April 14, 2004
THE Y TEAM:
Kerry's Boldface Names: Let the speculation begin on who would populate these pages as appointees in a Kerry administration. (WILLIAM SAFIRE, 4/14/04, NY Times)
Secretary of State Hot candidates are former U.N. ambassadors RICHARD HOLBROOKE and BILL RICHARDSON, Senator JOE BIDEN, ex-Senate majority leader GEORGE MITCHELL, and the dark horse, former Treasury Secretary BOB RUBIN. The envelope, please: (pause) Holbrooke.Defense Secretary Michigan Senator CARL LEVIN can taste it, but first offer goes to Senator JOHN MCCAIN, who would turn it down because Arizona's governor would fill his seat with a Democrat. But Nebraska's CHUCK HAGEL, the Democrats' favorite Republican, would jump at it, and Kerry needs Pentagon G.O.P. support, as BILL CLINTON did.
National Security Adviser If Kerry considers this a coordination job, it would go to RAND BEERS, who has all the charisma of Clinton's SAMUEL BERGER. Contrariwise, if he wanted to dominate State and Defense from the White House, he could pick Gen. WES CLARK. More likely, Kerry would choose a major player with defense-reform credentials, like former Senator GARY HART.
C.I.A. Florida Senator BOB GRAHAM is angling for this, though copious notes he keeps could be subpoenaed. But on the inside track is former Senator BOB KERREY.
Treasury JIM JOHNSON, the former Walter Mondale aide and Fannie Mae boss, who now oversees Kerry's search for a vice president, will get the nod over banker STEVE RATTNER, a likely deputy, or the Clintonian ROGER ALTMAN, whose confirmation difficulty would steer him to head the National Economic Council.
Justice JOHN EDWARDS is too tight with the trial lawyers to be attorney general, and isn't-it-a-fact-that RICHARD BEN-VENISTE is too overtly partisan. DENNIS ARCHER, the former Detroit mayor and now the first African-American to head the American Bar Association, is a logical choice.
Homeland Security This is for a capable administrator who can be publicly soothing: Pennsylvania Governor ED RENDELL, if he delivers his state, would have a call on this, but will be eclipsed by Iowa's governor, TOM VILSACK, if he again delivers for Kerry.
Health and Human Services Former Gov. JEANNE SHAHEEN of New Hampshire has the edge over the Michigan governor, JENNIFER GRANHOLM, unless Senator TED KENNEDY objects. (Under Kerry, the senior liberal from Massachusetts would own this agency. And Teddy's own top aide who resuscitated the dying Kerry campaign, MARY BETH CAHILL, would be a shoo-in for White House chief of staff.)
Labor DICK GEPHARDT, if he wants to get even with the unions that did him in at Iowa's caucuses. Veterans Affairs Ex-Senator MAX CLELAND, who helped Kerry most when it counted. U.S. Trade Representative Illinois Representative RAHM EMANUEL. And the usual ethnic, racial, sexual and geographic criteria apply to selections for Commerce, Education, Transportation, Housing, Interior and Energy; Great Mentioners don't sweat the small stuff.
Richard Nixon famously opined that a good cabinet should have one potential future president in it. One of the most remarkable aspects of the Bush cabinet (and upper level staff) was that it had as many as 6 people capable of running the government and/or of being elected president--Colin Powell, John Ashcroft, Don Rumsfeld, Condi Rice, Christie Todd Whitman, etc.. This was because it was top heavy in governors, chiefs of staff (Cheney & Rumsfeld at the presidential level; Powell at the military), and popular women. Assuming that Bill Richardson's presidential ambitions are better served by being finishing his first gubernatorial term and being re-elected is better served, the theoretical Kerry cabinet would have at most two--maybe George Mitchell and Ed Rendell (though you'd think he needs to be re-elected once too). If Bill Clinton had the weakest cabinet in modern memory--with only Bruce Babbitt even imaginable as a president--Mr. Kerry's would be a close second. Posted by Orrin Judd at April 14, 2004 9:42 AM
Listening to some of Bob Kerrey's contributions during the commission's hearings to date I wonder why he's on the Commission and what he was expected to contribute. For the sake of the nation he should be encouraged to continue his position with the New School and occasionally do guest appearances on SNL and NPR's Prairie Home Companion. Forget the CIA; hopefully he will never get the chance for consideration by JFK.
