July 27, 2004

SOFT POWER

Iran starts atom tests in defiance of EU deal (Anton La Guardia, The Daily Telegraph, July 27th, 2004)

Iran has broken the seals on nuclear equipment monitored by United Nations inspectors and is once again building and testing machines that could make fissile material for nuclear weapons.

Teheran's move, revealed to The Daily Telegraph yesterday by western sources, breaks a deal with European countries under which Iran suspended "all uranium enrichment activity".

It will also exacerbate fears that the regional power is determined to make an atomic bomb within a few years. [...]

America has in recent weeks renewed its call for Iran to be referred to the UN Security Council for possible sanctions.

However, diplomats said senior officials from the "EU-3" - Britain, France and Germany - would try to coax Teheran back to the path of co-operation at a secret meeting in Paris on Thursday.[...]

British officials say they have no illusions about Iran's intentions, but have hitherto advocated patient diplomacy.

They want to allow inspectors to keep working to "box in" the Iranians to the point where they either give up nuclear weapons ambitions or commit such a blatant violation that the West can win international support for sanctions.

"Iran has resumed research and testing, and every day that passes means it gets closer to mastering the technology," said one western source.

"If the Europeans think they can outfox the Iranians in the carpet bazaar, they are deeply mistaken."

Once again, the West dreams of how it can "shame" renegade regimes into responsible behaviour. The longer this goes on, the harder it may be for the Iranian opposition to overcome the surge of nationalist resentment at the constant feckless carping at Teheran. National pride may provide a shot in the arm for the regime, just as it did in Serbia.


Posted by Peter Burnet at July 27, 2004 2:45 PM
Comments

They want to force Iran to "commit such a blatant violation that the West can win international support for sanctions." What would be sufficient, a nuclear explosion in New York?

Posted by: pj at July 27, 2004 4:42 PM

Is there any reason not to bomb the facilities?

Posted by: Robert Schwartz at July 27, 2004 6:17 PM

If the alleged outrage at the alleged misfeasance revealed in the earthquake earlier this year was not sufficient to set off the allegedly inevitable uprising, then it ain't ever gonna happen.

The discontented Iranians do not want, no matter what Orrin thinks, shia democrats.

They want competent shia totalitarians.

Waiting for Iranian revolution against dictatorship is like waiting for the German ditto.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at July 27, 2004 8:15 PM

Shame.

Well, it's an interesting idea.

Except that "shame" for Iran in this instance would be bowing to international demands/requests/implorings that Iran keep its (supposed) word and (purported) commitments and accede to their wishes.

(One of those cases of the same word meaning two diametrically opposed things, e.g., shame, honesty, honor, victory, peace...)

Posted by: Barry Meislin at July 28, 2004 3:04 AM
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