September 22, 2004
I'LL HAVE A SILVER BULLETT WITH THOSE ELECTORAL VOTES:
Bush shows sizable lead among Colorado voters (PETER ROPER, 9/22/04, THE PUEBLO CHIEFTAIN
More Colorado voters trust President Bush and his handling of the Iraq war than they do Democratic Sen. John Kerry, according to a statewide voter survey commissioned by The Pueblo Chieftain.
In a telephone survey last week of 600 registered voters who are likely to vote, 51 percent of the respondents said they would vote for Bush while 39 percent said they would vote for Kerry. The poll was conducted by Ciruli Associates of Denver. The margin for error in the poll is 4 percent. [...]
There are more registered Republicans than Democrats in Colorado and the survey reflected that, with 42 percent of those surveyed describing themselves as either strong or mild Republicans and 33 percent describing themselves as strong or mild Democrats.
"While state voter registration is a little closer than that, historically more Republicans turn out to vote than Democrats," Ciruli said.
It's not too early for Senator Kerry to begin preparing a last ditch effiort to defend the territory along the Charles River.
Posted by Orrin Judd at September 22, 2004 8:08 PM
But how is that stupid retroactive ballot proposition to apportion electoral votes by the popular vote doing? If it passes, then the fight is over a single vote, and that makes Colorado even more irrelevant than New Hampshire in terms of "battleground" states.
Is this the same poll that shows Pete Coors ahead?
I have a hard time believing that a law that retroactively changes Colorado's electoral votes could possibly be upheld.
It's not retroactive, since the Electoral College state electors don't meet until 13 Dec '04, and their ballots don't have to be turned in to the
Federal gov't until 22 Dec '04.
This electoral vote nonsense will stop when the GOP pushes Arnold to support a ballot initiative for the same change in CA.
If the GOP is going to be assured of 22-26 of CA's electoral votes, what the small states do will pale in comparison.
Polls for some reason have shown Colorado very close while anecdotal evidence and GOP strength in the state would indicate Bush should take Colorado fairly easily. I think this poll had the Senate race tied at 45-45 or so - Bush will need to make a stop or 2 to help get Coors to the winners circle.
A strong Bush showing in Colorado could mean the difference to Pete Coors' race -- it's close. The proportional allocation of electoral votes would be great for big states like California (and my vote would count for a change), but it relegates small states to permanent flyover status.
Remember how Wayne Allard was supposed to be in danger in '02?