 2004

PICK A QUAGMIRE:

John Kerry will make his adoring anti-war groupies look like fools (Edward Luttwak, 24/10/2004, Daily Telegraph)

One of the more amusing spectacles of these less-than- amusing times is the emergence of a Kerry fan club among European anti-war enthusiasts. The letter-writing campaign of The Guardian to the voters of Clark County, Ohio, is especially silly, but is only one of many examples.

Of course many people support John Kerry for the next president of the United States for a variety of reasons - he is credible when he promises to cut the Federal deficit, for example. But to support him in the hope that he would make American military policy more doveish is absurd. All the evidence is that he will do the exact opposite.


Indeed, it was not for nothing that Bob Dole coined the term Democrat Wars too describe the conflicts of the 20th Century. Mr. Kerry, just in order to dispel the wimp factor, would have to put ground troops in Western Pakistan to hunt for Osama's corpse, which would certainly inflame a population that barely tolerates its own government. Likewise, Democrats have reserved their harshest rhetoric for the House of Sa'ud and it's easy to imagine them stumbling into at least diplomatic trouble there. And, of course, the only hope Yasir Arafat has of becoming relevant again is that the Democrats revive him--the Israelis are in no mood for such a turn of events. Combine all this with the Senator's unwillingness to promote democracy in the region, which will only leave it a festering fever swamp, and you've got a far greater likelihood of truly messy wars under a prospective Kerry administration than under President Bush.

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 24, 2004 7:23 PM
Comments

[H]e is credible when he promises to cut the Federal deficit, for example.

Only if you assume he's lying about all the extra spending he's planning, of course, or just assume it can't get passed.

Posted by: John Thacker at October 24, 2004 8:02 PM

The First and Second Afghan wars, (re; Brian Robson's take on the subject)40,000 total
casualties; are instructive on the prospects of such an operation; and they started from the easy side. Than again, Kerry could get India on board; with a risk of a mild thermonuclear exchange. With
the Saud's there's less of that risk; although what would provoke more of a call to worldwide jihad than invading Mohammed (& Tammiya & Wahhab's
holiest sites)

Posted by: narciso at October 24, 2004 8:49 PM

Most likely, if Kerry were elected, you get the second coming of the Jimmy Carter administration. We'd abandon Iraq and spend two or three years in fruitless UN diplomatic initiatives to persuade Iran and North Korea to give up the nukes, and pressuring Israel to accept the "right of return."

On the morning after Seattle (or Baltimore, or Des Moines, whatever you like) disappears in a nuclear fireball, all bets are off . . . .

Posted by: Mike Morley at October 25, 2004 6:40 AM

Mike,

I think you're pretty much on target. While I don't think Kerry shares Carter's hatred for Jews, as distinguished from holding the French Ambassador to Britain's opinion of Israel, I do think he is at least as much of a wimp as Mr. Peanut.

Posted by: Bart at October 25, 2004 6:54 AM

      Sorry, Luttwak, I don't buy this agressive Kerry stuff.

      Yeah, Kerry may have been somewhat agressive in Viet Nam, and he may have supported some UN sanctioned foreign intervention, but he also wanted to let Communist Nicaragua overthrow govts. in Central America, and he was against the liberation of Kuwait.

      I once saw video of a demonstration in Canada, where some Indian was confronting a Canadian soldier.  The Injun was ranting and raving about how he was a warrior, prepared to die, etc.  The soldier was just staring at him, rifle in hand, waiting for the idiot to actually make a false move.  I've never seen a better example of someone talking tough because he wasn't really tough.

      Kerry's just another tough talker.

THE SAUDS MUST BE DESTROYED!

Posted by: Stephen M. St. Onge at October 26, 2004 5:02 AM
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