September 23, 2004

WHO'S THAT UNDER MY SADDLE?:

Burr 3 points behind Bowles in latest poll (Winston Salem Journal, 9/23/04)

A new poll shows the race for the U.S. Senate in North Carolina tightening, with Republican Richard Burr closing to within 3 percentage points of Democrat Erskine Bowles.

In other polls so far, Bowles - who ran for the Senate two years ago against Republican Elizabeth Dole - has led by 8 to 10 percentage points.

But the poll for N.C. FREE, a trade group in Raleigh that tracks state elections, found Bowles with support from 44 percent, Burr with 41 percent and 12 percent undecided, according to N.C. FREE members who have seen it.

The statewide poll of more than 700 likely voters was conducted by Verne Kennedy, a pollster in Florida, before the Republican National Convention began Aug. 30 and before Burr released ads last week that criticize Bowles' support of a tax increase as a member of the Clinton administration.


Having just run statewide in '02, Mr. Bowles should have a wide lead based on nothing more than name recognition. Being at 44% instead is a very bad sign.

Posted by Orrin Judd at September 23, 2004 2:05 PM
Comments

He DID have a wide lead based purely on name recognition. But now things are getting serious, and it's going away, as it was always going to.

Posted by: brian at September 23, 2004 3:10 PM

I have been hesitate to put NC in the GOP pickup column because Bowles was holding onto a 10pt lead. A few more polls like this and I think Bush will help pull Burr over the finish line.

Posted by: AWW at September 23, 2004 3:45 PM

Bowles only wants 1 debate (if that). He was trounced by Liddy in their face-offs and hasn't forgotten it.

He will be lucky to exceed 46% on Nov. 2. It looks like Burr's strategy of waiting will pay off. By allowing the Presidential race to firm up, he has positioned himself to wrap Kerry around Bowles like wet toilet paper, and then charge home in the last month.

An ad showing Bowles's wife (who has the money) and Teresa would be perfect, although definitely not PC.

Posted by: jim hamlen at September 23, 2004 4:00 PM
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