July 9, 2004

WHAT WAR? (via Kevin L. Whited):

Fight to Win!: If Bush lets Fallujah thrive, conservatives might abandon war (ROD DREHER, July 9, 2004, The Dallas Morning News)

If President Bush wants to lose the support of conservative backers of the war, let's have a few more stories like yesterday's front-page outrage in The New York Times. It's exactly the kind of thing that makes the stench of Vietnam rise to right-wing nostrils.

The newspaper reported that both American and Iraqi officials now say that the decision in April to back down from besieged Fallujah has turned that wretched city into a terrorist hellhole. Former Baathists and religious cutthroats run the city and are using it to manufacture car bombs to blow up American troops and Iraqi civilians.

Because of this phony agreement we signed with the thugs back in April, reports The Times, our soldiers can't even return fire coming at them from the city!

Lt. Gen. Ricardo Sanchez now admits that – surprise! – Fallujah "is going to have to be dealt with." Get this: American military officials indicate that the decision to pull back from Fallujah in April was made not by the military but by the civilian leadership in Washington.


Perhaps the most idiotic thing the Right claims the Vietnam War taught us is that the military should run wars, not the politicians. It's convenient, of course, because the civilian leadership was either Democrats or liberal Republicans, but it lets a military that was commanded very poorly until very late in the day off the hook.

Mr. Dreher, in fact, brings up an instance which disproves his own case. It makes far more sense to go back and deal with Fallujah now, with Iraqis in control of their own country, than it would have to attack it while we were in the process of handing off control. An even more obvious example is Najaf, which the military would happily have pummeled, thereby turning the Shi'a against us and precipitating a genuine quagmire which could only have ended in our defeat.

The military serves political ends, not vice versa.

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 9, 2004 6:54 PM
Comments

Agree with your comments on the timing. I didn't like the original decision but it turned out to be correct in my opinion. Let the terrorists etc. coalesce into a critical mass and the with the Iraqi's blessings, we have them evacuate and caretake willing civilians as we go in to make fullscale war with artillery, gunships, airstrikes, tanks and Marines on the ground shouting remember 9/11. All this at Fallujah while the Army moves down from the North to form an anvil. Special forces can take care of the breakouts toward the west hoping to escape to Syria. The Iraqis can handle all prisoners as they deem necessary.

What does the Times suggest as a plan? @*#$$@&@& leftwing armchair quarterbacks.

Posted by: genecis at July 9, 2004 8:22 PM

One thing that doesn't get mentioned is that Falluja has always been an anomaly. It apparently grew up after WWII as a smuggling center, and became the sort of place that Al Capone might have built, if he hadn't had Chicago. Even Saddam didn't have a firm grip there.

Failure in Falluja shouldn't be considered indicative of anything.

Posted by: John Weidner at July 9, 2004 8:50 PM

More nausiating than the anti-war actics of the left has been the furious backpedaling by the right on the war, NRO being a prime example. You expect the leftists to cry Vietnam at every opporutnity but to watch NRO, the Weekly Standard etc do it is depressing.

Posted by: AWW at July 9, 2004 10:08 PM

War is many times a situation where, like the song says, "you don't always get what you want, but you get what you need."

We'd like to grind down the jihadis and Ba'athists in Fallujah, rub them out, and hold up their severed heads to the rest of the population: "see? SEE? Don't mess with us!"

Unfortunately, while we COULD have done that, it would have been the wrong thing to do then.

Sadr was the bigger problem, and the risk of turning the Shi'a against us was real. We handled that well by carefully, methodically grinding down Sadr's brigade over several weeks. In the end they quit, and shortly after that Sadr did too. But in doing that, we couldn't turn around and pound down Fallujah. That would have risked a larger uprising which was counter to what we were doing in Najaf.

And we needed the example of the Fallujah Brigade to show Sistani, et al. -- "see? We can work with some Sunnis when we want. How'd you like to see a Sunni-led army, eh?" That was coincident with the time that Sistani realized upon which side his bread was buttered.

Others have noted that Fallujah is a tough nut, and it is. What the Marines have done there since pulling back (a little) has been a near-sublime strategy: they've said to the Fallujahans, okay, you don't want us around, welcome to your alternative. Now they have foreign jihadis running the place, and news is, the locals aren't happy. Just as in Najaf, the locals can compare the careful application of American power with the insufferable arrogance of the jihadis. The Fallujahans need more impressing, and they're currently getting it. Life isn't happy there right now, and the Fallujahans are going to figure out that being ordered around by a bunch of foreign religious zealots isn't what they bargained for.

I would predict that the interim government will at some point deal with Fallujah, that point being when the locals signal that they're really, really tired of the jihadis. The government will assist them in that assessment by reminding them that if the town isn't pacified, it won't participate in the elections in January. We'll help in the background but let the new Iraqi army handle it. Allawi will get the obligatory feather in his hat and will win a full term as PM.

Posted by: Steve White at July 9, 2004 10:22 PM

I don't know about returning fire, but didn't we bomb two safehouses in Fallujah last week?

Posted by: mike earl at July 9, 2004 11:53 PM

Mike:

There you go, bringing up facts again.

Posted by: Jeff Guinn at July 10, 2004 6:53 AM

Not allowing men to return fire is almost certainly bad policy.

One thing I find bothersome is that reservists and national guardsmen are in Iraq, while regular army units sit in Korea and Germany. The same thing happened in Vietnam too.

Posted by: John Doe at July 10, 2004 7:19 PM

The annoying thing is that this whole thing has been chained to the 24hr news cycle and a Nov. 2 deadline. Folks. Falluja ain't going anywhere. When we and our Iraqi friends are good and ready, and not a moment sooner, we will do what has to be done. I assume that it will be a lot better if Allawi makes the decision with the advice and consent of his goventment than if a US offfice makes it, and if he announces it to the locals.

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at July 10, 2004 10:59 PM

So, Orrin would have had us withdraw immediately after the overthrow and let the Iraqis handle themselves by themselves.

And on what grounds would we have then expected that the whole country would not have ended up like Fallujah?

Posted by: Harry Eagar at July 11, 2004 2:33 PM

Not withdraw. Serve the legitimate Iraqi government.

Posted by: oj at July 11, 2004 2:43 PM

Which one?

Posted by: Harry Eagar at July 11, 2004 4:40 PM

Whichever one we handed sovereignty to would have sufficed, probably Chalabi at that point.

Posted by: oj at July 11, 2004 5:17 PM
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