September 2, 2004
THE REACTIONARY:
Apparently the Kerry camp has released the text of the speech he plans to give at his midnight rally tonight and it includes something about how he won't stand for criticism from guys who didn't even serve in Vietnam or whatever. Now that's a line of argument that might have made some iota of sense a month ago, but it's way too late for it now. Meanwhile, the reason it makes only an iota is because his opponents are the Secretary of Defense who won the Gulf War and the Commander-in-Chief who won in Afghanistan and Iraq. He reported for duty at his convention, evoking his grunt status nicely. They are the commanders who such men report to for duty. If we were choosing a swift boat pilot it would be one thing, but we're choosing who should lead the entire nation in wartime. Whose military experience matters more in that case? (And isn't John Edwards unqualified by either standard?)
But the really stupid aspect of this is that he's giving this speech a few hours after President Bush gives an address in which he'll probably not even mention John Kerry, never mind attack him. There'll be a disconnect between Mr. Bush's positive vision and Mr. Kerry's attacks, especially because the Democrats have been complaining so much about negativity.
Who's driving this clattering train?
MORE:
Here's a strange glimpse into the future, Kerry says Bush 'unfit to lead this nation' (AP, 9/02/04)
Fighting back, Democratic Sen. John Kerry called President Bush "unfit to lead this nation" because of the war in Iraq and his record on jobs, health care and energy prices. He lashed out at the incumbent and Vice President Dick Cheney for avoiding service in the Vietnam War."I'm not going to have my commitment to defend this country questioned by those who refused to serve when they could have and by those who have misled the nation into Iraq," Kerry said in prepared remarks issued as the Republican was poised to accept his party's nomination for a second term.
Bush: We fight not for pride, not for power, but because lives are at stake (Rupert Cornwell, 03 September 2004, The Independent uk)
Portraying himself as a clear-minded and decisive leader, George Bush last night pledged that if elected for a second term, he would continue the fight against terrorists "not for pride, not for power," but to keep America and the world a safe place to live.In his acceptance speech climaxing the Republican convention here, Mr Bush offered his country "clear, consistent and principled leadership," insisting he had a "clear and positive plan" both for international affairs, and to set his country right at home.
Mr Bush's speech to a wildly cheering audience at Madison Square Garden arena capped a four-day convention launching the President into the last 60 days of a campaign which will determine whether he achieves the second White House term that eluded his father.
Immediately afterwards he left to campaign in Pennsylvania, a key swing state, which Mr Kerry must carry to win the Presidency. Though there appears to have been a slight shift of momentum towards Mr Bush in recent days, the two candidates are still running neck and neck in opinion polls.
"We have fought the terrorists across the earth not for pride, not for power, but because the lives of our citizens are at stake," Mr Bush told the 2,500 convention delegates here. "We are staying on the offensive abroad so we do not have to face them [the terrorists] here at home." For the turbulent Middle East region, he promised that his administration was working to advance freedom and peace. And, he added, "We will prevail."
No rest in war on terror, says Bush (Alec Russell, 03/09/2004, Daily Telegraph)
President George W Bush last night promised Americans he would stay on the offensive in the global fight against terrorism as he sought to affirm his commitment to resolving domestic problems if he were to win a second White House term.Posted by Orrin Judd at September 2, 2004 8:16 PM
A midnight speech for a doom-and-gloom attack speech? Who is in charge of backdrops? So much for sunny optimism.
Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at September 2, 2004 8:25 PMI thought they got RID of Bob Shrum. This is classic Shrumistry.
Posted by: Melissa at September 2, 2004 8:27 PMAnd why is Shrum held in such high regard by the Democrats? Is there ANY major recent campaign where he was on the winning side?
Posted by: John Barrett Jr. at September 2, 2004 8:37 PMHere's a bit on Shrum:
http://www.brothersjudd.com/blog/archives/012242.html
There are supposedly new poll numbers that are just brutal for Kerry, showing him down by 6 to 8 even before the President speaks.
Also, there was a rumor on Wall Street that the President will announce August job numbers tonight and the market rallied on the news that they're pretty good.
Posted by: oj at September 2, 2004 8:42 PMHe won't stand for it? What is that supposed to mean, anyway?
The next 60-ish days are going to be ugly. There is far too much Bush hatred from the left to go down quietly--they make Zell Miller look like Pollyanna. Expect all sorts of bizarre slander to come out from the MoveOn types, and if that doesn't work in the next several weeks, watch the vermin turn on each other.
Posted by: brian at September 2, 2004 8:43 PMA few months ago, Lileks commented that the amount of Bush-hatred on the Left is so intense and pathological that it might spill over into domestic terrorism after a Bush win.
i.e. Reaction to a Bush Victory:
1) Go into shock as whatever they were using for reality collapses.
2) Dust off the fantasy ideology and start rebuilding themselves as Luke Skywalker against the Evil Empire. (By now, Bush is worse than Hitler...)
3) Flash back to the Weathermen in '68, and...
4) Start mixing the fertilizer and fuel oil and picking targets within the Fascist Pig Power Structure (TM).
Meltdown. Total meltdown. Almost sad, really.
