April 19, 2004


Giuliani remains a New York favorite, poll finds (MARC HUMBERT, April 19, 2004, Associated Press)

Former New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani is a clear front-runner for governor in 2006 in theoretical matchups with two Democrats who have expressed interest in the job, according to a statewide poll released Monday.

The poll showed Giuliani, a Republican, leading Sen. Charles Schumer 57 percent to 37 percent, and state Attorney General Eliot Spitzer 59 percent to 34 percent.

Giuliani, a one-time federal prosecutor, became known as America's mayor after the Sept. 11 terrorist attacks.

He has said he may get back into politics in 2006 with a run for governor or for the Senate against Democratic incumbent Hillary Rodham Clinton. Giuliani dropped out of the 2000 Senate race won by the then-first lady after he was diagnosed with prostate cancer. He was barred by term limits from running for a third term as mayor in 2001.

In a hypothetical Giuliani-Clinton race, the Marist poll had the former mayor favored by 50 percent of voters with the Democratic incumbent backed by 48 percent.

Ms Clinton has served herself well by sticking to her knitting--focussing on only her Senate seat and her constituents.

Posted by Orrin Judd at April 19, 2004 7:53 PM

She's ventured away from her knitting several times, but a certain percentage of New Yorkers now see her as an "investment" -- i.e., re-elect her is '06 and maybe she'll become president in '08 and toss some goodies the state's way once in the White House. That's something no one sees in Schumer or Spitzer (though of course, if those same people were paying attention and saw what Arkansas got out of Bill's presidency -- an overpriced library, a bankrupt law firm, some hard-to-sell riverfront property and several brown historical Interstate highway signs with the ex-pres' mug on them -- they might be a little more cautious with their 2006 senatorial vote).

Posted by: John at April 19, 2004 8:29 PM

I agree, anyone who thinks Clinton will reward New York for reelecting her is deluded. One of the strengths both she and her husband have shown is an ability to not dwell on the past, and abandon anyone once their usefulness is past.

So the question for New York becomes-- is it better to have Sen. Guiliani for the last two years of Bush with no guarantee which party will be running the Senate or Presidency in '008, or two years when New York will have only one senator because Sen. Clinton will be spending all that time at something other than what she's been elected for. (And thanks to the Kerry precedent, she won't have to resign to run, either.)

Posted by: Raoul Ortega at April 19, 2004 10:08 PM

In '06 the GOP will need to knock off Hillary and retain the governorship. Rudy and Pataki should be able to do this but nothing is guaranteed.

Posted by: AWW at April 19, 2004 11:18 PM

Forget about knocking off Hillary. Some people, once they get their hands on power, cannot be dislodged from it, and she is one such. Rudy missed his chance in 2000, when the gods failed to smile on him. Had he remained healthy, he would have won, barring some form of particularly Hillaryesque plumbers-blackmail. But if Giuliani does not run for governor, the socialists will be left in control of the governor's mansion, and both Senate seats.

Posted by: Nicholas Stix at April 21, 2004 2:06 AM