October 7, 2004


WMUR-TV Poll: Strong Leads For N.H. Congressional Incumbents: Little Change In Standing Seen Since July Survey (WMUR-TV, October 6, 2004)

The state's three congressional incumbents running for re-election enjoy comfortable leads over their challengers, according to the latest University of New Hampshire poll for WMUR-TV.

Sen. Judd Gregg and Reps. Jeb Bradley and Charles Bass, all Republicans, lead their Democratic challengers by double digits outside the margin of error.

The telephone poll of 538 likely voters was conducted Sept. 27 to Oct. 3 and released Wednesday. Its margin of error was plus or minus 4.5 percentage points. In each case, the results showed little change from the last UNH congressional election poll, conducted in July.

Gregg led Dublin campaign finance reform advocate Doris "Granny D" Haddock 62 to 21 percent, with 16 percent undecided.

"It was widely believed that Gregg would prevail for a third-term re-election even before Granny D registered as a candidate, and her candidacy has made little headway against the incumbent," said pollster Andrew Smith.

Bradley led Portsmouth lawyer Justin Nadeau in the 1st Congressional District 58 to 25 percent, with 17 percent undecided. Bass led Concord lawyer Paul Hodes 53 to 28 percent, with 18 percent undecided and 1 percent preferring other candidates in the 2nd District.

The "swing state" of NH will not just vote for George W. Bush again in November but return a Republican governor, all GOP congressional representation and overwhelmingly Republican state legislature. Why didn't Democrats just burn their ad money?

Posted by Orrin Judd at October 7, 2004 2:40 PM

Hope springs eternal.

Posted by: Michael Herdegen at October 7, 2004 4:47 PM

Any recent polls on the governor race? It is strange that most polls show Bush-Kerry tied or even Kerry with a lead in NH when all of the other races show strong pro-GOP. Similar situation in AK and OK where Bush will win big but the GOP senate candidates are in trouble. SD is a separate issue given Daschle's clout.

Posted by: AWW at October 7, 2004 4:48 PM


Two governor polls, onse showing it tied with Bensin in low 40s, but no one even knows who he's running against. Once they label his foe--correctly--a tax hiker it's over.

Posted by: oj at October 7, 2004 4:52 PM

> Why didn't Democrats just burn their ad money?

I'd say they did.

Posted by: at October 7, 2004 8:19 PM