July 28, 2004


White evangelicals flocking to GOP (Ralph Z. Hallow, 7/26/04, THE WASHINGTON TIMES)

The party of John Kerry and John Edwards is improving its standing with minorities, but losing ground to President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney among white evangelicals, a new survey found.

Those findings are bad news for Democrats assembled in Boston for their national convention, because white evangelicals and born-again Christians far outnumber blacks and Hispanic combined.

"White evangelicals and born-again Christians are 26 percent of all registered voters — that's quite a big chunk — and the survey shows they are quite happy with Republicans," said Adam Clymer, political director of the University of Pennsylvania's National Annenberg Election Survey, which polled 3,715 registered voters nationwide July 1 to 21, with a margin of error of 1 percentage point.

"Whatever percentage the turnout of your voters, if you get another 1 percent of evangelicals and born-agains, that's a lot more votes," Mr. Clymer said. "It makes a lot more difference than getting an additional 1 percent of blacks or Hispanics."

It's easy to imagine evangelicals turning out in record numbers--it's an evangelical presidency--but why would blacks and Hispanics turn out for Kerry and/or against Bush?

Posted by Orrin Judd at July 28, 2004 2:50 PM

OT, I know, but is the Adam Clymer quoted in the article the same Adam Clymer who became famous as "Major Leauge" in the 2000 election?

Posted by: Mike Morley at July 28, 2004 3:04 PM

One and the same.

Posted by: oj at July 28, 2004 3:10 PM

Don't overlook that the evangelical movement is becoming very popular among Hispanics. Drive through Latino neighborhoods in California and you will see far more storefront 'nueva iglesia de Cristo' than Roman Catholic churches (though I don't suggest that the number of parishoners are equal).

Posted by: Fred Jacobsen (San Fran) at July 28, 2004 5:23 PM