April 28, 2004

PARTY HOUND:

Specter dodges a bullet - and so does Bush: Pennsylvania incumbent's primary win leaves wounds but bolsters GOP hopes of holding Senate. (Gail Russell Chaddock, 4/29/04, CS Monitor)

In the final hours of this race, the endorsement of the White House played heavily in the minds of Republican voters, say independent pollsters. "The national side of this race is clear: President Bush's endorsement and his visit helped turn the tide," says G. Terry Madonna of the Keystone poll at Franklin and Marshall College in Lancaster County.

It's possible to have honest disagreement about whether George W. Bush has a coherent policy vision that he's implementing--as we believe to be the case--but no one can argue with the fact that he is determined to make the GOP a permanent majority again. No president, at least in modern memory, has worked so assiduously to influence the party's choice of nominees in various races nor campaigned as hard for them once chosen. It is this aspect of his ambitions that makes it seem profoundly unlikely that he'll pass up the opportunity to put his own likely successor in the vice-presidential slot in 2004.

Posted by Orrin Judd at April 28, 2004 10:47 PM
Comments

Oh gosh, I hope so. Cheney has served his country well, but it's time for him to make way for someone who has a chance in 2008 given the right opportunity. Since Powell is determined to leave anyway, it would be great ( as well as history-making) to put Condi in the VP slot and Cheney at State if things work out...

Posted by: HT at April 28, 2004 11:48 PM

oj's issue on succession and W's goals resonate. However, he is not one who just changes course abruptly, and this is pretty far into 2004 for a Bush-X '04 run. (Plus it would lead to as much hand wringing by enemies as applauses from friends.) However, W and Cheney may already have determined that Cheney may not serve a full term. That seems more likely to me. A mid-term replacement would work almost as well in terms of empowering the successor.

Posted by: MG at April 29, 2004 7:35 AM

I'd like to see Cheney replaced just because he doesn't really inspire anyone to vote for him, good man though he may be. (Post-Woodward's book, I'd say Cheney REALLY ought to be director of Homeland Security. This guy spends all his waking hours thinking about horrible things.)

But Bush put "his own likely successor" on the ticket? Why? Would he hate him??

VP's make terrible candidates, or at least unsuccessful ones. How many times have they successfully followed? Three? (I think).

BUT... if Bush were thinking this way.... two points.

I'd love to see Rice, but ya know what? Like Powell in the 90's, all indications are that she is just not interested in the Big Brass Ring. It's too bad, but it just seems to be the case. I don't see the necessary fire in the belly.

And keep your eye on Colorado governor Bill Owens.

Posted by: Andrew X at April 29, 2004 8:10 AM

Andrew:

They always get the nomination and the last four either won, won the popular vote, or were within a %.

Posted by: oj at April 29, 2004 8:20 AM

frankly, after having a snapshot of Condi at the 9/11 hearings I don't want her as my president. she is too scared. Rummy, no way, he is too unliked, and Powell, again doesn't want it. Unless Bush gives it to a guy like Rudy, then leave it the way it is.

And, yeah, Cheney should be in charge of fixing the cia/fbi/homeland security.

Posted by: neil at April 29, 2004 8:25 AM

Bob Graham for CIA.

Cheney can be Chief of Staff when Andy Card goes back to MA to take down Ted.

Posted by: oj at April 29, 2004 8:41 AM

An important factor in the 51-49% Spector victory was the NRA he received shortly before the primary. Every NRA member in the Commonwealth (and there are a hell of a lot of us) received a strong 2-page pro-Spector blurb attached to our NRA monthly magazine a few days before the vote.
This decisive endorsement has gone totally unnoticed by the media, but not, one supposes, by the politicians. Guns trump everything. I can work and vote for the unborn later, but once they take my AK, it's gone forever. We don't care about anything else, and the preppy plutocrats running the Republican party had best take note.

Posted by: Lou Gots at April 29, 2004 11:24 AM

Specter is already heading back left, having secured the nomination and his opoonent is using this flip-flop on him like Rove is using Kerry's. Where is the brilliant strategy in this?

Posted by: Annoying Old Guy at April 29, 2004 3:34 PM

aog:

He's a moderate.

Posted by: oj at April 29, 2004 5:02 PM
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