However, other than Kerrey, Safire's proposals are better than Clinton's were.
Posted by: genecis at April 14, 2004 10:46 AMNixon's is an interesting standard. However, i'm trying to remember the last president who served in someone else's cabinet.
George W. Bush - no
Bill Clinton - no
George H. W. Bush - Vice-president, but it isn't really the same as a cabinet-level position
Ronald Reagan - no
Jimmy Carter - no
Gerald Ford - Vice-president
Richard Nixon - Vice-president
Lyndon Johnson - Vice-president
John Kennedy - no
Dwight Eisenhower - no
I'm getting bored of this, so let's just say that what Nixon said might be true, but is unproven.
Posted by: Brandon at April 14, 2004 11:41 AMIt's a moot point. Kerrey hasn't a snowballs chance in heck to be elected this Fall.
Posted by: Bartman at April 14, 2004 11:46 AMI think its for the same reasons the Clinton cabinet had only one potential president:
1) The Pointy-haired Boss who cannot stomach any subordinate who could possibly be smarter, more competent, or more popular than he is.
2) The Pointy-haired Boss whose Court exists only to make him look great.
3) The Pointy-haired Boss who will only tolerate yes-men around him.
Back in 2000, I heard it said of Dubya Bush that even back in his Yale days, he was the type who wasn't too bright himself, but knew how to surround himself with brighter advisors and wasn't threatened by them.
Posted by: Ken at April 14, 2004 11:56 AMNot that it matters, but GHWB had two cabinet level positions -- DCI and UN Ambassador.
Posted by: David Cohen at April 14, 2004 12:15 PMOh. My. God. Gov Will-tax, that carpet-bagging trial lawyer, to head Homeland Security? You don't need any more evidence that Kerry thinks homeland security is joke that his name winding up on somebody's short list.
At least he won't be able to screw us over anymore.
Posted by: Chris B at April 14, 2004 12:25 PMI don't think that DCI and UN Ambassador were cabinet-level positions when GHWB held them. The cabinet has been expanded in recent years. But it only serves to make him an exception to the rule.
Posted by: Brandon at April 14, 2004 1:13 PMBrandon:
You realize, of course, that the rule is for presidents, not guidance for voters? Clinton's cabinet revealed his insecurity, as Bush's reveals his self-confidence.
Posted by: oj at April 14, 2004 1:32 PMNixon's Cabinet had the following Tall Timber:
Kissinger (disqualified from POTUS by birth in GER.)
Connally
Shultz
Romney
Weinberger
Ford had:
mostly the same guys--as holdover appointees
Carter had:
Cy Vance and Ed Muskie--but not at the same time
Reagan had:
Shultz
Baker
Weinberger
Liddy Dole
and, at a pinch Al Haig
Bush I had:
Baker
Cheney
Kemp
and Liddy Dole
Clinton briefly had Bentsen
QED, W's Cabinet is probably the strongest in 35 years
Posted by: cornetofhorse at April 14, 2004 1:45 PMOrrin,
Christie Whitman as potential president? Man, I'll have what you're smoking! (To be fair, I liked her a lot more before she was appointed to the EPA and revealed her inner "watermelon"--green on the outside, red on the inside).
Ed
Posted by: Ed Driscoll at April 14, 2004 2:00 PMA woman and a governor of a major state is automatically a contender (unless like MI's she's Canadian).
Posted by: oj at April 14, 2004 2:11 PMOJ, I realize the rule is for presidents. However, my point is that the evidence suggests that no modern presidents have applied it. None of them have appointed people to their cabinets who have become presidents. To designate some cabinet members a "potential president" while others not is presumption not supported by historical evidence.
Posted by: Brandon at April 14, 2004 5:29 PMChristie Whitman was no Margaret Thatcher. (Neither, for that matter, was Ann Richards, another sometime governess of a major state.) Condi Rice may be, but we have no way of knowing at this point.
Posted by: Random Lawyer at April 14, 2004 9:22 PMBrandon:
Nixon Reagan Bush and Bush applied it. They had cabinet members, sometimes several, who were as qualified or more so to run the entire government. GWB has the most since George Washington. However being qualified does not win you the presidency when you run on your own.
Posted by: oj at April 15, 2004 8:14 AM