June 4, 2004
HEY, THE MOTHER AND CHILD REUNION!:
US rates set to rise as job numbers grow (Mark Tran, June 4, 2004, The Guardian)
Another 284,000 jobs were created by the US economy in May as signs that the country's "jobless recovery" was over grew, Labour Department statistics showed today.The number of new non-agricultural jobs exceeded Wall Street expectations of 200,000, strengthening expectations that the Federal Reserve would start raising interest rates from their current 46-year low of 1%.
Further evidence that strong economic growth was finally feeding into the job market was provided when jobs growth in April and March was revised upwards by a total of 74,000.
Over the past three months, the US economy created 947,00 jobs, the best three-month gain since the summer of 2000. The unemployment rate remained at 5.6%.
When presidential economic advisor Gregory Mankiw predicted these job gains Senator Kerry referred to the Administration's: "empty promises and false hope for middle-class families." It's 2004 and the Democrats have a nominee who believes in neither capitalism nor democracy. Posted by Orrin Judd at June 4, 2004 1:49 PM
The astonishing thing is that the market is up on the job numbers, rather than down on the rate speculation.
Posted by: David Cohen at June 4, 2004 1:51 PMDavid:
Doesn't that just mean that the markets have finally factored in an interest rate hike and good news is good news again?
Posted by: oj at June 4, 2004 1:55 PMThe beads of sweat are forming on Bob Shrum's forhead as we speak.
Posted by: Robert Schwartz at June 4, 2004 4:45 PMOJ: You might be right. However, Treasuries fell today, and yields are now at better than 2 year highs, so the bond market did react to the jobs report.
Posted by: David Cohen at June 4, 2004 9:13 PMThere's already an expected Fed bump built into the Treasury curve, which is why the numbers didn't spook the bond market. What will spook the bond market will be anything out of line with expectations, not with last quarter or last year.
Posted by: Dave Sheridan at June 5, 2004 5:47 AM