Posted by: at September 2, 2004 8:55 PMAm I missing something, or did the The Independent reporter mail in this report a wee bit in advance? I know that England is ahead of California time, but shouldn't I be watching the live "wildly cheering audience" (which hasn't occured yet on my California television set) at the same time as the reporter in England or New York? Or is there a time warp operating of which I am unaware?
Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at September 2, 2004 9:12 PMDomsetic terrorism during the Vietnam era was, if not supported, at least justified by a lot of people because of what the U.S. was doing in Vietnam. It was a line of reasoning they were able to get away with because Vietnam was 7,000 miles away, and the Viet Cong were not seen as a threat to the United States and never killed any Americans on U.S. soil.
Today, any domestic terrorist attacks similar to the Capitol bombing or the attacks on college campuses and ROTC centers there would immediatel conjure up memories of 9/11 in the vast majority of the American public. Anyone trying to rationalize away those attacks would find themselves rightfully lumped in with al Qaida sympathisers and would kill their chances of having any meanigful participation in the national political debate. That doesn't mean it wouldn't be tried, but those who did and their supporters would find a far harsher climate than 35 years ago.
Posted by: John at September 2, 2004 9:24 PMWell, so much for that not attacking Kerry thing.
Posted by: David Cohen at September 2, 2004 10:45 PMLooking ahead, Kerry's final speech of the campaign: "AWOL!AWOL!Halliburton!Bushitler!Oil!Yearrrrrrgh!!!!!!!!!!!!"
Posted by: Noel at September 3, 2004 12:07 AMSomehow, the image of JFKerry doing the Dean scream is both hilarious and very disturbing.
Now, if Teresa were to get roiled up and start yelling on stage....
Posted by: ratbert at September 3, 2004 12:56 AMMy first observation was going to be that at least Al Gore's meltdown occurred after he'd lost. Apparently, not an original thought.
As to who made the call about a midnight pep rally, the content may be Shrum, but the timing feels like 100% Kerry. Sad.
Posted by: Dave Sheridan at September 3, 2004 1:32 AMI question the timing of this response.
Posted by: Sandy P at September 3, 2004 2:10 AMWhat is surprising about all of Kerry's moves is that they involve bringing Clintonites like Lockhart and now Begala into the campaign. This is 'Twilight Zone' weird.
First, the primary season was about a civil war in the Democratic party between the Kennedy crowd and the Clintonites. Kerry was supposed to be an explicit rejection of Clintonism, with its seeming centrism. Remember all that blather about 'the Democrat wing of the Democrat party.' The Clintons installed surrogates into the race like Edwards and Clark, for the express purpose of weakening their critics in the party. By running after the Clintonites, Kerry shows his tendency to flip-floppery, merely magnifying his weaknesses.
Second, bringing the Clintonites into the fold is like hiring wolves to guard the chicken coop. They don't want a Democratic President in 2008, because Hilary wants to run then. Hilary also cannot wait until 2012 to run because of what is happening in NY. 2006 is an election year and either Pataki or Giuliani wants the Senate seat. Her battle plan has been essentially to declare for the White House the day after the Bush re-election win and decline to run for re-election for the Senate because 'her campaign will take too much time away from the business of the good people of New York.' Either Pataki or Giuliani would have to be considered the favorite to beat her in 2006, and a Senate loss would end her career. She wants to be able to run for the White House as an undefeated candidate, having bested the formidable (snicker or chortle depending on your mood) Rick Lazio. By not running in 2006 against a formidable Republican, she keeps her perfect record. By bringing Clinton loyalists into his campaign, Kerry has signed his own death warrant. If he somehow starts to make a comeback in the polls, he'd better hire a food taster.
Finally, what do the Clintonites bring to the table? The entire Clinton MO has been negative attack. Carvillism is all about tearing down the other guy. Has there been another President since Lincoln who has been subject to such villification as Bush has suffered already? He's been accused by people who get air time (not just the MoveOn crowd), by people in positions where they are treated with respect and listened to as if they actually might say something of value, of being a drunk, an idiot, an ignoramus, a psychopath, a genocidal maniac, a liar, a coward, a draft dodger, an enabler of securities fraud. He's been accused of everything except adultery, rape, and trading in cattle futures on inside information. What else can they say about him? I'm half-expecting a commercial where they say that his mother wears Army shoes.
It just seems that this is the last desperate Hail Mary pass of the campaign. And guys who call it 'Lambert Field' should not be doing football stuff.
Posted by: Bart at September 3, 2004 7:03 AMExcellent point about the Clinton and Clinton position of always going on the negative, Bart.
The other thing they had though was a defined position --chosen in advance-- and they would force their Dem allies and Rep adversaries to stake out positions right and left of it ahead of them, leaving them to grab the mushy middle. Kerry has no position, at bottom, so there's no way he can tack toward the mass of voters without having to explain a whole slew of contradictory positions.
Posted by: cornetofhorse at September 3, 2004 9:20 AMWho's driving this clattering train?
I'd say death, but even that wouldn't explain the Kerry's apparent desire for complete annihilation.
Posted by: Matt Murphy at September 3, 2004 5:56 PM