April 4, 2004

THE KEY:

Not A Diversion: The war in Iraq has advanced the campaign against bin Ladenism. (Reuel Marc Gerecht, 04/12/2004, Weekly Standard)

On the biggest of issues, [Daniel Benjamin and Steven Simon, authors of The Age of Sacred Terror ] are definitely right: "Democratization, however hazardous and unpredictable the process may be, is the key to eliminating sacred terror over the long term." Which is why, of course, the war in Iraq--the attempt to build a democracy on the ruins of the Middle East's most despicable regime--has been worth the blood and treasure. There were many reasons to go to war; as Robert Kagan and William Kristol recently pointed out in these pages, President Clinton and his national security adviser Sandy Berger did a very convincing job of enumerating them in their finest speeches. But a compelling reason, even if it is not one that many in the Bush administration fully understand, was bin Ladenism itself and the need to strike boldly to give us, and Muslims in the Middle East, a way out.

We should be skeptical of those voices who tell us that success in Iraq won't have serious repercussions for the rest of the Middle East (the same voices that are usually quick to point out the adverse effects of failure). The trial of Saddam Hussein, in whom many Muslims of the Middle East will see the image of their own rulers, will make gripping television, even on the anti-American Al Jazeera satellite channel. Iraq's coming great debates, for all the country's enormous problems and attendant violence, will echo through the region on television and radio. The Sunni Arabs of the region will watch Shiite Arabs, long cursed creatures, moving forward, however fitfully and slowly, toward more democracy than they themselves have ever imagined. The shame could be unbearably provocative. The now famous letter to al Qaeda from Abu Musab al Zarqawi, a Jordanian holy warrior operating in Iraq, tells, we can hope, the future of the entire region. Jihadism cannot survive people power. When the common Muslim man is responsible for his own fate, human decency and civility will win out.


This is what the smart folks fail to understand when they rage about President Bush making a joke of the missing WMD--they never mattered, nor did a potential al Qaeda connection to Iraq. The point of the war was to replace Saddam Hussein's regime with representative governments.

Posted by Orrin Judd at April 4, 2004 6:47 PM
Comments

I thought this was so obvious from the beginning. Only someone blinded with hate couldn't see it.

I can believe so many people speaking with fear of de-"stabilizing" the ME.

All the terrorist attacks up to and including the Madrid bombing are a result of the effort to pretend stability in the ME through the 80s and 90s.

The high cost of "peace," as you say.

Posted by: NKR at April 4, 2004 8:01 PM

but this is where we fail to get it. Of course we could have basically cared less about their wmd's, but were glad to have used them as a red herring.

The problem is simple, without the wmd's the liberal mindset will pounce on Bush for invading Iraq, regardless of the obvious reasons. They got us. They are caddy, petty, small thinking...

Posted by: neil at April 4, 2004 8:02 PM

Of course we could have basically cared less about their wmd's, but were glad to have used them as a red herring.

By saying we COULD have "cared less," you're screwing up your own point.

Posted by: Pedantic at April 4, 2004 11:41 PM

A curious situation. On the one hand, Orrin posits a desire by everybody for democracy, citing people like Khadafi's son. But Khadafi's son cites the governments of Egypt and Saudi Arabia as saying democracy is not congruent with Arab lifestyles.

They cannot both be right.

Along comes, today, Sadr, most popular representative of the branch of Arab Islam that, according to Orrin, is the vanguard of democracy. Is he a democrat?

Obviously not.

I don't have any problem with going into Iraq -- although we need a competent proconsul there, Bremer isn't up to the job -- but Bush's strategic vision still lags reality. It isn't just Islamic extremism. It's the entire project of the religion.

Until a huge majority of the religion's adherents reject the project of eliminating the infidels, the most active believers will continue to make war against mankind. That's the root cause.

Posted by: Harry Eagar at April 5, 2004 12:53 AM

What is non-democratic about telling the occupying power to get out?

Posted by: oj at April 5, 2004 1:02 AM

What IS democratic about telling the occupying power to get out? Seems to me the determining factor about whether or not someone is democratic is, well, whether they advocate democracy or not. Sadr is in serious need of killing.

Posted by: brian at April 5, 2004 1:57 AM

And what makes you so certain that Sadr speaks for all Shi'ites, either? The fact is that he's an anti-American, anti-democratic radical who has been locked in a serious power struggle with Sistani and other more moderate Shi'a clerics, that a large number of other Iraqi Shia's reject him and have fought his thuggish "militias" in the recent past, that his right-hand man was arrested the other day on strong suspicion that he was involved in the murder of a moderate Shi'a cleric right in the middle of the Shi'a holy city of Najaf (this arrest, in fact, along with the closure of Sadr's rabble-rousing newspaper, was the trigger for what's been going on), _and_ that Sadr's thugs started the shooting yesterday when they attacked Spanish and Central American troops at their base near Najaf. Army M-1's had to use 120mm canister shells to disperse the armed and violent rioters in Baghdad yesterday. (Incidentially, the Marines have started their operation to clean out Fallujah. Observers in Baghdad are reporting lots of smoke, continual explosions audible from 36 miles off, and several huge - and actually visible - explosions from the direction of Fallujah. B-52's and B-1's have been spotted overhead.)

Posted by: Joe at April 5, 2004 5:36 AM

I would recommend Karl Zinsmeister's article in American Enterprise to anyone who wants to understand the scope and complexity of what the military (with some help from State) is trying to accomplish in Iraq. It is a combination of full scale assualt, law enforcement, community building, peace corps, infrastructure development, juniour achievement, civic seminar, etc. The reality is that you have to do all of those things simultaneously, and that often the same people must be the ones doing them. The rewards for plodding through this 20+ page article are that you get a real sense of the accomplishments (the article focuses on efforts only in the Sunni triangle, the assumption being that this is as hard as it gets). You also see the degree of professionalism that the boot on the ground have shown, and their ability to learn from experience.

I can not believe more people do not know what is going on behind the "bad headlines".

Posted by: MG at April 5, 2004 7:51 AM

This is what the smart folks fail to understand when they rage about President Bush making a joke of the missing WMD--they never mattered, nor did a potential al Qaeda connection to Iraq. The point of the war was to replace Saddam Hussein's regime with representative governments.

Well maybe folk wouldn't be raging if he'd said so from the start.

Posted by: M Ali Choudhury at April 5, 2004 10:07 AM

The al Qaeda connection is there and was there. Look at what's happening in Spain. al Qaeda needs us to fail in Iraq and they are investing heavily to ensure it. We couldn't have a much better playing field. Bush was criticised for saying "Bring em on", even by Kerry, who doesn't really get it. Apparently he would prefer they continue their previous M.O.O., choosing when and where to engage us to their advantage. We're turning the tables on them in Iraq and we're just taking our gloves off now. Sadr needs an accident or jail.

Posted by: genecis at April 5, 2004 10:50 AM

Ali:

He did. Read his UN Speech.

Posted by: oj at April 5, 2004 11:09 AM

Here's something else I don't get about Dick Clarke. He insisted that blowing up the pharma plant in the Sudan was the right thing to do because Iraq was helping AQ manufacture and/or store bio/chem weapons there. Isn't that a connection?

Ali -- He spoke about WMD's to the extent he did for Tony Blair's benefit.

Posted by: David Cohen at April 5, 2004 11:23 AM

Uh, Pedantic--it's irony.

Posted by: at April 6, 2004 12:15 AM

It may be irony, but my point is that the expression is "couldn't care less." Not "could."

Posted by: Pedantic at April 7, 2004 6:16 PM
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